Reds vs. Pirates Moneyline Pick

by | Last updated Sep 27, 2022 | mlb

Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Date: Tuesday September 27th, 06:35 PM ET
Location:PNC Park
Money Line: Reds -105 / Pirates -115
Total Line: 7


Cincinnati: Hunter Greene (4-13, 4.91)
Pittsburgh: Mitch Keller (5-12, 3.99)


Cincinnati Reds: 60-94-0 SU / OU 74-76-4 / Run Line W/L -85-0
Pittsburgh Pirates: 57-97-0 SU / OU 70-74-10 / Run Line W/L 76-78-0

The Pittsburgh Pirates host the Cincinnati Reds on Tuesday September 27th at PNC Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 06:35 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Pittsburgh as the favorite (-115), with an OU line set at 7.

Recent Form

In their most recent contest, the Reds fell to the Pirates by a score of 8-3. In the game, Chase Anderson last just 4 innings but kept the team in the game as he gave up just 1 run. However, the Pirates were able to get after the Reds bullpen, scoring a combined 6 runs in the 7th and 8th innings. This loss is part of a larger trend, as the team has gone just 3-7 over their last 10 games. Throughout the season, the Reds have struggled on the road, putting together a mark of just 29-47.

Like the Reds, the Pirates have not been playing good baseball of late, as they also have just won 3 times over their last 10 games. However, one of these wins came last night, as the offense piled on the scoring late. Roansy Contreras lasted only 4 innings while giving up 2 runs. However, the bullpen came in and did an admirable job, giving up just 3 hits the rest of the way. This season, the Pirates have a record of just 30-46 at PNC Park.

Pitching Matchup

Taking the mound for Cincinnati is Hunter Greene, who has put together a record of 4-13. This season, the right-hander has racked up 146 strikeouts compared to 44 walks. His current ERA sits at 4.91. Despite his high ERA and ugly record, Greene has thrown the ball well of late, giving up just 4 earned runs across his last 4 outings. Despite pitching in the same division, Greene has just 1 outing vs the Pirates, giving up 1 earned run across 7 1/3 innings.

On the other side, the Pirates are countering with Mitch Keller. This season, the right-hander has an ERA of 3.99, leading to a record of 5-12. Heading into action, Keller has gone at least 6 innings in 5 straight starts. However, the Pirates have lost 3 straight games with him on the mound. As of late, Keller has been generating swings and misses, racking up at least 6 strikeouts in 3 straight outings.

More Picks: Get our Dodgers at Padres O/U Bet Recommendation 9/27/22

Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cincinnati’s last 10 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
  • Pittsburgh is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
  • Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati

Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction

Leading into Tuesday’s NL Central matchup between Cincinnati and Pittsburgh, the Pirates are the slight favorite on the moneyline. However, look for the Reds to bounce back from last night’s loss with a win. I expect Hunter Greene to throw the ball well, making life difficult on the Pirates’ bats.

Free MLB Pick: Reds Moneyline

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