Reds vs. Diamondbacks Recommended Bet 6/13/22

by | Jun 13, 2022 | mlb

Cincinnati Reds vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Date: Monday June 13th, 09:40 ET

Location: Chase Field

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Money Line: Reds +119 / Diamondbacks -142 (WagerWeb - One of the most underrated sportsbooks on the web! 20 point football and basketball teasers!)

Total Line: 9.5

STARTING PITCHING

Cincinnati: Mike Minor (0-2, 8.64)
Arizona: Merrill Kelly (5-3, 3.32)

Reds Projected Lineup

Aramis Garcia C
Aristides Aquino RF
Kyle Farmer SS
Albert Almora Jr. RF
Brandon Drury 1B
Matt Reynolds 3B
Tommy Pham LF
Joey Votto 1B
Nick Senzel CF
Mike Minor P

Diamondbacks Projected Lineup

Carson Kelly C
Jordan Luplow RF
Jake McCarthy LF
Alek Thomas CF
Josh Rojas 3B
Geraldo Perdomo SS
Ketel Marte 2B
Christian Walker 1B
Daulton Varsho C
Merrill Kelly P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Cincinnati Reds: 21-39-0 SU / OU 32-27-1 / Run Line W/L 27-33-0
Arizona Diamondbacks: 29-33-0 SU / OU 26-35-1 / Run Line W/L 36-26-0

The Arizona Diamondbacks host the Cincinnati Reds on Monday, June 13th at Chase Field. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 09:40 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Arizona as the favorite (-142), with an OU line set at 9.5.

Recent Form

The Cincinnati Reds head into today’s matchup after picking up a close win over the Cardinals by the score of 7-6. The Cardinals came up with 12 hits leading to 6 runs against Cincinnati’s pitchers. The Reds benefited from an offense that generated 7 runs on 11 hits. This victory came despite being the betting underdog, getting 138.0 on the moneyline. With the over-under line set at 8.0 runs, the Reds and Cardinals combined to go over this total. So far, Cincinnati has an above .500 over-under record of 32-27-1.

The Reds will be hoping to pick up a win in today’s matchup, as they have gone just 1-4 over their last 5 games. In this rough stretch of games, the team’s run differential comes in at -10. On offense, Cincinnati’s offense has experienced a dip in production, averaging 3.0 runs per game over their last 5 contests. Cincinnati’s overall series record is just 4-10-5.

The Arizona Diamondbacks are coming off a big win over the Phillies by a score of 13-1. For the game, the pitching staff held the Phillies to 1 run on 7 hits. In the victory, the Diamondbacks came up with 12 hits and 13 runs. Despite being the underdogs, getting 165.0 on the moneyline, the Diamondbacks still picked up the win. In their 50 games as the underdog, their straight-up win percentage sits at 44.0%. In terms of the over-under, the Diamondbacks and Phillies combined to surpass the line of 9.5 runs. On the season, the team has an over-under record of just 26-35-1.

Across their last 5 contests, the Diamondbacks are above .500, going 3-2. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at +14. Overall, the Diamondbacks are averaging 4.03 runs per contest. But, over their last 5 outings, they have been scoring at a clip of 6.0 runs per contest. Arizona has a below .500 series record of just 7-8-4.

Pitching Matchup

The Cincinnati Reds will send Mike Minor to the mound with an overall record of 0-2. To date, Minor has an ERA of 8.64 while lasting an average of 4.05 innings per appearance. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of 0.265. Home runs have been an issue for Minor, as he is allowing an average of 5.56 per 9 innings pitched. Up to this point, Minor has a strikeout percentage of just 21.0% and a per game average of 4.0. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 3.24 walks per contest.

Arizona will roll with Merrill Kelly (5-3) as their starter. Through 12 appearances, Kelly has an ERA of just 3.32 while averaging 5.42 innings per appearance. In his previous outings, right-hander opponents are hitting 0.243 off the right-hander. So far, Kelly has managed to keep the ball in the ballpark, allowing just 0.42 home runs per 9 innings. Kelly has accumulated a strikeout percentage of 20.0% and a per-game average of 4.5. Command has been a problem for Kelly, as he is giving up 3.74 walks per outing.

Cincinnati vs Arizona History

For the season, the Cincinnati Reds and Arizona Diamondbacks will be playing their 5th game of the season. Today’s game will be a rubber match for the two teams, as Cincinnati and Arizona each have 2 wins. The over-under record in this series sits at 1-3. The average run total in these games is 12.67 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 5.25 runs. Arizona won last year’s head-to-head series, grabbing 5 wins to 1. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 5-1, with the average run total being 12.67 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 3.33 runs per game.

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Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cincinnati’s last 9 games on the road
  • Cincinnati is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona’s last 6 games at home
  • Arizona is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Cincinnati

Cincinnati Reds at Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

Heading into Monday’s matchup between Arizona and Cincinnati, look for the Diamondbacks to pick up the win. Look for Arizona to have another big offensive performance, as Mike Minor has failed to pitch into the 5th inning in his first two starts. The last time Minor faced the Diamondbacks,
they went deep twice. I like Arizona on the moneyline.

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