Los Angeles Clippers at Dallas Mavericks Game 6 Pick

by | Jun 4, 2021 | nba

Los Angeles Clippers (47-25, 39-32) at Dallas Mavericks (42-30, 35-37), 6/4/21

When: 9 pm ET Friday, June 4

Where: American Airlines Center

TV: ESPN

NBA point spread: LAC -2.5/Dall +2.5 (Get the best bonus >>> Why re-deposit and get NOTHING when you could be grabbing a 100% bonus! Free loot is good loot!)

Total: 216.5

In a series in which the home team has yet to win a game or cover a spread, the Mavericks shoot to close out the Clippers when the teams meet for Game 6 of this best-of-seven Western Conference affair Friday night in Big D. The Mavs took the first two games of this series in Los Angeles, but the Clippers took the next two games in Dallas. The Mavericks then went back to LA and stole Game 5 Wednesday night. So Dallas is now listed as a -165 favorite to win this series, with the Clippers getting +145. Here’s how we homeworked this game with our free NBA playoffs betting pick.

Clippers-Mavericks NBA Betting Odds

The NBA playoffs betting market opened Los Angeles at -3 over Dallas for this Game 6, with an over/under of right around 216.5. Early betting action then dipped that spread to -2.5.

The best price we could find on the Mavs to win this game outright was the +125 offered on the NBA money line at Intertops Sportsbook.

Clippers-Mavericks NBA Playoffs Betting Preview

Dallas leads this series three games to two after taking Game 5 in Los Angeles Wednesday night 105-100. The Mavericks, playing as 7.5-point point underdogs, led almost the entire game and 91-75 early in the fourth quarter. Dallas then let the Clippers get within 101-100 with 40 seconds left but survived a couple of late Los Angeles shots and hit 4/4 from the free-throw line to secure the victory and the cash as +265 dogs on the Game 5 money line.

The Mavericks only shot 42 percent from the floor Wednesday but held the Clippers to 41 percent FG shooting and won the turnover battle 12-9.

So Dallas now finds itself one win away from its first playoff series victory since winning the NBA Championship Series back in 2011.

Los Angeles played five games better than the Mavs during the regular season, 47-25 to 42-30, but Dallas took the season series from the Clippers two games to one. So the Mavericks are 5-3 both SU and ATS against LA this season.

Last year Los Angeles beat Dallas in six games, also in the first round of the Western Conference playoffs, so there’s a hint of revenge in the air surrounding the Mavs. However, we don’t consider revenge to be a reliable handicapping factor.

On the injury front, Mavericks F Luka Doncic was dealing with a sore back/neck but tossed in 42 points in 42 minutes of floor time Wednesday night.

Clippers-Mavericks NBA Betting Trends

  • The Clippers played 21-15 SU, 18-17 ATS on the road this season.
  • The Mavericks played 21-15 SU, 15-21 ATS at home this season.
  • The Clippers played 19-18 SU, 20-17 ATS against teams that made the playoffs this season.
  • The Mavericks played 22-15 SU, 20-17 ATS against teams that made the playoffs this season.
  • The visiting team is 5-0, both SU and ATS in this series.

Totals Report

Unders played 38-34 in Mavericks games this season, which averaged 223 total points.

Totals split 35-35 in Clippers games this season, which averaged 222 points.

Unders are 3-2 in this series, as the games are averaging 216 total points against an average over/under of 218.

Free NBA Playoffs Pick

We still believe the Clippers are the better team in this match-up and will win this series. And they can’t win this series if they don’t win this game. Plus, home-court advantage doesn’t seem to matter much in LA-Dallas games this season. We’re backing the Clippers here for our free NBA playoffs pick for Friday.