Rays vs. Twins Odds & Free Pick 6/12/22

by | Last updated Jun 12, 2022 | mlb

Tampa Bay Rays vs Minnesota Twins
Date: Sunday June 12th, 02:10 ET
Location: Target Field
TV: Bally Sports North
Money Line: Rays -115 / Twins -105 (BetOnline)
Total Line: 8.5


Tampa Bay: Jeffrey Springs (2-2, 1.62)
Minnesota: Cole Sands (0-2, 8.49)

Rays Projected Lineup

Isaac Paredes 2B
Francisco Mejía C
Harold Ramirez 1B
Manuel Margot LF
Randy Arozarena LF
Yandy Díaz 3B
Taylor Walls SS
Ji-Man Choi 1B
Kevin Kiermaier CF
Jeffrey Springs P

Twins Projected Lineup

Max Kepler RF
Gilberto Celestino CF
Gio Urshela 3B
Jose Miranda 2B
Ryan Jeffers C
Carlos Correa SS
Gary Sánchez C
Byron Buxton CF
Jorge Polanco 2B
Cole Sands P


Tampa Bay Rays: 34-25-0 SU / OU 26-30-3 / Run Line W/L 28-31-0
Minnesota Twins: 35-26-0 SU / OU 30-27-4 / Run Line W/L 28-33-0

The Minnesota Twins host the Tampa Bay Rays on Sunday, June 12th at Target Field. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 02:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Tampa Bay as the favorite (-115), with an OU line set at 8.5.

Recent Form

The Rays will look to rebound from a close, 6-5 loss to the Twins. In the loss, Tampa Bay’s pitchers gave up 6 runs on 11 hits. On offense, the Rays 13 hits and 5 runs ended up not being enough to pull out the win. This defeat came despite being favored at -150.0. Through 45 games as the favorite, the team has found the win column at a rate of 62.0%. This game went over the posted over-under line of 8.5 runs. The Rays now have an over-under record of 26-30-3.

The Rays come into this game with a 3-2 record of their last 5 contests. Over this stretch, the team has a positive run differential at +5. Their hot play has been driven by an offense that typically averages 4.22 runs per game. But, over this stretch, this figure has bumped up to 5.2 So far, Tampa Bay has won over half of their 19 series played, going 10-7-2.

The Twins are coming off a tight 6-5 win over the Rays. On their way to giving up 5 runs, the Twins staff allowed 13 hits. At the plate, the Twins scored 6 times on 11 hits. Despite being the underdogs, getting 130.0 on the moneyline, the Twins still picked up the win. So far, the team has gone into 20 games as the underdog, still finding the win column at a rate of 45.0%. The Twins and Rays went over the run total line set at 8.5 runs. For the season, the team’s over-under record is 30-27-4.

Across their last 5 contests, the Twins are above .500, going 3-2. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at +4. The Twins’ offense has elevated their play over their last 5 games, averaging 6.8 runs per game, compared to their season average of 4.56. On the season, Minnesota has won more than half of their series, going 10-5-4.

Pitching Matchup

The Tampa Bay Rays will send Jeffrey Springs to the mound with an overall record of 2-2. Through 15 appearances, Springs has an ERA of just 1.62 while averaging 2.94 innings per appearance. So far, batters are hitting just 0.197 against him. Per 9 innings pitched, Springs is giving up 1.02 home runs. Overall, he is averaging 3.0 strikeouts per game, on a K rate of 27.0%. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 2.03 walks per contest.

Cole Sands gets the start for the Twins, with an overall record of 0-2. To date, Sands has an ERA of 8.49 while lasting an average of 2.8 innings per appearance. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of 0.327. Opposing batters have been able to drive the ball with power against Sands, averaging 3.21 homers per 9 innings pitched. Sands is in the bottom half of the league in strikeouts, averaging just 3.25 K’s per game. This includes a strikeout percentage of 22.0%. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 4.63 walks per contest.

Tampa Bay vs Minnesota History

For the season, the Tampa Bay Rays and Minnesota Twins will be playing their 6th game of the season. Minnesota holds the edge in the series at 4-1. The over-under record in this series sits at 4-1. The average run total in these games is 11.5 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 5.0 runs. Last year, the team’s split the season series at 3-3. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 4-2, with the average run total being 11.5 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 4.83 runs per game.

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Betting Trends

  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay’s last 7 games when playing Minnesota
  • The total has gone OVER in 9 of Tampa Bay’s last 11 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota’s last 8 games at home
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota’s last 8 games

Tampa Bay Rays at Minnesota Twins Prediction

Heading into Sunday’s American League showdown between Tampa Bay and Minnesota, look for the Rays to pick up a convincing win. The Rays have a clear advantage on the mound, as Jeffrey Springs has a WHIP of just .92 to go along with his stingy ERA. On the other side, look for the Rays’ offense to jump on Cole Sands early on often.

Free MLB Pick: Tampa Bays Runline -1.5

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