Chicago Bears vs. Miami Dolphins Game Pick

Chicago Bears (3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS) vs. Miami Dolphins (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS)
NFL Week 6
Date/Time: Sunday, October 14th 2018 –1:00 PM ET
Where: Hard Rock Stadium – Miami Gardens, FL
TV: FOX
By: Keith F, NFL Football Handicapper, Predictem.com

Point Spread: Chicago -3 / Miami +3
Over/Under Total: 42.5

The Miami Dolphins and the Chicago Bears will square off in a cross-conference collision set for Sunday, October 14th, 2018. The kick-off time is scheduled for 1:00 PM ET and will be aired on FOX for regional demographics. Miami has defeated Chicago in three of the previous four meetings that rotate on a four-year basis. While they were at it the Dolphins went 3-1 ATS over this span. The two last met in Chi-town in 2014 where the Dolphins defeated the Bears 27-14 as a three-point pup on the road at Soldier Field.

Bears Win Third In A Row

After blowing 20-point lead on Sunday Night Football to kick off the season against the Green Bay Packers in Lambeau Field, Chicago has gotten off to a roll winning three consecutive games. The Bears also come in well-rested here as they come into Miami off a bye. So far, the story has been the balance that the Monsters of the Midway have established on both sides of the football. Quarterback Mitchell Trubisky continues to throw the ball well to power up the offense while defensive juggernaut Khalil Mack has been a force to be reckoned with in the early stages of the season.

The Bears last win was their most impressive of the season as they absolutely torqued the Tampa Bay Buccaneers by a score of 48-10 at home, two weeks ago. Rounding off the list of Chicago victories, includes Arizona and Seattle both from the NFC West.

Dolphins Taper Off

The Dolphins got off to a start as one of the hottest teams in the NFL as they were undefeated after three games. Then Miami ventured to Foxboro, Massachusetts to meet with the New England Patriots. As a sub-touchdown pup, the Dolphins were all but obliterated. The Dolphins would lose 38-7 against New England. The Dolphins would follow this up last week with a loss against the AFC North leading Cincinnati Bengals when they closed at an identical number of +6.5, but lost 27-17. The Fish defeated Tennessee, New York, and Oakland to kick off their campaign.

As a whole, the Dolphins entered the 2018 season in unchartered waters. They saw their two best offensive weapons and one of their premier defensive toys traded off to the highest bidder and had to re-establish an identity as a result. So far they have had little fortune on either side of the football, as their offense sits 30th in overall production (288.2 yards per game) while also scoring a menial 19.8 points per game (28th overall). If one had to pick where their strength lies, it would be with their defense who averages 23.4 points per game (16th in the league).

Take Miami +145

We saw this line open as a pick-em and very quickly all the action on Chicago pushed this market upward by three points. Given the fact that Miami has failed to cover in its last two outings as a larger dog, it would have to raise a flag here that they are a toss-up at home here. After all, Chicago in terms of quality is certainly on a parallel level to Cincinnati and owns a better win-loss record than New England. The low price tag makes Chicago seem too good to be true which means the market is adept to upset potential here in Miami.

In finding value in the numbers and boosting return on investment to garner long-term success, Money Line plays are certainly a necessary component to achieving that success. Long story in the short, if you took Miami earlier this week you would be paying the traditional vig to do so as a pick-em. Now, you can get them at nearly 60% better than that opening figure simply by virtue of Chicago takers producing what appears to be a clear-cut overlay. The last time we saw Chicago on the road against the lowly Arizona Cardinals, the Bears were forced to rally to escape Phoenix with a 16-14 win. Chicago had opened at a similarly strikingly-low number and a near-identical reaction took shape. History has a funny way of repeating itself. This time around you can expect a similar set of circumstances likely unfold except Miami will complete the upset bid.