RBD locks in an NBA Championship betting position on OKC and follows it with a T1 total prediction for Wolves vs Clippers.
Before I bet on tonight’s game I put some money on the NBA Championship.
I took OKC at attractive odds of +140.
Their main competition, the other members of the top four on the odds board, are San Antonio +500, Denver +600, and LAL at +600.
Denver has a good team but they’ll fall short in the playoffs as usual.
The Lakers? Please, don’t make me laugh.
San Antonio’s probably the only team that has a chance at dethroning the current champs.
The Spurs are 4-1 SU vs OKC this season.
A concern?
Sure.
But the playoffs are a whole different animal than the regular season.
And there’s a good reason for the large disparity in pricing at +140 for the Thunder and +500 for the Spurs.
Like the oddsmakers, I’m also betting that when the money is on the table the Thunder are the ones who will take it.
Teams from the East?
Please. Don’t make me laugh, again.
Last night I saw the Thunder up against the best the East has to offer, the Detroit Pistons.
The fourth quarter is crunch time.
The fourth quarter is where the money is on the table.
In the 4th quarter last night I watched Detroit blow a 12 point lead.
The Thunder cut it down to just three points before going on to lose.
I’m trying to cover a seven-point spread.
I’m barely hanging on when the Thunder miss a shot and Detroit’s Cunningham gets the rebound.
There’s only 40 seconds left in the game. All he has to do is dribble up court, get fouled, make some free throws and cover for me. Instead he makes a bad pass, unnecessarily trying to push the ball up court.
Good players don’t make bonehead mistakes in the final seconds of the game.
Luckily, I hung on for a one point win.
And I learned something I can use.
The Pistons are the best the East has to offer, and they can barely beat OKC, at home in Detroit, when the Thunder were missing FIVE of their top SIX scorers: Alexander, Holmgren, Hartenstein, Mitchell and Williams.
And Caruso was also out.
With only one team seemingly standing in their way, I’ll take a shot at the champs to repeat at +140.
Now on to Today’s Play
The Wolves take on the Clippers in LA.
T1 says the game goes Over.
T1 Over has a record of 32-15, 68%.
‘Nuff said.
What? You want more?
Okay. How about this – like the two games I gave out in the PredictEm Forum yesterday, this one also fits the subcategory that is now sitting at 18-6, 75%.
Sure, I could go look at the standard stats for Head to Head information and recent play, but regardless of what it says am I going to go against the two stats above?
No.
I don’t like jumping on streaks but when you’ve already got some units banked on a play, ride until it bucks you.
I’ve used this spot three times this week and hit all three.
No sense stopping now.
The game opened at 226′.
You can easily get it at 225 right now, and there’s even a 224 showing up on the board.
As always when it’s moving in my favor, I may as well wait to buy.
My Play
Min/LAC Ov (wait to buy)
Recap & Review
Recap: 3-0
Record: 17-10
Review:
Won a close one in Detroit, laying seven with the Pistons. They won by eight.
Buying in the morning was key because it closed at -10′ and anyone who bought Detroit late took a loss.
In yesterday’s article I mentioned I’d give an update in the PredictEm Forum on two other possible plays.
In my first update, I was still undecided, still couldn’t pull the trigger.
In my second update I said . . .
“Ah, what the hell.
Why go through all the work of handicapping and getting strong numbers if you don’t use them?”
And so I bought the GS/Mem and Sac/Hou games Over.
The line on GS/Mem was 224′.
They put up 245.
The line on Sac/Hou was 221′.
They combined for 225.
NEXT!
