Bucks at Hawks Game 3 Odds & Picks

by | Jun 27, 2021 | nba

Milwaukee Bucks (46-26 SU, 32-40 ATS) at Atlanta Hawks (41-31, 39-32), 6/27/21

When: 8:30 pm ET Sunday, June 27

Where: State Farm Arena

TV: TNT

Point spread: Mil -4/Atl +4

Total: 224

After splitting the first two games of this best-of-seven Eastern Conference finals in Milwaukee, the teams head down to Atlanta for Game 3 Sunday night. The Bucks began this series as -490 favorites to win it, with the Hawks getting +390 as the underdogs. Now, with home-court advantage switching over to Atlanta, Milwaukee is chalked at -430, with the Hawks now getting +330. Here’s how we home-worked Game 3 for our free NBA playoffs betting pick.

NBA Playoffs Betting Odds

The NBA playoffs betting market opened Milwaukee as a five-point road favorite for Game 3, with an over/under of right around 224. Early betting action then dipped the Bucks to -4.

The best Game 3 money line we could find on Milwaukee was the -180 at BAS, while Atlanta was getting +170 at Bovada to win this game outright.

Bucks-Hawks NBA Betting Preview

This series is tied at one game apiece following Milwaukee’s 1125-91 Game 2 romp at home Friday night. The Bucks led that game 51-40 midway through the second quarter, then used a 20-0 run to lead 77-45 into the half. Milwaukee pushed its advantage to 41 points late in the third quarter on its way to the easy victory and cover as 8.5-point favorites.

The Bucks shot 52 percent from the floor Friday, held Atlanta to 42 percent shooting, out-rebounded the Hawks 47-34, and won points in the paint 62-30.

Also, Game 2 played under a total of 226.

With Friday’s win/cover, Milwaukee is now 9-4 SU, 7-6 ATS this postseason.

With Friday’s loss, Atlanta is now 9-5 both SU and ATS this postseason.

The Hawks took the opener of this series Wednesday night 116-113, winning outright as eight-point underdogs.

On the injury front, Atlanta is playing without F De’Andre Hunter (15 points, five rebounds per game this season), who’s sidelined with a bad knee.

Milwaukee played five games better than Atlanta during the regular season, 46-25 to 41-31, and took the season series from the Hawks two games to one. So the Bucks are 3-2, both SU and ATS this season against Atlanta.

Bucks-Hawks NBA Playoffs Betting Trends

  1. The Bucks are 3-3, both SU and ATS on the road this postseason.
  2. The Hawks are 3-2, both SU and ATS at home this postseason.
  3. The Bucks are 4-3 ATS when favored by five points or less this postseason.
  4. Home teams are 41-32 SU, 36-36 ATS this NBA postseason.
  5. Favorites are 46-27 SU, 41-31 ATS this NBA postseason.

Totals Report

Unders are 8-4 in Bucks games this postseason.

Unders are 10-4 in Hawks games this postseason.

Unders are 3-2 in Bucks-Hawks games this season, which have averaged 226 total points against an average over/under of 228.

Unders are 36-35 this NBA postseason.

Free NBA Playoffs Pick

We played Atlanta plus the points for the first two games of this series and came away with a split. But we liked Milwaukee to win this series, and we still believe that will happen. The Bucks are the better team here, especially with the Hawks down a key man, and playing on the road means the spread is more amenable. So we’re betting Milwaukee here, minus the points, for our free NBA playoffs pick for Sunday. Bet your Bucks/Hawks pick FREE by taking advantage of a 100% REAL CASH bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $300 at MyBookie Sportsbook! (Must use bonus code PREDICT100 to receive the special bonus!)