Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Mets Total Pick

by | Last updated Jun 3, 2023 | mlb

Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Mets
Date: Saturday, June 3rd, 4:10 ET
Location: Citi Field
TV: MLBN
Money Line: Blue Jays -114/Mets -104
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the New York Mets and the Blue Jays on Saturday, June 3rd at Citi Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
TOR -114 -1.5 O 9 (-105)
NYM -104 +1.5 U 9 (-115)

Blue Jays vs. Mets Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
George Springer 1 CF
Bo Bichette 2 SS
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 3 1B
Brandon Belt 4 1B
Matt Chapman 5 3B
Whit Merrifield 6 2B
Daulton Varsho 7 RF
Alejandro Kirk 8 C
Kevin Kiermaier 9 CF
José Berríos SP


Batting Order Position
Brandon Nimmo 1 CF
Francisco Lindor 2 SS
Jeff McNeil 3 2B
Pete Alonso 4 1B
Brett Baty 5 3B
Starling Marte 6 CF
Daniel Vogelbach 7 DH
Mark Canha 8 LF
Francisco Alvarez 9 C
Tylor Megill SP


Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Toronto Blue Jays: 31-27 SU / OU 27-29 / Runline 28-30
New York Mets: 30-28 SU / OU 26-31 / Runline 22-36

On a record of 31-27, the Blue Jays are 4th in the AL East. Currently, they are nine games out of the division lead. Against the Mets, they will be seeking their 3rd straight win. On the road, they have a record of 16-17 while going 15-10 at home. Toronto’s overall series record is 11-7.

  • The Blue Jays have covered the runline in two straight games and have a season-long run margin of 0.5.
  • The Blue Jays have been favored in 69.0% of their games and have runline records of 11-14 and 17-16 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Blue Jays have an over/under record of just 27-29.

So far this season, the Mets have an overall record of 30-28, putting them 2nd in the NL East. Currently, they are 3.5 games out in the division. Across their last ten games, they are an even 5-5. On the road, they have gone 15-18 and 15-10 at home. The team’s series record is 8-8-3.

  • The Mets have covered the runline in 37.9% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.2
  • The Mets have been favored in 75.9% of their games and have runline records of 10-15 and 12-21 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Mets have an over/under record of just 26-31.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
José Berríos 11 11 65 5-4 3.86 1.25 7


José Berríos heads into the game with an overall record of 5-4 and an ERA of 3.86. In his seven appearances on the road, he has an ERA of 5.26 and record of 3-3. At home, he has put together a mark of 2-1 and ERA of 2.26. His season-long WHIP stands at 1.25, accompanied by a batting average allowed of .252. Teams facing him have amassed a slugging percentage of .396.

The Blue Jays picked up a win the last time José Berríos took the mound, taking down the Twins by a score of 3-0. In 5 2/3 innings of work, he allowed four hits and zero earned runs while adding a W to his record.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Tylor Megill 11 11 54 5-3 4.67 1.59 8


The Mets will turn to starter Tylor Megill who has an overall record of 5-3. Through 11 appearances his ERA stands at 4.67 with a K/9 figure of 0.8. So far, he has put together of FIP of 5.28 to go along with an OBP of .359.

During Tylor Megill’s last game, he pitched for four innings. The Mets went on to lose to the Rockies by a score of 11-10. Megill earned a no-decision, allowing six runs on 10 hits.

Blue Jays vs. Mets Offense Outlook

The Blue Jays have played 58 games this season and currently hold a 9th position in the league with an average of 4.7 runs per game. In terms of home runs, they have gone deep 66 times, putting Toronto 11th in the league. Their batting average stands at .266, including .257 on the road and .263 at home.

Toronto Blue Jays Top Hitters vs. Righties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Bo Bichette .311 9 .490 .361
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. .272 8 .467 .346
George Springer .257 5 .383 .304
Matt Chapman .250 6 .448 .341
Whit Merrifield .297 1 .372 .325


Toronto Blue Jays Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Matt Chapman .317 5 4 1 .617
George Springer .333 6 3 1 .550
Whit Merrifield .383 7 3 0 .433
Daulton Varsho .250 5 3 1 .450
Bo Bichette .300 6 1 1 .450


The Mets have played 59 games so far and have an average of 4.4 runs per game, putting them 16th in the league. New York has hit 65 home runs, ranking them 12th in the MLB. Their overall batting average is .242, while hitting .236 on the road and .225 at home.

New York Mets Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Pete Alonso .235 .331 .539 46 20 1
Francisco Lindor .216 .289 .414 40 10 4
Brandon Nimmo .290 .375 .425 21 4 3


New York Mets Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Mark Canha .375 4 3 2 1.000
Starling Marte .333 5 4 0 .467
Tommy Pham .375 3 2 0 .750
Francisco Lindor .107 2 2 2 .427
Pete Alonso .180 4 2 0 .300


Free MLB Pick

Tylor Megill has gotten roughed up in his last two starts, but those were both on the road, with one at Coors and one at Wrigley with the wind blowing out. He has pitched well at home with a 3-1 record and 3.29 ERA. The Under was 4-1 in his five starts at Citi Field. The Jays send out Jose Berrios, who has been ultra-sharp in his last three, pitching 19 1/3 innings and allowing four earned runs. His road numbers overall are not great, but his last two starts on the road were in Tampa Bay and Minnesota, and he picked up a QS in both games, allowing four runs over 13 2/3 innings. The forecast calls for a strong wind blowing in. Take the Under 9 -120

MLB Betting Guide

New to betting on baseball? We've got you covered! Our comprehensive how to bet on baseball article explains all the different types of wagers offered at the sportsbooks including money lines, over/unders, run lines, parlays and more! Also get tips and strategies to increase your odds of beating the bookies!