Rangers vs. Yankees Betting Predictions 5/6/22

by | May 6, 2022 | mlb

Texas Rangers vs New York Yankees

Date: Friday, May 6th, 07:05 ET

Location: Yankee Stadium

TV: Amazon Prime Video

Money Line: Rangers +165 / Yankees -200 (Everygame - Use bonus code ROOKIE200 to receive a FREE $50 bet after you deposit only $25!)

Total Line: 8

STARTING PITCHING

Texas: Dane Dunning (1-1, 3.81)
New York: Gerrit Cole (2-0, 3.0)

Rangers Projected Lineup

3B Brad Miller
LF Nick Solak
RF Kole Calhoun
C Mitch Garver
3B Andy Ibanez
SS Corey Seager
CF Adolis Garcia
1B Nate Lowe
2B Marcus Semien

Yankees Projected Lineup

LF Joey Gallo
SS Isiah Kiner-Falefa
3B Josh Donaldson
2B DJ LeMahieu
C Kyle Higashioka
1B Anthony Rizzo
RF Giancarlo Stanton
CF Aaron Hicks
RF Aaron Judge

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Texas Rangers: 10-14-0 SU / OU 11-11-2 / Run Line W/L 13-11-0
New York Yankees: 18-7-0 SU / OU 10-15-0 / Run Line W/L 15-10-0

The New York Yankees host the Texas Rangers on Friday, May 6th at Yankee Stadium. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 07:05 ET. The MLB Odds Board places New York as the favorite (-200), with an OU line set at 8.

Recent Form

The Texas Rangers head into today’s matchup after picking up a close win over the Philadelphia by the score of 2-1. Overall, the team’s pitching staff limited Philadelphia to 1 runs on 6 hits. The team was able to pick up the win despite scoring just 2 on their 7 hits. This victory came despite being the betting underdog, getting 165.0. w Combined, the Rangers and Philadelphia fell short of the over-under betting line of 8.0 runs. With this result, Texas’s over-under record dropped back to .500 11-11-2.

The Rangers are looking to continue adding wins, as they are 4-1 over their last 5 games. Over this stretch, the team has a positive run differential at 6. Texas has put together this record, while averaging 4.2 runs per game compared to their season average of 4.33. Texas’s overall series record is just 3-5-0.

The Yankees are coming off a tight loss to Toronto, dropping the game 2-1. Despite the losing effort, the team’s pitchers held Toronto to 2 runs and 4 hits. At the plate, the Yankees only come through for 2 runs on 5 hits. Leading into the game, New York was the betting favorite at -155.0. For the season, the team has been favored in 24 games, winning at a rate of 71.0%. With this result, the Yankees and Toronto combined to fall below the over-under line of 8.5 runs. Now, New York had an OU mark of 10-15-0.

In their last 5 games, the Yankees have put together a record of 4-1. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at 13. Offensively, New York’s lineup has been steady 4.4 runs per game over their last 5 contests. For the season, the team comes in with a per-game average of 4.76. On the season, New York has won more than half of their series, going 6-1-1.

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Pitching Matchup

For the Rangers, Dane Dunning gets the start. So far, he has put together a record of 1-1. To date, Dunning has an ERA of 3.81, while lasting an average of 4.78 innings per appearance. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of 0.245. Despite opposing team’s finding success getting on base against Dunning, he has managed to keep the ball in the ballpark, allowing 1 home run per 9 innings. Up to this point, Dunning’s has a strikeout percentage of 23.0% and a per 9 average of 5.2. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 2.77 walks per contest.

For the Yankees, Gerrit Cole gets the start. So far, he has put together a record of 2-0. Leading up to the game, Cole is hoping to bring down an ERA of 3.0. So far, he is averaging 4.8 innings per outing. Even with a high ERA, Cole has been able to limit base runners, with a batting averge allowed of just 0.205. On average, opponents are averaging 1 home run against the right-hander. A strength of Gerrit Cole’s game is his ability to generate swings and misses, striking out batters at a rate of 27.0%. Throughout the season, walks have been an issue, as he is giving up 3.75 free passes per outing.

Texas vs New York History

Today’s matchup between the Texas Rangers and New York Yankees will be their first meeting of the season. Dating back to last season, the New York picked up 6 wins compared to 1, taking the season series. In these 7 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 2-5, with the average scoring differential sitting at 3.0 runs. Last year, the Rangers and Yankees combined to average 6.71 runs per game.

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Betting Trends

  • Texas is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
  • Texas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
  • NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Texas
  • NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas

Texas Rangers at New York Yankees Prediction

Heading into this matchup, there isn’t a lot of value taking New York on the moneyline at -200. Instead, I recommend taking the over, as the Yankees offense is ranked 5th in scoring at 4.76 runs per game, but unlike previous seasons, they aren’t dependent on the long ball as they are 4th in batting average. Look for a big scoring night from New York to help carry this game over 8 runs.

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