Grizzlies vs. Warriors Game 6 Best Bet

by | May 13, 2022 | nba

Memphis Grizzlies (62-31 SU, 59-33-1 ATS) vs. Golden State Warriors (60-32 SU, 45-43-4 ATS)
When: Friday May 13 2022, 10:00 PM (ET)
Where: Chase Center, San Francisco, California
TV: ESPN

Point Spread: MEM +8/GSW -8 (Opened GSW -8.5 at SportsBetting.ag)
Total: 217.5 (Opened at 219.5)
Money Line: Memphis 291/Golden State -375
Power Rating: GSW -8

Probable Starting Lineups

Memphis Grizzlies PG Tyus Jones, SG Ziaire Williams, SF Desmond Bane, PF Jaren Jackson Jr., C Xavier Tillman

Golden State Warriors PG Stephen Curry, SG Klay Thompson, SF Andrew Wiggins, PF Jonathan Kuminga, C Draymond Green

Key Injuries

Memphis Grizzlies
Santi Aldama: Knee (OUT)
Ja Morant: Knee (OUT)
Killian Tillie: Back (OUT)

Golden State Warriors
Otto Porter Jr.: Foot (QUESTIONABLE)
Andre Iguodala: Neck (OUT)
Gary Payton II: Elbow (OUT)
James Wiseman: Knee (OUT)

The Golden State Warriors host the Memphis Grizzlies in a Western-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 10:00 PM ET at the Chase Center.

Recent Form

The Memphis Grizzlies come into this game with an overall record of 56-26, placing them 2nd in the Western Conference. So far, Memphis is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 28-18. Over the Grizzlies’ last five games, they have picked up just 2 wins. In this stretch, Memphis’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 113.0 points per game. Combined, the Grizzlies’ last five opponents are giving up 106.0 points per contest. In this recent cold stretch, the Grizzlies are allowing an average of 111.0 points per game, similar to their usual rate of 109.9. In the Memphis Grizzlies’ most recent game, Memphis took down Golden State by a score of 134-95

The Golden State Warriors come into this game with an overall record of 53-29, placing them 3rd in the Western Conference. So far, Golden State is above .500 at home, holding a record of 36-10. The Warriors have played well over their last five games, picking up 3 wins. In this stretch, Golden State’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 111.0 points per game. Combined, the Warriors’ last five opponents are giving up 110.0 points per contest. Even though the Warriors have been adding to the win column, their opponents have had no trouble scoring the ball, averaging 113.0 points per game, up from Golden State’s usual rate of 106.1. In the Golden State Warriors’ most recent game, the team fell to Memphis by a score of 134-95.

Individual Player Analysis

As Memphis travels to take on the Golden State Warriors, the team will be without Ja Morant. In his absence, Memphis got 21 points from Jaren Jackson, Desmond Bane and Tyuys Jone. So far, the Warriors are allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 49.18% of their games, placing them 13rd among NBA defenses. On the other side, Stephen Curry leads the Warriors in scoring, averaging 25 points across his 64 games. Throughout the season, Curry has outscored his season average in 45.0% of his outings. Given that Memphis’s defense has struggled to slow down their opponent’s top scorers, Stephen Curry should be in line for a big performance. So far, the Grizzlies have allowed their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 62.69% of their games, giving them a rank of 29th among NBA defenses.

Matchup Analysis

The Grizzlies come into this game as the more efficient offensive team, averaging 110.4 points per 100 possessions. When playing as the superior offensive unit, Memphis is winning at a rate of 69%. These victories are coming by an average margin of 13.0 points. On the other side, the Warriors hold the advantage on the defensive end of the floor. So far, they have played 40 games as the better defensive team, picking up 31 wins (78%).

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Memphis Grizzlies and Golden State Warriors have met up for 9 games. In their last meeting, Memphis picked up a 134-95 win.

How the Public is Betting the Grizzlies vs Warriors

67% are betting the Warriors against the spread.
52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 217.5

More Picks: Read Joe’s BOS/MIL Game 6 Analysis Before you bet this game >>>

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Grizzlies are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Grizzlies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Warriors are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Warriors are 39-16-1 ATS in their last 56 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

Even after their 134-95 dismantling of the Warriors in game 5, the Memphis Grizzlies enter game 6 as the 8-point underdogs. So far, the Warriors have been able to defend home court, and bettors are counting on that to happen again. In game 5, the Grizzlies jumped out to a fast start, putting up 38 1st quarter points. Getting out of the gates fast would once again do the team favors. However, I expect Ja Morant’s absence to catch up to Memphis as the Warriors close out this Western Conference Semi-Finals series. Even with the big spread, look for Golden State to cover. While I’ve got your eye, please allow me to educate you about something very valuable that will help you out a ton. When you bet your NBA picks tonight, there’s a 99% chance you’re laying -110 on your bets. Did you know that there’s an online sportsbook where you can lay -105? Imagine how much money you’d have saved over the years if you were only risking $105 for every $100 you’re trying to win, instead of risking $110. At first glance, it’s only a $5 difference but if you added up all the bets you’ve made over the years it’d undoubtedly have saved you thousands of dollars in unnecessary risk. Help yourself and help us stay afloat by giving your betting action to BetAnySports Sportsbook. You’ll be so glad you took 5 measly minutes to make the switch!

HEAT/CELTICS: HUGE *10* TOTAL! 13-3 RUN!

Will Rodgers Sports HandicapperI came up short with last night's NBA pick, but have won two straight in the East Conf Finals. Had the Under in Gm 4 & Boston in Gm 5! For Gm 6, I've got a HUGE 10* Total! I'm 8-3 L11 playoff totals, not to mention +$24,112 with ALL pro hoops this SEASON! Also, it's been a RED HOT start to the week overall! The L4 days, I'm 13-3 with premium plays!