Bucks vs. Bulls Odds & Predictions

by | Apr 5, 2022 | nba

Milwaukee Bucks (48-30 SU, 37-41-0 ATS) vs. Chicago Bulls (45-33 SU, 41-36-1 ATS)
When: Tuesday April 05 2022, 08:00 PM (ET)
Where: United Center, Chicago, Illinois
TV: BSWI

Point Spread: MIL -4.5/CHI +4.5 (Opened MIL -4 at MyBookie)
Total: 228.5 (Opened at 224.5)
Money Line: Milwaukee -190/Chicago 155
Power Rating: MIL -4

Probable Starting Lineups

Milwaukee Bucks PG Jrue Holiday, SG Grayson Allen, SF Khris Middleton, PF Giannis Antetokounmpo P, C Brook Lopez
Chicago Bulls PG Alex Caruso IN, SG Ayo Dosunmu, SF Zach LaVine P, PF DeMar DeRozan, C Nikola Vucevic

Key Injuries

Milwaukee Bucks Giannis Antetokounmpo: Knee (PROBABLE) DeAndre’ Bembry: Knee (OUT)

Chicago Bulls Alex Caruso: Back (PROBABLE) Zach LaVine: Knee (PROBABLE) Matt Thomas: Leg (QUESTIONABLE) Lonzo Ball: Knee (OUT)

The Chicago Bulls host the Milwaukee Bucks in an Eastern-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 08:00 PM ET at the United Center.

Recent Form

The Milwaukee Bucks come into this game with an overall record of 48-30, placing them 4th in the Eastern Conference. So far, Milwaukee is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 22-16. Over the Bucks’ last five games, they have picked up just 2 wins. In this stretch, Milwaukee’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 114.0 points per game. Combined, the Bucks’ last five opponents are giving up 108.0 points per contest. A key reason for Milwaukee’s recent struggles is a defensive unit giving up 127.0 points over their previous five contests. This figure is up from their season average of 112.0. In the Milwaukee Bucks’ most recent game, the team fell to Dallas by a score of 118-112.

The Chicago Bulls come into this game with an overall record of 45-33, placing them 5th in the Eastern Conference. So far, Chicago is above .500 at home, holding a record of 27-11. The Bulls have played well over their last five games, picking up 3 wins. In this stretch, Chicago’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 111.0 points per game. Combined, the Bulls’ last five opponents are giving up 108.0 points per contest. The Bulls have been picking up victories while holding opponents to an average of 111.0 points per game, similar to their season average of 111.4. In the Chicago Bulls’ most recent game, the team fell to Miami by a score of 127-109.

Individual Player Analysis

As Milwaukee travels to take on the Chicago Bulls, the Bucks’ leading scorer is Giannis Antetokounmpo. Through 65 games, Antetokounmpo is averaging 30 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 42.0% of his games. As Antetokounmpo gets set to take on the Bulls, he could be in line for a big game as Chicago is allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 59.38% of their games. This figure places them 29th among NBA defenses. On the other side, DeMar DeRozan leads the Bulls in scoring, averaging 28 points across his 73 games. Throughout the season, DeRozan has outscored his season average in 44.0% of his outings. Given that Milwaukee’s defense has struggled to slow down their opponent’s top scorers, DeMar DeRozan should be in line for a big performance. So far, the Bucks have allowed their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 50.85% of their games, giving them a rank of 22nd among NBA defenses.

Matchup Analysis

Heading into this matchup, the Milwaukee Bucks are the more efficient team on both ends of the court. This scenario has taken place in 18 of Milwaukee’s 38 games, leading to a winning percentage of 78%. So far, the Chicago Bulls have played 43 games as the inferior offensive and defensive unit. In these instances, they have lost 43 times, by an average margin of -13.0 points.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Milwaukee Bucks and Chicago Bulls have met up for 3 games. In their last meeting, Milwaukee picked up a 126-98 win. Dating back to last season, the Bucks have won 5 of 6 games.

How the Public is Betting the Bucks vs Bulls

67% are betting the Bucks against the spread.
52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 229.0

More Picks: Get Joe’s Philadelphia at Indiana Point Spread Pick 4/5/22 >>>

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Bucks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
  • Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.
  • Bulls are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 home games.
  • Bulls are 23-47 ATS in their last 70 games as a home underdog.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

Depending on how the rest of the regular season shakes out, there is a realistic chance that Milwaukee and Chicago will be facing off in the first round of the playoffs. If so, the Bucks have to be feeling good, as they have dominated this series over the past several seasons. Heading into the game, it appears that the 4th seed is out of reach for the Bulls. Now, they are left in a battle with Toronto for the 5th slot. In their 3 previous matchups, the Bucks have had their way in the paint and grabbing offensive boards. Look for their advantage inside to continue as they pick up the win and cover the spread.