White Sox vs. Mariners Odds & Predictions

by | Last updated Sep 6, 2022 | mlb

Chicago White Sox vs Seattle Mariners

Date: Tuesday September 6th, 09:40 ET

Location: T-Mobile Park


Money Line: White Sox +122 / Mariners -145 (Stop overpaying for odds! Risk less and win more at BetanySports Sportsbook!)

Total Line: 7.0


Chicago: Johnny Cueto (7-6, 2.93)
Seattle: Logan Gilbert (11-5, 3.41)

White Sox Projected Lineup

Yasmani Grandal C
Josh Harrison 2B
Andrew Vaughn LF
Gavin Sheets RF
Romy Gonzalez 2B
José Abreu 1B
Eloy Jiménez LF
Elvis Andrus SS
Luis Robert CF
Johnny Cueto P

Mariners Projected Lineup

Adam Frazier RF
Cal Raleigh C
Eugenio Suárez 3B
Mitch Haniger RF
Carlos Santana 1B
J.P. Crawford SS
Ty France 1B
Julio Rodriguez CF
Jesse Winker LF
Logan Gilbert P


Chicago White Sox: 68-67-0 SU / OU 59-67-9 / Run Line W/L 60-75-0
Seattle Mariners: 76-59-0 SU / OU 62-66-7 / Run Line W/L 73-62-0

The Seattle Mariners host the Chicago White Sox on Tuesday September 6th at T-Mobile Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 09:40 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Seattle as the favorite (-145), with an OU line set at 7.0.

Recent Form

The Chicago White Sox head into today’s matchup after picking up a close win over Seattle by the score of 3-2. Overall, the team’s pitching staff limited Seattle to 2 runs on 6 hits. The team was able to pick up the win despite scoring just 3 runs on their 5 hits. In the matchup, Chicago was favored at -125.0 on the moneyline. So far, the team has been the favorite in 90 of their games, winning at a rate of 53.0%. Combined, the White Sox and Seattle fell short of the over-under betting line of 7.5 runs. This outcome pushed Chicago’s over-under record further below .500 at 59-67-9.

In the White Sox’s last 5 games, they are above .500, going 4-1. Over this stretch, the team has a positive run differential at +17. Their hot play has been driven by an offense that typically averages 4.24 runs per game. But, over this stretch this figure has bumped up to 5.6. So far, Chicago has won over half of their 44 series played, going 18-16-10.

In their last game, the Mariners suffered a 1 run loss to the White Sox by a score of 3-2. Despite the losing effort, the team’s pitchers held the White Sox to 3 runs and 5 hits. With their 6 hits, the Mariners could only plate 2 runners. This loss came as no surprise, as Seattle came into the game as the underdog, getting 105.0. So far, the team has gone into 63 games as the underdog, still finding the win column at a rate of 44.0%. With this result, the Mariners and White Sox combined to fall below the over-under line of 7.5 runs. Now, Seattle had an over-under record of 62-66-7.

In their last 5 games, the Mariners have put together a record of 4-1. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at +18. Seattle has benefited from strong pitching, as their offense has slipped in their last 5 games, averaging just 5.0 runs per game. Their overall average sits at 4.19. On the season, Seattle has won more than half of their series, going 23-17-3.

Pitching Matchup

Johnny Cueto gets the start for the White Sox, with an overall record of 7-6. Currently, Cueto has an ERA of just 2.93 while pitching an average of 6.45 innings per outing. Across his previous starts, opposing teams have put together a batting average of 0.253. So far, Cueto has managed to keep the ball in the ballpark, allowing just 0.91 home runs per 9 innings. On the season, Johnny Cueto has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 16.0%. This includes a per game average of 4.1 K’s per game. In his previous outings, walks have been an issue, as Cueto is averaging 1.88 free passes per outing.

In today’s game, Seattle turns to starter Logan Gilbert. For the year, he has a record of 11-5. To date, Gilbert has an ERA of 3.41 while lasting an average of 5.75 innings per appearance. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of 0.247. Opposing batters are hitting for power at a below-average rate against Gilbert, as he is allowing just 0.99 per 9 innings. Per game, Logan Gilbert is averaging 5.26, on a strikeout percentage of 22.0%. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 2.43 walks per outing.

Chicago vs Seattle History

For the season, the Chicago White Sox and Seattle Mariners will be playing their 5th game of the season. Chicago has the lead in the series at 3-1. The over-under record in this series sits at 1-3. The average run total in these games is 10.17 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 2.0 runs. When looking back to last season, Chicago and Seattle split the season series, with each team picking up 3. In these 6 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 4-2. Last year, the White Sox and Mariners averaged 10.17 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 4.17 runs per game.

Betting Trends

  • Chi White Sox is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi White Sox’s last 6 games
  • Seattle is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Seattle is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

Chicago White Sox at Seattle Mariners Prediction

Leading into Tuesday’s AL matchup between Chicago and Seattle, the over-under line is set at 7 runs. Even with the low figure, I recommend taking the under, as both offenses should struggle against tonight’s starting pitchers. Aside from a bad outing vs Arizona, Johnny Cueto has been excellent for the White Sox, while Logan Gilbert most recently tossed 6 scoreless innings.

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