San Diego Padres vs. Toronto Blue Jays Total Pick

by | Last updated Jul 20, 2023 | mlb

San Diego Padres vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Date: Thursday, July 20th, 1:07 ET
Location: Rogers Centre
TV: MLBN
Money Line: Padres -122/Blue Jays +102
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Toronto Blue Jays and the Padres on Thursday, July 20th at Rogers Centre. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
SD -122 -1.5 O 8.5 (-121)
TOR +102 +1.5 U 8.5 (100)

Padres vs. Blue Jays Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
Ha-Seong Kim 1 SS
Juan Soto 2 RF
Fernando Tatis Jr. 3 RF
Manny Machado 4 3B
Xander Bogaerts 5 SS
Jake Cronenworth 6 2B
Gary Sánchez 7 C
Matt Carpenter 8 DH
Trent Grisham 9 CF
Blake Snell SP


Batting Order Position
George Springer 1 CF
Bo Bichette 2 SS
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 3 1B
Matt Chapman 4 3B
Alejandro Kirk 5 C
Danny Jansen 6 C
Whit Merrifield 7 2B
Daulton Varsho 8 RF
Santiago Espinal 9 2B
Chris Bassitt SP


Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

San Diego Padres: 46-50 SU / OU 39-50 / Runline 47-49
Toronto Blue Jays: 53-43 SU / OU 42-50 / Runline 42-54

On a record of 46-50, the Padres are 4th in the NL West. Currently, they are 9.5 games out of the division lead. Against the Blue Jays, they will be seeking their 3rd straight win. On the road, they have a record of 21-27 while going 25-23 at home. San Diego’s overall series record is 11-15-4.

  • The Padres have covered the runline in three straight games and have a season-long run margin of 0.5.
  • The Padres have been favored in 74.0% of their games and have runline records of 23-25 and 24-24 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Padres have an over/under record of just 39-50.

Heading into their game vs. the Padres, the Blue Jays have a record of 53-43 and have dropped two straight games. In the AL East, they are in 3rd place and have an overall series record of 19-11. At home, they have gone 26-20 and 27-23 on the road.

  • The Blue Jays have two straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 0.4.
  • The Blue Jays have been favored in 74.0% of their games and have runline records of 19-27 and 23-27 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Blue Jays have an over/under record of just 42-50.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Blake Snell 19 19 103 6-7 2.71 1.22 11


Blake Snell has taken the mound 19 times this season and has a record of 6-7. Snell is on a three game streak of not allowing a home-run. His current slugging percentage allowed sits at .320 and he has struckout a total of 139 batters. So far, his WHIP sits at 1.22.

In his last appearance, Blake Snell lasted five innings in the Padres’ 6-4 loss to the Phillies. Individually, Snell finished with a no-decision while giving up zero runs on three hits.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Chris Bassitt 20 20 115 9-5 4.12 1.23 18


Today will be Chris Bassitt’s 21st appearance this season, and he has an overall record of 9-5. His current ERA stands at 4.12 and OBP allowed of .303. So far, he struckout 107 batters and has a WHIP of 1.23. On the road, his ERA is 8.05 compared to 2.83 at home.

The Blue Jays picked up a win the last time Chris Bassitt took the mound, taking down the Diamondbacks by a score of 5-2. In six innings of work, he allowed seven hits and two earned runs while adding a W to his record.

Padres vs. Blue Jays Offense Outlook

With 121 home runs hit so far this season (8th), the Padres are one of the best home run hitting teams in baseball. They are averaging 4.5 runs per game and have a collective batting average of .234. The team’s slugging percentage is .393 on the road and .400 at home.

San Diego Padres Top Hitters On The Road

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Juan Soto .296 11 .562 .414
Ha-Seong Kim .286 7 .461 .365
Fernando Tatis Jr. .246 8 .444 .325
Xander Bogaerts .232 4 .343 .295
Manny Machado .220 9 .447 .307


San Diego Padres Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Trent Grisham .263 5 4 2 .743
Ha-Seong Kim .327 8 5 1 .460
Juan Soto .200 4 3 1 .450
Manny Machado .180 4 4 2 .450
Fernando Tatis Jr. .280 5 2 0 .370


The Blue Jays come into the game ranked 16th in the league on an average of 4.5 runs per game. When it comes to home runs, Toronto is 17th, having hit the ball out of the park 105 times. Their overall batting average stands at .260. On the road, they are hitting .250 while .258 at home.

Toronto Blue Jays Top Hitters vs. Lefties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Bo Bichette .358 3 .582 .400
Matt Chapman .355 3 .597 .404
Whit Merrifield .270 1 .365 .274
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. .315 0 .352 .292
George Springer .235 2 .338 .247


Toronto Blue Jays Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Whit Merrifield .333 4 4 1 .583
George Springer .379 6 1 0 .512
Bo Bichette .417 6 1 1 .604
Danny Jansen .167 2 1 0 .250
Kevin Kiermaier .250 3 1 0 .250


Free MLB Pick

The Jays’ roster has good back numbers against Padres’ starter Blake Snell hitting .293 over 82 career at-bats, but they have been ice-cold at the plate in their last two. Snell has been fantastic since late May, allowing two or fewer runs in ten straight games. Chris Bassett hasn’t had his best stuff at times this season, but he has looked better in his last four starts and has pitched well at home this campaign with a 2.47 ERA. Take the Under 9 -120.

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