Grizzlies at Clippers: Our Expert ATS Pick and Point Spread Prediction

by | Nov 28, 2025 | nba

Memphis is red hot offensively. Get ready for a shootout! Our handicapping expert, Bash, delivers his top best bet and comprehensive breakdown for the Grizzlies at Clippers total.

The Setup: Grizzlies at Clippers

Memphis rolls into the Intuit Dome riding high off that overtime thriller against New Orleans, where Jaren Jackson Jr. dropped 27 and Jaylen Wells added 25 in a 133-128 barn burner. Meanwhile, the Clippers just got absolutely torched by the Lakers—and yeah, I know Luka Doncic went nuclear with 43 points, but when you’re giving up 135 at home, we’ve got problems. The market’s trying to tell us the Clippers bounce back in a revenge spot at home, but I’ve seen this movie before. A team that just got embarrassed on their home floor doesn’t magically fix their issues 48 hours later. The Grizzlies are playing with house money after gutting out that OT win, and the books are begging you to take the Clippers as some kind of bounce-back narrative. Sharp money knows what’s up here—Memphis has the momentum, the confidence, and most importantly, they’ve got guys who showed up when it mattered most just two nights ago.

Game Info & Betting Lines

Game Time: November 28, 2025, 10:00 ET
Venue: Intuit Dome
Away Team: Memphis Grizzlies
Home Team: Los Angeles Clippers

Why This Line Exists (Market Psychology)

Let me break down what Vegas is selling you here. The Clippers just took a beating from the Lakers in front of their home crowd—135-118, and it wasn’t even that close. Doncic had 32 points in the first half alone. That’s the kind of performance that exposes every crack in your defensive foundation. Now the books want you to believe the Clippers are going to lock down and play inspired basketball against a Grizzlies team that just went to war in overtime? That’s a trap, and I’m taking the points all day long if we’re getting them.

The public’s all over the Clippers because of the home court and the revenge narrative. Everyone loves a bounce-back story, especially when it’s at home. But here’s what the market’s not telling you: Memphis just proved they can win ugly. They went to overtime against New Orleans and found a way to grind it out. That’s the kind of mental toughness that travels well. The Clippers, on the other hand, gave up 135 points to a Lakers team that was already rolling with five straight wins. When you’re getting cooked like that, it’s not about effort—it’s about fundamental defensive breakdowns that don’t get fixed overnight.

This is exactly the spot where the Clippers burn you. Home team coming off an embarrassing loss, public money flooding in on the bounce-back, and you’re laying points against a team with legitimate firepower and confidence. The market’s disrespecting Memphis here, and I’m not buying what Vegas is selling.

Memphis Grizzlies Breakdown: What You Need to Know

Let’s talk about what Memphis just showed us. Jaren Jackson Jr. with 27 points, Jaylen Wells contributing 25, and Zach Edey putting up a monster 21 points and 15 rebounds with two blocks. That’s three guys who can hurt you in different ways. Jackson Jr. is your versatile scorer who can stretch the floor and protect the rim. Wells is giving you efficient scoring from the wing. And Edey? That’s old-school dominance in the paint with 15 boards.

The Grizzlies hung 133 points in overtime against New Orleans, which tells me their offensive rhythm is clicking. They’re moving the ball, finding open looks, and most importantly, they’re not afraid of the moment. That overtime period wasn’t just about talent—it was about composure. When you can execute down the stretch and pull out a win like that, you carry that confidence into the next game.

Memphis improved to 2-1 in West Group B with that win, so they’ve got something to play for beyond just regular season positioning. This team has depth, they’ve got scoring balance, and they just proved they can win when things get tight. That’s dangerous for a Clippers team that’s reeling right now.

Los Angeles Clippers Breakdown: The Other Side

Now let’s address the elephant in the room—the Clippers gave up 135 points to the Lakers. I don’t care if LeBron James had 25 or if it was the Lakers’ fifth straight win. When you’re surrendering 135 at home, your defensive scheme is broken. Doncic went off for 43 with 13 assists and nine rebounds, and the Clippers had no answer. When a guy drops 32 in the first half, that’s not just hot shooting—that’s defensive rotations falling apart.

The final score was 135-118, which means the Clippers couldn’t even keep pace offensively. They gave up the points and couldn’t match the firepower. That’s a double problem. You need either elite defense or explosive offense to compete in this league, and the Clippers showed neither in that Lakers game.

Playing at the Intuit Dome should provide some advantage, but home court doesn’t fix defensive fundamentals. The Clippers need to prove they can string together stops, and I’m not confident they can do that against a Memphis team that just scored 133 in a competitive overtime game. The personnel issues that plagued them against the Lakers don’t disappear just because it’s a new opponent.

The Matchup: Where This Game Gets Decided

This game comes down to one simple question: Can the Clippers stop anybody? Memphis just proved they can score in bunches, dropping 133 against New Orleans with three different guys in double figures and one putting up a 21-15 double-double. The Grizzlies have the size with Edey, the versatility with Jackson Jr., and the scoring punch with Wells. That’s a nightmare matchup for a Clippers defense that just gave up 135.

The pace factor matters here too. Memphis played 53 minutes against New Orleans if you count overtime, and they’re coming in on short rest. But here’s the thing—they’re battle-tested. They just went through the grinder and came out on top. The Clippers had a day off after getting embarrassed, which means they’ve had time to think about that loss. Sometimes that extra day to stew on a bad performance makes things worse, not better.

I’m hammering this number before it moves because the value is on Memphis. The Grizzlies have the momentum, they’ve got multiple scoring threats, and they’re facing a Clippers team with serious defensive questions. The Clippers need to prove they can defend before I trust them laying points against anybody, let alone a team that just hung 133 in a meaningful game.

Bash’s Best Bet & The Play

The Play: Memphis Grizzlies (whatever the number is)

I’m backing Memphis with confidence here. The Grizzlies just showed me everything I need to see—they can score, they can compete in tight games, and they’ve got the personnel to exploit a Clippers defense that’s leaking oil. Jaren Jackson Jr., Jaylen Wells, and Zach Edey combined for 73 points against New Orleans, and I don’t see the Clippers having answers for that trio.

The Clippers are coming off a game where they gave up 135 points at home. That’s not a typo. One hundred and thirty-five. You don’t fix that kind of defensive disaster in one practice. The public’s going to load up on the Clippers because of the home bounce-back narrative, which means we’re getting value on the Grizzlies.

Confidence Level: 4 out of 5 units

This is exactly the spot where sharp money fades the public narrative. Memphis has the firepower, the confidence from that overtime win, and they’re catching a Clippers team at the worst possible time. I’m hammering the Grizzlies before this line moves, because Vegas knows something we don’t, but I’m not buying it. Give me Memphis and the points, the moneyline, whatever you’re offering—I’m all over it.

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