Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles Total Play

by | Last updated May 9, 2023 | mlb

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles
Date: Tuesday, May 9th, 6:35 ET
Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
TV: MASN
Money Line: Rays -126/Orioles +107 (Deposit $200 get $100 FREE!)
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Baltimore Orioles and the Rays on Tuesday, May 9th at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
TB -126 -1.5 O 8.5 (-115)
BAL +107 +1.5 U 8.5 (-105)

Rays vs. Orioles Projected Lineup

 

Batting Order Position
Yandy Díaz 1 1B
Wander Franco 2 SS
Randy Arozarena 3 LF
Brandon Lowe 4 2B
Harold Ramírez 5 LF
Isaac Paredes 6 3B
Josh Lowe 7 CF
Christian Bethancourt 8 C
Jose Siri 9 CF
Zach Eflin SP

 

Batting Order Position
Cedric Mullins 1 CF
Adley Rutschman 2 C
Ryan Mountcastle 3 1B
Anthony Santander 4 RF
Gunnar Henderson 5 SS
Adam Frazier 6 2B
Jorge Mateo 7 SS
Ramón Urías 8 3B
Austin Hays 9 LF
Grayson Rodriguez SP

 

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Tampa Bay Rays: 29-7 SU / OU 19-14 / Runline 23-13
Baltimore Orioles: 22-13 SU / OU 20-14 / Runline 21-14

The Rays take on the Orioles in the middle of a two game winning streak and are leading the AL East on an overall record of 29-7. So far, they are 10-4 on the road and 19-3 at home. Tampa Bay’s overall series record stands at 9-2.

 

  • The Rays have covered the runline in two straight games and have a season-long run margin of 3.3.
  • The Rays have been favored in 94.4% of their games and have runline records of 14-8 and 9-5 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 58% of the Rays’ 36 games at 19-14.

Heading into their game vs. the Rays, the Orioles have a record of 22-13 and have dropped three straight games. In the AL East, they are in 2nd place and have an overall series record of 8-3. At home, they have gone 9-5 and 13-8 on the road.

 

  • The Orioles have covered the runline in 60.0% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.7
  • The Orioles have been favored in 54.3% of their games and have runline records of 6-8 and 15-6 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 59% of the Orioles’ 35 games at 20-14.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Zach Eflin 5 5 28 4-0 2.25 .96 3

The Rays will turn to starter Zach Eflin who has an overall record of 4-0. After five appearances, his ERA is 2.25 and he has a K/9 figure of 1.1. Also, he has compiled a FIP of 2.96 and an OBP of .257.

Zach Eflin finished with a quality start and a win in his last appearance, as the Rays took down the Pirates by final score of 3-2. Eflin gave up zero runs and three hits across seven innings.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Grayson Rodriguez 6 6 28 1-0 5.46 1.54 5

Grayson Rodriguez has an overall record of 1-0, and will get the start for the Orioles. With six appearances, his ERA currently stands at 5.46, while his K/9 figure is 1.3. Additionally, he has a FIP of 4.32 and an OBP of .347.

In his most recent outing, Grayson Rodriguez faced the Royals and allowed six runs on eight hits across 3 2/3 innings. Although he didn’t get the win or the loss, his team, the Orioles, won the game by a score of 13-10.

Rays vs. Orioles Offense Outlook

The Rays have played 36 games and have an average of 6.3 runs per game, which puts them 1st in the league. Tampa Bay has hit 73 home runs (1st). Their batting average comes in at .275, while hitting .288 on the road and .256 at home.

Tampa Bay Rays Team Hitting Stats

Team Games Runs HR BA OBP SLG
Rays 36 6.3 (1st) 73 (1st) .275 (1st) .346 (1st) .346 (1st)

Tampa Bay Rays Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Yandy Díaz .367 6 5 2 .717
Randy Arozarena .363 6 2 2 .863
Wander Franco .323 6 2 0 .423
Luke Raley .250 4 2 1 .500
Jose Siri .083 1 2 1 .333

This season, Baltimore has been scoring an average of 5.3 runs per game, ranking them 7th in the league. In terms of home runs, they have hit 41 long balls, placing them in the middle of the pack. Their batting average of .254 ranks 12th in the league. On the road, the Orioles are 11th in batting average, compared to 10th at home.

Baltimore Orioles Team Hitting Stats

Team Games Runs HR BA OBP SLG
Orioles 35 5.3 (7th) 41 (11th) .254 (12th) .335 (7th) .335 (7th)

Baltimore Orioles Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Anthony Santander .427 9 5 3 .953
Adam Frazier .233 4 4 0 .283
Cedric Mullins .210 5 2 1 .410
Ramón Urías .420 6 0 0 .520
Gunnar Henderson .167 2 3 1 .467

Free MLB Pick

The Tampa Bay Rays are set to face the Baltimore Orioles, who have been performing well offensively this season. The Rays are currently the top team in runs scored and OPS, while the Orioles are not far behind in both categories. This indicates that we could see a high-scoring game between these two teams.

The Orioles will start rookie Grayson Rodriguez, who has shown glimpses of his potential but has yet to establish consistency. In contrast, Tampa Bay’s starter Zach Eflin has been impressive this season, holding the opposition to three or fewer runs in each of his five starts. However, it’s worth noting that Eflin has not faced the toughest schedule, with starts against Detroit, Oakland, Chicago White Sox (twice), and Pittsburgh

Considering the potential for a high-scoring game and the starting pitching matchup, I recommend taking the Over for this game. With both teams capable of putting up runs and the Rays’ ace pitcher facing a formidable Orioles lineup, we could see a high-scoring affair.

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