Tampa Bay at Seattle Total Pick

by | Last updated May 5, 2022 | mlb

Tampa Bay Rays vs Seattle Mariners
Date: Thursday, May 5th, 09:40 ET
Location: T-Mobile Park
Money Line: Rays -115 / Mariners -105 (BAS)
Total Line: 6.5


Tampa Bay: Shane McClanahan (1-2, 3.0) Seattle: Robbie Ray (2-2, 4.15)

Rays Projected Lineup

RF Manuel Margot 2B Taylor Walls RF Harold Ramirez CF Kevin Kiermaier C Mike Zunino LF Randy Arozarena 2B Brandon Lowe 1B Yandy Díaz SS Wander Franco

Mariners Projected Lineup

CF Julio Rodriguez RF Jarred Kelenic SS J.P. Crawford 2B Abraham Toro C Tom Murphy LF Jesse Winker 3B Eugenio Suárez LF Adam Frazier 1B Ty France


Tampa Bay Rays: 15-10-0 SU / OU 10-14-1 / Run Line W/L 11-14-0 Seattle Mariners: 12-13-0 SU / OU 12-13-0 / Run Line W/L 14-11-0

The Seattle Mariners host the Tampa Bay Rays on Thursday, May 5th at T-Mobile Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 09:40 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Tampa Bay as the favorite (-115), with an OU line set at 8.

Recent Form

Heading into today’s game, Tampa Bay will be looking to tack on another win after taking down the Oakland by the score of 3-0. Overall, the team’s pitching staff limited the Oakland to 0 runs on 4 hits. On offense, Tampa Bay’s lineup put together a total of 6 hits, leading to 3 runs. Heading into this game, Tampa Bay was the betting favorite, at -130.0. So far, the team has been the favorite in 22 of their games, winning at a rate of 64.0%. Combined, the Rays and Oakland fell short of the over-under betting line of 6.5 runs. With this result, Tampa Bay’s over-under record dropped even further, moving to just 10-14-1.

The Rays are looking to continue adding wins, as they are 3-2 over their last 5 games. Even with this record, in these games, their scoring differential is just -3. Tampa Bay’s offense heads into action averaging 4.6 runs per game in their last 5 contests. Similar to their season average of 4.36. So far, Tampa Bay has won over half of their 8 series played, going 5-3-0.

The Seattle will be looking to move on from a tough loss to the Houston by the score of 7-2. On their way to giving up 7 runs, the Mariners staff allowed 10 hits. At the plate, the Mariners only came through for 2 runs on 5 hits. This loss came as no surprise, as Seattle went into the game as they were the underdog getting 195.0. In terms of the over-under, the Mariners and Houston combined to surpass the line of 7.5 runs. On the season, the team has an over-under record of just 12-13-0.

The Mariners come into today’s game looking to turn things around, as they are just 1-4 over their last 5 games. During this time, the team has a run differential of -10. If Seattle is going to pick up their play, they need to improve their offensive performance. Over their last 5 contests, they are averaging just 2.0 runs per game, compared to a season average 4.16. Seattle has a below .500 series record of just 3-4-1.

Pitching Matchup

For the Rays, Shane McClanahan gets the start. So far, he has put together a record of 1-2. To date, McClanahan has an ERA of 3.0, while lasting an average of 5.4 innings per appearance. Through 5 trips to the mound, opposing teams have combined for a batting average of 0.202. Not only does McClanahan have a strong batting average allowed figure, but he has also avoided giving up home runs, averaging just 1 home run allowed per 9 innings pitched. On the season, Shane McClanahan has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 39.0% while averaging 8.4 K’s per 9 innings. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 2.33 walks per contest.

For the Mariners, Robbie Ray gets the start. So far, he has put together a record of 2-2. Leading up to the game, Ray is hoping to bring down an ERA of 4.15. So far, he is averaging 6.02 innings per outing. Opposing lineups have put together a combined batting average of 0.234 against Ray. In terms of power, the left-hander is giving up 1 homer per 9 innings pitched. Heading into today’s action, Robbie Ray is averaging 5.2 K’ per 9 innings. Throughout the season, walks have been an issue, as he is giving up 3.56 free passes per outing.

Tampa Bay vs Seattle History

So far, the Seattle Mariners and Tampa Bay Rays have met up 3 times, with Tampa Bay leading the season series, 2-1. Through 3 games, the series’ over-under record is 1-2, with the average run total sitting at 8.43 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 2.0 runs. Dating back to last season, Seattle picked up 6 wins compared to 1, taking the season series. In these 7 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 3-4. Last year, the Mariners and Rays averaged 8.43 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 2.71 runs per contest.

Betting Trends

  • Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
  • Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 road games.
  • Mariners are 11-4 in their last 15 during game 1 of a series.
  • Mariners are 8-3 in their last 11 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Tampa Bay Rays at Seattle Mariners Prediction

Neither pitcher is on top of his game right now and one or both could easily give up three plus today and with a total this low that seems like the best bet.

Free Pick:

Over 6.5

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