Red Sox vs Blue Jays Moneyline Pick 4/28/22

by | Apr 28, 2022 | mlb

Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays
Date: Thursday, April 28th, 2:07 ET
Location: Rogers Centre
TV: NESN
Money Line: Red Sox 125 / Blue Jays -157 (Get the better lines >>>)
Total Line: 8.5

STARTING PITCHING

Boston: Garrett Whitlock (1-0, 0.66)
Toronto: Alek Manoah (3-0, 2.0)

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Boston Red Sox: 8-11-0 SU / OU 6-13-0 / Run Line W/L 11-8-0
Toronto Blue Jays: 12-7-0 SU / OU 7-12-0 / Run Line W/L 9-10-0

The Toronto Blue Jays host the Boston Red Sox on Thursday, April 28th at Rogers Centre. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 2:07 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Toronto as the favorite (-157), with a run line set at 8.5.

Recent Form

The Boston Red Sox will look to pick up another big win, after they defeated Toronto by a score of 7-1. This victory game despite being the betting underdog with a moneyline at 161.0. Through 9 games as the underdog, the team has a win percentage of 56%. On offense, Boston’s lineup put together a total of 13 hits, while the pitching staff allowed 1 run on 5 hits. In the game, the Red Sox and Toronto combined to match the over-under betting line of 8.0 runs. However, for the season, Boston still has an overall over-under record of (6-13-0).

The Red Sox will be hoping to pick up a win in today’s matchup, as they have gone just 1-4 over their last 5 games. In this rough stretch of games, the team’s run differential comes in at -3. In their last 5 contests, Boston is averaging 3.6 runs per game, right in line with their season average of 3.79.

The Blue Jays will be looking to move on from a tough loss to the Boston by the score of 7-1. This was a disappointing loss for the Blue Jays, as they were favored to win at -158.0. For the season, the team has been favored in 12 games, winning at a rate of 75.0%. For the game, Toronto’s staff gave up 7 runs on 13 hits, while on offense, Toronto came up with 5 hits leading to 1 run. With this result, Blue Jays and Boston combined to fall below the over-under line of 9.0 runs. Even still, Toronto games have still gone over the betting total over half of the time, at (7-12-0).

In their last 5 games, the Blue Jays have put together a record of 3-2. Toronto has managed to play above .500 baseball, despite their last 5 scoring margin sitting at -1. Offensively, Toronto’s lineup has been steady 4.6 runs per game over their last 5 contests. For the season, the team comes in with a per-game average of 4.16.

Pitching Matchup

For the Red Sox, Garrett Whitlock gets the start, so far, he has put together a record of 1-0. Currently, Whitlock has a strong ERA of just 0.66, while pitching an average of 13.2 innings per outing. So far, batters are hitting just 0.109 against him while averaging 0.66 homers per 9 innings pitched. On the season, Garrett Whitlock has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 37.5%. Heading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 2.0 walks per contest.

For the Blue Jays, Alek Manoah gets the start, with a record of 3-0. Heading into his matchup vs Boston, Manoah has a strong ERA, sitting at just 2.0. This has come while averaging 6.0 innings per start. On the season, opposing team’s have put together a batting average of 0.188 against Manoah. However, he has been less successful at limiting home runs, with an HR/9 figure of 1.0. A strength of Alek Manoah’s game is his ability to generate swings and misses, striking out batters at a rate of 25.0%.

Boston vs Toronto History

So far, the Toronto Blue Jays and Boston Red Sox have met up 6 times, with Toronto winning the season series 4-2. Through 6 games, the series’ over-under record is 2-4, with the average run total sitting at 10.05 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 3.0 runs. Going back to last year, Boston won the season series, 10 games to 9. In these 19 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 9-10. Last year, the two teams averaged 10.05 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 4.26 runs per contest.

Key Injuries

Boston Red Sox
Tanner Houck: Personal (OUT)
Kutter Crawford: Personal (OUT)
Josh Taylor: Back (10-DAY IL)
Jonathan Arauz: Illness (COVID-19 IL)
Chris Sale: Ribs (60-DAY IL)
James Paxton: Elbow (60-DAY IL)

Toronto Blue Jays
Teoscar Hernandez: Oblique (10-DAY IL)
Cavan Biggio: Illness (COVID-19 IL)
Ryan Borucki: Finger (10-DAY IL)
Danny Jansen: Oblique (10-DAY IL)
Nate Pearson: Illness (10-DAY IL)
Hyun Jin Ryu: Forearm (10-DAY IL)

Betting Trends

Red Sox are 6-2 in their last 8 during game 4 of a series.
Red Sox are 8-21 in their last 29 games as a road underdog.
Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

In this matchup of two AL East teams, look for the Blue Jays to get some revenge after falling in last night’s game 7-1. With Alek Manoah on the mound, I expect Boston to struggle on offense, as they have struggled to hit for power with righties on the mound, ranked 17th in slugging percentage. On the other side, the Blue Jays should be in line for a big offensive performance. Red Sox starter Garrett Whitlock has been successful as a reliever, but facing the Blue Jays for extended innings is a different story.

Free Pick:
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