Twins vs. Padres Total Prediction 7/29/22

by | Jul 29, 2022 | mlb

Minnesota Twins vs San Diego Padres
Date: Friday July 29th, 09:40 ET
Location: Petco Park
TV: Bally Sports San Diego
Money Line: Twins 100 / Padres -120
Total Line: 7.5

STARTING PITCHING

Minnesota: Joe Ryan (7-3, 2.89)
San Diego: Blake Snell (2-5, 4.75)

Twins Projected Lineup

Jose Miranda 3B
Kyle Garlick LF
Gary Sánchez C
Nick Gordon CF
Gio Urshela SS
Alex Kirilloff RF
Jorge Polanco 2B
Byron Buxton CF
Carlos Correa SS
Joe Ryan P

Padres Projected Lineup

Ha-seong Kim SS
Nomar Mazara RF
Jorge Alfaro C
Eric Hosmer 1B
Manny Machado 3B
Trent Grisham CF
Luke Voit 1B
Jurickson Profar LF
Jake Cronenworth 1B
Blake Snell P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Minnesota Twins: 52-46-0 SU / OU 47-44-7 / Run Line W/L 44-54-0
San Diego Padres: 55-45-0 SU / OU 45-52-3 / Run Line W/L 47-53-0

The San Diego Padres host the Minnesota Twins on Friday, July 29th at Petco Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 09:40 ET. The MLB Odds Board places San Diego as the favorite (-120), with an OU line set at 7.5.

Recent Form

The Twins are hoping to get back on track after falling to the Brewers by a score of 10-4. In the loss, Minnesota’s pitchers gave up 10 runs on 8 hits. Offensively, they finished with just 4 runs on 7 hits. Minnesota’s loss came as the underdog, getting 180.0 on the moneyline. 5 This game went over the posted over-under line of 8.0 runs. Minnesota now has an over-under record of 47-44-7.

After their 5 most recent games, the Twins have gone just 2-3. This mark has come on an average run margin of just -6. However, the team’s offense isn’t to blame, as they are averaging 5.4 runs per game (last 5) compared to their season average of 4.57. So far, Minnesota has won over half of their 31 series played, going 15-11-5.

The Padres will look to bounce back from a tight 4-3 loss to the Tigers. For the game, the pitching staff held the Tigers to 4 runs on 9 hits. With their 5 hits, the Padres could only plate 3 runners. Leading into the game, San Diego was the betting favorite at -135.0. So far, the team has won 54.0% of the games in which they were favored. Combined, the Padres and the Tigers matched the over-under total of 7.0. This result drops San Diego’s over-under record down to 45-52-3.

The Padres come into today’s game looking to turn things around, as they are just 2-3 over their last 5 games. During this time, the team has a run differential of -9. Even with their recent struggles, the offense has been steady, averaging 4.0 runs per game. This is right in line with their season average of 4.32. On the season, San Diego has won more than half of their series, going 15-11-5.

Pitching Matchup

Minnesota will roll with Joe Ryan (7-3) as their starter. In his previous outings, Ryan has lasted an average of 5.4 innings, putting together an ERA of just 2.89. So far, batters are hitting just 0.207 against him. Per 9 innings pitched, Ryan is averaging 1.0 home runs allowed. On the season, Joe Ryan has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 22.0%. This includes a per game average of 4.87 K’s per game. Command has been a problem for Ryan, as he is giving up 2.56 walks per outing.

San Diego will roll with Blake Snell (2-5) as their starter. Snell gets the start with an ERA of 4.75. On average, he has lasted 5.0 innings per appearance. Snell’s opponent batting average currently sits at 0.228. Throughout the season, Snell has done a good job at limiting home runs, allowing 0.82 per 9 innings. Overall, Blake Snell has struckout 28.9% of the batters he has faced. On average, he averages 6.45 K’s per game. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 5.4 walks per outing.

Minnesota vs San Diego History

Today’s matchup between the Minnesota Twins and San Diego Padres will be their first meeting of the season.

More Picks: Get our Mariners at Houston Recommended Bet 7/29/22

Betting Trends

  • Twins are 16-7 in their last 23 games following a loss.
  • Twins are 18-41 in their last 59 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Padres are 7-2 in their last 9 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Padres are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.

Minnesota Twins at San Diego Padres Prediction

Heading into Friday’s interleague matchup between Minnesota and San Diego, the over-under total is set at 7.5 runs. Look for this to be a low-scoring contest as Joe Ryan comes into the game with an outstanding WHIP of just 1.05. On the other side, Blake Snell is coming off a scoreless outing vs the Mets and has given up 1 run or less in 3 of his past 4 appearances. I recommend taking the under.

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