Reds vs. Mets Runline Prediction 8/8/22

by | Last updated Aug 26, 2022 | mlb

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets

Date: Monday August 8th, 07:10 ET

Location: Citi Field

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Money Line: Reds 220 / Mets -270

Total Line: 8.5


Cincinnati: Justin Dunn (0-0, 0)
New York: Chris Bassitt (8-7, 3.54)

Reds Projected Lineup

Jake Fraley CF
Jose Barrero SS
Aristides Aquino RF
Nick Senzel CF
Kyle Farmer 3B
Michael Papierski C
Joey Votto 1B
Mike Moustakas 3B
Jonathan India 2B
Justin Dunn P

Mets Projected Lineup

Tyler Naquin LF
Luis Guillorme 2B
Daniel Vogelbach 1B
Starling Marte RF
Jeff McNeil 2B
James McCann C
Francisco Lindor SS
Pete Alonso 1B
Brandon Nimmo CF
Chris Bassitt P


Cincinnati Reds: 44-63-0 SU / OU 55-51-1 / Run Line W/L 52-55-0
New York Mets: 70-39-0 SU / OU 56-44-9 / Run Line W/L 60-49-0

The New York Mets host the Cincinnati Reds on Monday August 8th at Citi Field. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 07:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places New York as the favorite (-270), with an OU line set at 8.5.

Recent Form

Heading into today’s game, Cincinnati will be looking to tack on another win after taking down the Brewers by the score of 4-2. Overall, the team’s pitching staff limited the Brewers to 2 runs on 5 hits. The Reds lineup had a good night at the plate, coming up with 7 hits, leading to 4 runs. Cincinnati picked up the win, despite getting 240.0 on the moneyline. Combined, the Reds and Brewers fell short of the over-under betting line of 7.5 runs. However, for the season, Cincinnati still has an overall over-under record of 55-51-1.

The Reds are looking to continue adding wins, as they are 3-2 over their last 5 games. However, even with an above .500 record (last 5) their run differential sits at just -2 (last 5). Cincinnati comes into the game struggling on offense, averaging 2.8 runs per game over their last 5. This figure is down from their season average of 4.31. Cincinnati’s overall series record is just 11-16-7.

New York is coming off a 3-run win over the Braves (5-2). In the winning effort, the team’s pitchers held the Braves to 2 runs and 2 hits. Offensively, they finished with 5 runs on 10 hits. Heading into action, New York was the favorite at -154.0. For the season, the team has been favored in 85 games, winning at a rate of 69.0%. With an over-under line set at 7.0, the Mets and Braves combined to match this total. On the season, New York’s overall over-under record sits at 56-44-9.

In their last 5 games, the Mets have put together a record of 4-1. Their recent success is backed by an average scoring margin of +9 (last 5). Compared to their season average, the Mets come into this game swinging the bats well, averaging 6.2 runs per game. On the season, New York has won more than half of their series, going 25-6-3.


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Pitching Matchup

The Cincinnati Reds will hand the ball to Justin Dunn, who is making his first appearance of the season. Last year, Dunn made 11 starts, posting a record of 1-3. Overall, he finished with an ERA of 3.75 on a batting average allowed of just .201. New York will roll with Chris Bassitt (8-7) as their starter. Bassitt gets the start with an ERA of 3.54. On average, he has lasted 6.1 innings per appearance. Through 20 outings, opposing teams have combined for a batting average of 0.226. Bassitt is giving up home runs at a rate similar to the league average, allowing 1.11 per 9 innings. On the season, Chris Bassitt has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 24.0%. This has led to an average of 6.05 K’s per game. Command has been a problem for Bassitt, as he is giving up 2.43 walks per outing.

Cincinnati vs New York History

For the season, the Cincinnati Reds and New York Mets will be playing their 4th game of the season. New York holds the edge in the series at 2-1. Through 3 games, the series’ over-under record is 2-1, with the average run total sitting at 10.83 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 3.0 runs. Last year, the team’s split the season series at 3-3. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 1-3, with the average run total being 10.83 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 3.83 runs per contest. More Picks: Get our Pittsburgh at Arizona Moneyline Winner 8/8/22 >>>

Betting Trends

  • Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati’s last 7 games
  • NY Mets is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
  • NY Mets is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games

Cincinnati Reds at New York Mets Prediction

Heading into Monday’s National League matchup, New York is a heavy favorite on the moneyline. Not only are the Mets playing well, but they are also facing off against Justin Dunn, who is making his first appearance of the season. On the other side, Chris Bassitt is coming off one of his best outings of the year vs the Nationals. Look for the Mets to cover the runline. Free MLB Pick: Mets Runline. Football is coming! Beef up your bankroll with a massive SPECIAL 125% real cash bonus up to $400 in FREE BETS + get a free half point every time you bet your favorite NFL and college football team at GTBets Sportsbook! We’ve advertised them for over 10 years with ZERO complaints! They have a great loyalty program too! You must use bonus code PREDICTEM to take advantage of this offer! Click here to sign up now!

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