Yankees vs. Royals Betting Predictions 4/29/22

by | Apr 29, 2022 | mlb

New York Yankees vs Kansas City Royals

Date: Friday, April 28th, 8:10 ET

Location: Kauffman Stadium

TV: APLTV

Money Line: Yankees -200 / Royals +167 (MyBookie - Grab a 100% bonus up to $300 when you use bonus code PREDICT100)

Total Line: 8

STARTING PITCHING

New York: Nestor Cortes (0-0, 1.15)
Kansas City: Kris Bubic (0-1, 14.14)

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

New York Yankees: 13-6-0 SU / OU 7-12-0 / Run Line W/L 11-8-0
Kansas City Royals: 7-10-0 SU / OU 6-10-1 / Run Line W/L 9-8-0

The Kansas City Royals host the New York Yankees on Friday, April 28th at Kauffman Stadium. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 8:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places New York as the favorite (-200), with the total line set at 8.

Recent Form

The New York Yankees will look to pick up another big win after they defeated the Baltimore by a score of 10-5. Heading into this game, New York was the betting favorite with a moneyline of -171.0. Through 19 games as the favorite, the team has won at a rate of 68.0%. On offense, New York’s lineup put together a total of 10 hits, while the pitching staff allowed 5 runs on 14 hits. Together, the Yankees and Baltimore combined to surpass the over-under betting line set at 8.0 runs. Even with this game going over the total, New York still has an over-under record of just 7-12-0.

The Yankees will look to continue their strong play, as they are 5-0 over their last five contests. Over this stretch, the team has a positive run differential at 21. A key to their recent success has been an offense averaging 8.4 runs per game compared to their season average of 4.47. So far, New York has won over half of their 6 series played, going 4-1-1

Kansas City will look to keep things rolling as they are coming off a 5-2 win over the Chicago White Sox. This was a good win for the Royals, as they were underdogs at 110.0. So far, the team has gone into 6 games as the underdog, finding the win column at a rate of 33.0%. Offensively, Kansas City came up with 6 hits, while the team’s pitching staff allowed 5 hits, leading to 2 runs. With this result, the Royals and White Sox combined to fall below the over-under line of 7.5 runs. This result comes as no surprise, as the team’s over-under record is just 6-10-1.

The Royals come into today’s game looking to turn things around, as they are just 2-3 over their last 5 games. During this time, the team has a run differential of -2. For the season, Kansas City also has a below .500 series record of just 2-3-1.

Pitching Matchup

For the Yankees, Nestor Cortes gets the start, having yet to factor into a decision. Currently, Cortes has a strong ERA of just 1.15 while pitching an average of 5.07 innings per outing. So far, batters are hitting just 0.132 against him. Not only does Cortes have a strong batting average allowed figure, but he has also avoided giving up home runs, averaging just 0.57 home runs allowed per 9 innings pitched. On the season, Nestor Cortes has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 44.6%.

For the Royals, Kris Bubic gets the start. So far, he has a record of 0-1. Leading up to the game, Bubic is hoping to bring down an ERA of 14.14. So far, he is averaging 2.33 innings per outing. Opposing teams have been able to string together hits against Bubic, with a batting average allowed of 0.387. Not only are opposing team’s getting on base through hits at an above-average rate, they are also doing damage through home runs. So far, Bubic is allowing 1.29 homers per 9 innings pitched.

New York vs Kansas City History

Today’s matchup between the New York Yankees and Kansas City Royals will be their first meeting of the season. Going back to last year, New York won the season series, 4 games to 1. In these 5 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 4-1, with the average scoring differential sitting at 3.0 runs. Last year, New York and KC combined to average 10.67 runs per game.

Betting Trends

  • Yankees are 6-0 in their last 6 overall.
  • Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Royals are 6-1 in their last 7 Friday games.
  • Royals are 5-2 in their last 7 home games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.

New York Yankees at Kansas City Royals Prediction

Heading into this matchup, the Yankees are the heavy betting favorite, as their offense is hitting on all cylinders. So far, their 1.32 home runs per game, leads the MLB. Look for another big scoring night from the team, as they have been strong against left-handed pitching, averaging the 6th most runs per at-bat vs. lefties. I feel comfortable grabbing New York on the runline.

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