Rangers vs. Phillies Picks & Analysis

by | May 4, 2022 | mlb

Texas Rangers vs Philadelphia Phillies
Date: Wednesday, May 4th, 06:45 ET
Location: Citizens Bank Park
TV: Bally Sports Southwest
Money Line: Rangers +144 / Phillies -175 at (MyBookie)
Total Line: OFF

STARTING PITCHING

Texas: Martin Perez (0-2, 3.0) Philadelphia: Zack Wheeler (1-3, 5.79)

Rangers Projected Lineup

2B Brad Miller LF Nick Solak 1B Nate Lowe CF Adolis Garcia 3B Andy Ibanez SS Corey Seager C Mitch Garver RF Kole Calhoun 2B Marcus Semien

Phillies Projected Lineup

3B Alec Bohm SS Johan Camargo C J.T. Realmuto LF Kyle Schwarber CF Matt Vierling RF Bryce Harper RF Nick Castellanos 2B Jean Segura 1B Rhys Hoskins

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Texas Rangers: 9-14-0 SU / OU 11-10-2 / Run Line W/L 12-11-0 Philadelphia Phillies: 11-13-0 SU / OU 12-10-2 / Run Line W/L 11-13-0

The Philadelphia Phillies host the Texas Rangers on Wednesday, May 4th, at Citizens Bank Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 06:45 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Philadelphia as the favorite (-175), with an OU line set at OFF.

Recent Form

In their most recent game, Texas picked up a 2 run win over the Philadelphia (6-4). The Rangers lineup had a good night at the plate, coming up 9 hits, leading to 6 runs. Texas picked up the win, despite getting 130.0 on the moneyline. Together, the Rangers and Philadelphia combined to surpass the over-under betting line set at 8.5 runs. So far, Texas has an above .500 OU record of (11-10-2).

The Rangers come into this game with a 3-2 record of their last 5 contests. Over this stretch, the team has a positive run differential at 4. In their last 5 contests, Texas is averaging 4.2 runs per game, right in line with their season average of 4.43. Texas’s overall series record is just 3-5-0.

The Phillies will look to get back on track after dropping their last game by a score of 6-4 to Texas. On their way to giving up 6 runs, the Phillies staff allowed 9 hits. Philadelphia dropped the game despite being favored at -154.0. So far, the team has won 53.0% of their games in which they were favored. In terms of the over-under, the Phillies and Texas combined to surpass the line of 8.5 runs. For the season, the team’s OU record is (12-10-2).

The Phillies come into today’s game looking to turn things around, as they are just 2-3 over their last 5 games. During this time, the team has an even run differential. Even with their recent struggles, the offense has been steady, averaging 4.2 runs per game, right in line with their season average of 4.58. Philadelphia has a below .500 series record of just 2-6-0.

Pitching Matchup

For the Rangers, Martin Perez gets the start. So far, he has put together a record of 0-2. To date, Perez has an ERA of 3.0 while lasting an average of 5.25 innings per appearance. Through 4 starts, opposing teams have combined for a batting average of 0.211. Not only does Perez have a strong batting average allowed figure, but he has also yet to give up a home run. Up to this point, Perez’s has a strikeout percentage of 19.3% and a per 9 average of 7.0. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 1.25 walks per contest.

For the Phillies, Zack Wheeler gets the start. So far, he has put together a record of 1-3. Leading up to the game, Wheeler is hoping to bring down an ERA of 5.79. So far, he is averaging 4.55 innings per outing. Opposing lineups have put together a combined batting average of 0.247 against Wheeler. Although opposing teams have been able to generate hits off him, Wheeler has been able to limit the damage, giving up just 0.48 home runs per 9 innings. Heading into today’s action, Zack Wheeler is averaging 9.0 K’s per 9 innings. Throughout the season, his strong command has led to an average of just 2.0 walks per contest.

Texas vs Philadelphia History

The Philadelphia Phillies and Texas Rangers have met up 1 time, with Texas leading the season series, 1-0. Through 1 game, the series’ over-under record is 1-0, with the average run total sitting at nan runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 2.0 runs.

Betting Trends

  • Rangers are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
  • Rangers are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Phillies are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a favorite.

Texas Rangers at Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

In this matchup between the Rangers and Phillies, look for Texas to pick up their 10th win of the season. Despite their below .500 record, the team has swung the bats well, ranking 9th in runs scored. Given that Zack Wheeler is struggling on the mound, I expect Texas to pick up the win.

Free Pick:

Texas ML

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