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Diego Chargers vs. Cincinnati Bengals Pick.
Cincinnati Bengals (9-4) 6-7 ATS, 5-8 O/U at San Diego Chargers (10-3) 7-6 ATS, 7-5-1 O/U, Week 15 NFL, Sunday December 20, 2009 4:05 p.m. EST Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego, California
By Wilson of Predictem.com
Point Spread: Cincinnati +7/San Diego -7
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If youre playing against the San Diego Chargers in the month of December, especially the last two or three years, you might as well bank on a loss. The Chargers set a record last week by winning their 16th consecutive game in the month of December. Thats a scary statistic for opposing teams to consider. Meanwhile, the Chargers continued to push the Dallas Cowboys further down the ladder of losing.
San Diego has won eight consecutive games and is likely to wrap up the AFC West this week if they beat the Bengals. The Chargers are just dangerous this time of year and QB Philip Rivers is playing as well as any QB in the league. Rivers has a QB rating of 103.7, which is pretty darn good. He has a 64 percent completion rate to go along with his 3,583 yards passing and 22 touchdowns. Rivers is averaging nearly 9 yards per pass attempt, and he only has 7 interceptions on the season.
The Bengals QB, Carson Palmer, is the key to their success as he is also a capable playmaker and decision maker when it comes to crunch time. Palmer has QB rating of 84.8 to accompany his 2,641 yards passing and 17 TDs. He has 10 picks on the year. Palmer also averages 6.77 yards per pass attempt. He has a 60.77 percent completion rate.
The Chargers average 27.8 points per game and allow 16.7 to their opponents. San Diego puts up 354 yards of total offense per contest with 266 through the air and 87 on the ground, which is quite different from the rushing hay-day of L.T. Defensively the Chargers allow 324 yards by the opposition with 207 yards passing and 117 on the ground.
San Diego has won 8 out of 10 games while Cincinnati has won 7 out of 10. The line on this game opened at San Diego -6 with a total of 44. Most Online Casinos are showing San Diego -6.5 with the O/U 43.5. The Las Vegas Hilton Sports Book is also showing the Chargers -6.5 and a total of 43.5.
The under is 13-3 in the Bengals last 16 games in December. San Diego is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games in December. The over is 8-3-2 in San Diegos last 13 games as the favorite. Cincinnati is 3-3 ATS and 3-3 O/U on the road this season. San Diego is 3-3 ATS and 4-2 O/U at home this season. Head to head the over is 5-0-2 in the last 7 meetings. The Bengals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
Cincinnati has been quietly solid all year as they have downed quality teams including the defending superbowl champion Steelers, but even Cleveland accomplished that feat! Seriously, the Bengals are a good football team as their record says it all. San Diego is no slouch especially in the month of December as they have rallied off 16 straight wins inside the 12th month. This game has a playoff feel to it that just might be worth a wager and a watch. Who would have guessed that the Bengals would be as good as they are already? But here they are, looking to take the charge out of the lightning bolts right before Christmas.
Wilsons Pick: Cincinnati figures out how to stop the Chargers by applying a ton of pressure on Rivers which forces him to hurry and make errant throws. I’m calling for a huge straight up upset. Bengals 24, San Diego 21. Luck to ya.