Reds vs. Mets Analysis & Predictions

by | Last updated Aug 10, 2022 | mlb

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets

Date: Wednesday August 10th, 01:10 ET

Location: Citi Field


Money Line: Reds +240 / Mets -300 (Bovada – You’re missing out on a TON of benefits if you’re not betting there! Check them out and you’ll quickly see why they’re one of the top 3 books on the web!)

Total Line: 9.0


Cincinnati: T.J. Zeuch (0-0, 0)
New York: Taijuan Walker (9-3, 3.45)

Reds Projected Lineup

Albert Almora Jr. CF
Jose Barrero SS
Nick Senzel 3B
Jake Fraley LF
Kyle Farmer SS
Michael Papierski C
Mike Moustakas 3B
Joey Votto 1B
Jonathan India 2B
T.J. Zeuch P

Mets Projected Lineup

Tyler Naquin LF
Luis Guillorme 2B
Daniel Vogelbach 1B
Starling Marte RF
Jeff McNeil 2B
James McCann C
Francisco Lindor SS
Pete Alonso 1B
Brandon Nimmo CF
Taijuan Walker P


Cincinnati Reds: 44-65-0 SU / OU 55-53-1 / Run Line W/L 52-57-0
New York Mets: 72-39-0 SU / OU 56-46-9 / Run Line W/L 62-49-0

The New York Mets host the Cincinnati Reds on Wednesday, August 10th at Citi Field. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 01:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places New York as the favorite (-300), with an OU line set at 9.0.

Recent Form

The Reds will look to bounce back from a tough loss to the Mets by the score of 6-2. Cincinnati’s pitching staff finished the game by allowing 9 hits, leading to 6 runs. The Reds ended the game with just 2 runs on 8 hits. Cincinnati’s loss came as the underdog, getting 250.0 on the moneyline. Together, the Reds and Mets stayed below the over-under line set at 8.5 runs. However, for the season, Cincinnati still has an overall over-under record of 55-53-1.

Over the Reds’ last 5 contests, they have a record of just 2-3. In this rough stretch of games, the team’s run differential comes in at -8. On offense, Cincinnati’s offense has experienced a dip in production, averaging 3.0 runs per game over their last 5 contests. Cincinnati’s overall series record is just 11-17-7.

The New York Mets will be looking to pick up another win, as they most recently defeated the Reds by 4 runs (6-2). In the win, the pitching staff allowed just 2 runs on 8 hits. In the victory, the Mets came up with 9 hits and 6 runs. New York picked up the win while being favored at -300.0. So far, the team has won 70.0% of the games in which they were favored. With this result, the Mets and Reds combined to fall below the over-under line of 8.5 runs. New York still has an above .500 over-under record at (56-46-9).

The Mets come into the matchup looking to stay hot, going 5-0 over their last five contests. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at +18. The Mets’ offense has elevated their play over their last 5 games, averaging 6.0 runs per game, compared to their season average of 4.81. On the season, New York has won more than half of their series, going 26-6-3.

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Pitching Matchup

The Reds will send right-hander T.J Zeuch to the mound, with an ERA currently sitting at 6.60. So far, opposing teams have had no problem reaching base vs Zeuch, as he has a batting average allowed of .323 and a WHIP of 2.00. In his last outing, the right-hander gave up 2 runs in just 3 innings of action.

In today’s game, New York turns to starter Taijuan Walker. For the year, he has a record of 9-3. Walker gets the start with an ERA of 3.45. On average, he has lasted 5.48 innings per appearance. So far, Walker has a batting average allowed of 0.242. Opposing batters are hitting for power at a below-average rate against Walker, as he is allowing just 0.78 per 9 innings. On the season, Taijuan Walker has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 19.0%. This has led to an average of 4.21 K’s per game. Walker comes into the game hoping to improve his walk numbers, as he is averaging 2.42 free passes per outing.

Cincinnati vs New York History

Today’s matchup between the Cincinnati Reds and New York Mets will be their 6th meeting of the season. Currently, New York is winning the season series 4-1. The over-under record in this series sits at 2-3. The average run total in these games is 10.83 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 3.4 runs. Last year, the team’s split the season series at 3-3. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 1-3, with the average run total being 10.83 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 3.83 runs per contest.

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Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cincinnati’s last 9 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cincinnati’s last 8 games on the road
  • NY Mets is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
  • NY Mets is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Cincinnati Reds at New York Mets Prediction

Heading into today’s matchup between Cincinnati and New York, the Mets are the heavy favorites on the moneyline. Look for New York to have no problem putting up runs vs T.J Zeuch, as he has been used mostly out of the bullpen and his given up a home run in all but 1 of his outings. Look for the Mets to win by multiple runs.

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