Rockies vs. Padres Best Bet 6/10/22

by | Last updated Jun 10, 2022 | mlb

Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres

Date: Friday June 10th, 09:40 ET

Location: Petco Park

TV: Bally Sports San Diego

Money Line: Rockies +205 / Padres -250 (MyBookie – Accepts all credit cards!)

Total Line: 7.0


Colorado: Chad Kuhl (4-2, 3.17)
San Diego: Joe Musgrove (6-0, 1.64)

Rockies Projected Lineup

Randal Grichuk CF
José Iglesias SS
Ryan McMahon 3B
Charlie Blackmon RF
Brendan Rodgers 2B
Elias Díaz C
C.J. Cron 1B
Connor Joe LF
Yonathan Daza LF
Chad Kuhl P

Padres Projected Lineup

Nomar Mazara RF
Austin Nola C
Eric Hosmer 1B
Ha-seong Kim SS
Manny Machado 3B
Trent Grisham CF
Luke Voit 1B
Jurickson Profar LF
Jake Cronenworth 2B
Joe Musgrove P


Colorado Rockies: 25-32-0 SU / OU 30-25-2 / Run Line W/L 27-30-0
San Diego Padres: 35-22-0 SU / OU 25-30-2 / Run Line W/L 32-25-0

The San Diego Padres host the Colorado Rockies on Friday June 10th at Petco Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 09:40 ET. The MLB Odds Board places San Diego as the favorite (-250), with an OU line set at 7.0.

Recent Form

Heading into today’s game, Colorado will be looking to tack on another win after taking down the Giants by the score of 4-2. Overall, the team’s pitching staff limited the Giants to 2 runs on 7 hits. The Rockies benefited from an offense that generated 4 runs on 10 hits. Colorado picked up the win, despite getting 210.0 on the moneyline. This matchup remained below the over-under line set at 8.0 runs. Even after this game, Colorado’s overall over-under record sits at 30-25-2.

The Rockies will be hoping to pick up a win in today’s matchup, as they have gone just 2-3 over their last 5 games. In this rough stretch of games, the team’s run differential comes in at -2. A key reason for Colorado’s recent struggles is an offense averaging just 3.8 runs per game over their last 5 contests, compared to a season average of 4.61. Colorado’s overall series record is just 8-9-1.

The San Diego Padres will be looking to pick up another win, as they most recently defeated the Mets by 11 runs (13-2). In the winning effort, the team’s pitchers held the Mets to 2 runs and 5 hits. At the plate, the Padres scored 13 times on 15 hits. San Diego picked up the win while being favored at -128.0. So far, the team has won 65.0% of the games in which they were favored. The Padres and Mets went over the run total line set at 7.0 runs. So far, San Diego has an over-under record of just 25-30-2.

Across their last 5 contests, the Padres are above .500, going 4-1. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at +18. Overall, the Padres are averaging 4.44 runs per contest. But, over their last 5 outings, they have been scoring at a clip of 7.0 runs per contest. On the season, San Diego has won more than half of their series, going 11-5-2.

Pitching Matchup

The Colorado Rockies will send Chad Kuhl to the mound with an overall record of 4-2. In his previous outings, Kuhl is lasting an average of 5.4 innings, putting together an ERA of just 3.17. In his previous outings, right-hander opponents are hitting 0.236 off the right-hander. So far, Kuhl has managed to keep the ball in the ballpark, allowing just 0.83 home runs per 9 innings. Kuhl is in the bottom half of the league in strikeouts, averaging just 4.1 K’s per game. This includes a strikeout percentage of 18.0%. Command has been a problem for Kuhl, as he is giving up 3.33 walks per outing.

The San Diego Padres will send Joe Musgrove to the mound with an overall record of 6-0. Currently, Musgrove has a strong ERA of just 1.64 while pitching an average of 6.6 innings per outing. So far, batters are hitting just 0.197 against him. Not only does Musgrove have a strong batting average allowed, but he has also avoided giving up home runs. In his previous outings, opponents are averaging just 0.55 home runs allowed per 9 innings. On the season, Joe Musgrove has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 25.0% while averaging 6.4 K’s per game. Throughout the season, Musgrove has avoided walking batters, allowing just 1.91 per contest.

Colorado vs San Diego History

Today’s matchup between the Colorado Rockies and San Diego Padres will be their first meeting of the season. Going back to last year, Colorado won the season series, 11 games to 8. The average scoring margin in these games was 3.05, with an over-under record of 7-12. Last year, the two teams combined to average 7.68 runs per game.

Betting Trends

  • Colorado is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • Colorado is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Diego
  • San Diego is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
  • San Diego is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres Prediction

Heading into Friday night’s NL West matchup between Colorado and San Diego, the Padres are the heavy favorite to pick up the win. The odds also suggest that this will be a low-scoring game, with an over-under line at 7 runs. I expect this to be a tightly contested matchup and recommend taking the Rockies to keep this game within 2 runs. I like Colorado on the runline.

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