Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins

by | Last updated May 18, 2023 | mlb

Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins
Date: Thursday, May 18th, 1:10 ET
Location: loanDepot Park
TV: BSFL
Money Line: Nationals +131/Marlins -155
Total Line: 8

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Miami Marlins and the Nationals on Thursday, May 18th at loanDepot Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
WSH +131 +1.5 O 8 (-110)
MIA -155 -1.5 U 8 (-111)

Nationals vs. Marlins Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
Lane Thomas 1 RF
Luis García 2 2B
Keibert Ruiz 3 C
Jeimer Candelario 4 3B
Dominic Smith 5 1B
Jake Alu 6 3B
Alex Call 7 CF
CJ Abrams 8 SS
Corey Dickerson 9 LF
Trevor Williams RP


Batting Order Position
Garrett Hampson 1 SS
Garrett Cooper 2 1B
Luis Arraez 3 2B
Jorge Soler 4 DH
Bryan De La Cruz 5 CF
Jean Segura 6 SS
Peyton Burdick 7 LF
Jacob Stallings 8 C
Joey Wendle 9 3B
Eury Perez SP


Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Washington Nationals: 18-25 SU / OU 19-23 / Runline 28-15
Miami Marlins: 22-21 SU / OU 19-22 / Runline 15-28

If the Nationals are going to climb out of last place in the NL East, they will need to turn things around with a win over the Marlins. Heading into the game, the Nationals have lost two straight games and stand with an overall record of 18-25. On the road, the Nationals are 10-11 and 8-14 at home. The team’s overall series record is 4-7.

  • The Nationals have covered the runline in three straight games and have a season-long run margin of -0.5.
  • The Nationals have been favored in 0.0% of their games and have runline records of 11-11 and 17-4 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Nationals have an over/under record of just 19-23.

On a record of 22-21, the Marlins are 2nd in the NL East. Currently, they are five games out of the division lead. Against the Nationals, they will be seeking their 4th straight win. On the road, they have a record of 9-10 while going 13-11 at home. Miami’s overall series record is 7-6.

  • The Marlins have two straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of -1.3.
  • The Marlins have been favored in 41.9% of their games and have runline records of 7-17 and 8-11 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Marlins have an over/under record of just 19-22.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Trevor Williams 8 8 38 1-1 4.23 1.30 6

 

Trevor Williams heads into the game with an overall record of 1-1 and an ERA of 4.23. In his four appearances on the road, he has an ERA of 5.99 and record of 1-0. At home, he has put together a mark of 0-1 and ERA of 2.76. His season-long WHIP stands at 1.30, accompanied by a batting average allowed of .279. Teams facing him have amassed a slugging percentage of .490.

Trevor Williams is coming off a short outing, throwing 2 1/3 innings while giving up one run on two hits. Williams took a no-decision in the Nationals’ 3-2 win over the Mets.

In Eury Perez’s last game, he threw 4 2/3 innings for the Marlins. While allowing two runs on four hits, he took a no-decision. The team lost the game to the Reds with a score of 7-4.

Nationals vs. Marlins Offense Outlook

The Nationals have played 43 games so far this season and are currently ranked 25th in the league with an average of 4.0 runs per game. In terms of home run hitting, Washington is 29th, having hit the ball out of the park 28 times. Their overall batting average is .259, including .257 on the road and .248 at home.

Washington Nationals Top Hitters vs. Righties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Joey Meneses .311 2 .403 .327
Lane Thomas .245 2 .355 .283
Keibert Ruiz .265 3 .378 .314
CJ Abrams .258 3 .412 .312
Luis García .234 2 .318 .279

 

Washington Nationals Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Jeimer Candelario .550 9 4 0 .867
CJ Abrams .300 6 3 2 .650
Lane Thomas .340 7 5 1 .560
Joey Meneses .325 6 0 0 .475
Dominic Smith .383 7 2 0 .383

 

Miami has hit 39 home runs so far this season, ranking just 24th in the league. Their batting average of .250 is 14th in the league, while their OPS ranks 19th on the road and 22nd at home.

Miami Marlins Team Hitting Stats

Team Games Runs HR BA OBP SLG
Marlins 43 3.5 (28th) 39 (24th) .250 (14th) .306 (26th) .306 (26th)

 

Miami Marlins Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Bryan De La Cruz .500 9 4 1 .917
Jorge Soler .273 5 5 2 .593
Jazz Chisholm Jr. .367 3 2 2 1.167
Luis Arraez .340 7 2 0 .480
Jean Segura .333 6 1 0 .433

 

Free MLB Pick

Eury Perez didn’t embarrass himself in his first career MLB start, but he did give up two home runs over 4 2/3 innings (4 2/3 IP, 4 H, 7 SO 2 HR) and could go either direction today. The Nats counter with Trevor Williams who has been mediocre this season, but he hasn’t been going very deep into games averaging 4 2/3 innings per start. That’s not the ideal setup with Washington’s sub-par bullpen. Additionally, Trevor Williams has three starts against the Marlins (all wins for his team), but the games date back as far as 2017 and his historical numbers against this lineup are not pretty, allowing a .295 batting average over 44 at-bats. Take the Over 8. Bet your baseball picks for FREE this week by scoring a 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $500 when you enter bonus code PREDICTEM on the special offers page (directly after you make your first deposit and before you place your first bet) at the web’s oldest and most trusted online bookie: Everygame Sportsbook! (Formerly Intertops – Online since the 1990’s!)

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