The Dallas Cowboys (0-0) travel to SoFi Stadium to face the Los Angeles Rams (0-0) in this week’s NFL Preseason clash. While wins and losses may not count for much in August, this matchup offers critical insights into depth charts, coaching strategies, and player momentum. With Cooper Rush expected to get meaningful reps and the Rams’ defense still finding its footing, several betting angles are worth exploring here.
Quick Picks:
– Best Bet: Cowboys +2.5 ★★★★☆
– Top Prop: Jaydon Blue Over 39.5 Rush Yards ★★★★★
– Value Play: Under 36.5 Total Points ★★★☆☆
Cowboys vs Rams Betting Odds & Latest Line Movement
| Market | Dallas Cowboys | Los Angeles Rams |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +120 | -140 |
| Point Spread | +2.5 (-110) | -2.5 (-110) |
| Total | Over 36.5 (-110) | Under 36.5 (-110) |
Opening Line: Rams -3, Total 35.5
Sharp Money Breakdown: Where the Smart Bets Are Going
When this line opened at Rams -3, I anticipated movement — and we got it. The adjustment to -2.5 reflects early action on Dallas, especially after reports out of camp highlighted the Cowboys’ competitive quarterback situation and impressive rookie running back play. The total also ticked up slightly, indicating expectations for sharper offensive execution, though with Matthew Stafford ruled out for the Rams, sharp money has started to come in on the under in the past 24 hours.
Quarterback Matchup: Cooper Rush vs Jimmy Garoppolo – Who Has the Edge?
Dallas Cowboys: Cooper Rush
- Strong camp showing, demonstrating veteran leadership in Brian Schottenheimer’s system
- Expected to play at least the first quarter, with Joe Milton likely to see extended action
- Has proven to be a capable game manager with a 5-1 record as an NFL starter
Los Angeles Rams: Jimmy Garoppolo
- Will start in place of Matthew Stafford (back injury)
- Signed to provide veteran backup presence
- Should split time with Stetson Bennett, who’s had an impressive training camp
QB Edge: Cowboys
The absence of Stafford is significant, even for a preseason game. Rush brings valuable experience as a spot starter, while Garoppolo is still adjusting to the Rams’ system. The Cowboys’ QB rotation appears more settled and prepared for this first preseason test.
Defense Comparison: Which Unit Will Step Up?
Both defenses are in transition, with Dallas implementing Matt Eberflus’ scheme without star Micah Parsons (contract holdout) and the Rams continuing to rebuild post-Aaron Donald. The Cowboys’ young secondary has shown flashes in camp, particularly Kaiir Elam, who seems rejuvenated after a trade from Buffalo. Los Angeles has an exciting front with Jared Verse and Braden Fiske leading the way, but their depth remains a question mark. Look for both defensive coordinators to test multiple personnel packages, potentially leading to coverage breakdowns and big plays.
Key Betting Trends & Team Stats You Should Know
- Cowboys have covered the spread in 4 of their last 6 preseason openers
- Rams are just 3-6 ATS in their last 9 August games
- The Under is 5-2 in Cowboys’ last 7 preseason road games
- Rams allowed 24+ points in 2 straight preseason games last year
- Cooper Rush has led scoring drives in 4 of his last 5 preseason appearances
- The Rams are 2-7 ATS as preseason favorites since Sean McVay took over
Player Spotlight: Rookie RB Jaydon Blue Looking to Shine
Fifth-round pick Jaydon Blue has been turning heads in Cowboys camp, earning first-team reps despite the presence of veterans Javonte Williams and Miles Sanders. His explosiveness and receiving ability have coaches buzzing, and this preseason opener represents his first chance to showcase his talents against NFL competition. Blue’s performance could dramatically impact the Cowboys’ backfield hierarchy, and reports indicate he’ll receive substantial work in the first half. With his 4.42 speed and strong vision, he’s exactly the type of player who can break a long run in a preseason setting.
SoFi Stadium Factor: What to Expect on Game Day
SoFi Stadium usually favors offensive production due to perfect conditions and fast turf. Weather forecasts call for typical Southern California temperatures in the mid-70s with no precipitation, which should allow both offenses to operate without environmental constraints. The Rams will likely have a modest home-field advantage with the local crowd, but preseason atmospheres rarely provide the same energy as regular-season contests.
Expert Prediction & Best Bets for Cowboys vs Rams
Primary Play: Cowboys +2.5 (-110) – 2 Units
The Cowboys have better quarterback depth with Rush and Milton, both of whom have looked sharp in training camp. Dallas also has more to prove after last season’s playoff disappointment, and Brian Schottenheimer will want to establish his offensive philosophy early. The absence of Stafford tips this matchup further in Dallas’ favor, and the half-point hook provides additional value.
Strong Value Play: Under 36.5 Total Points (-110)
First preseason games typically feature vanilla playcalling and limited snaps for offensive starters. Both teams are installing new defensive elements, which typically gives defenders an early advantage. The Rams’ quarterback situation without Stafford creates more uncertainty, and preseason opener scoring has trended downward league-wide in recent years as coaches prioritize player evaluation over scoring drives.
Worth Considering: Jaydon Blue Over 39.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Blue has been the talk of Cowboys camp and should see significant carries in this game. The Rams’ defensive depth remains a question mark, particularly in the front seven. With Dallas likely wanting to establish the run game early, Blue could easily surpass this modest yardage total, especially if he breaks one long run, which his college tape suggests is always possible.
Top Player Props for Cowboys vs Rams
| Player | Prop | Odds | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jaydon Blue (DAL) | Over 39.5 Rush Yards | -110 | ★★★★★ |
| Stetson Bennett (LAR) | Over 84.5 Pass Yards | -115 | ★★★★☆ |
| Joe Milton (DAL) | Over 0.5 Pass TD | -120 | ★★★☆☆ |
| Konata Mumpfield (LAR) | Over 2.5 Receptions | -135 | ★★★☆☆ |
| Jarquez Hunter (LAR) | Over 34.5 Rush Yards | -110 | ★★★★☆ |
Final Thoughts: Cowboys Depth Should Prevail in Preseason Opener
The Cowboys enter this matchup with better quarterback depth, an exciting rookie running back in Jaydon Blue, and a defensive unit eager to implement their new coordinator’s system. While the Rams have home-field advantage and promising young talent of their own, the absence of Matthew Stafford and their ongoing defensive rebuild gives Dallas a significant edge.
Preseason games often come down to depth and quarterback play beyond the starters—areas where the Cowboys appear to have advantages. Expect a relatively low-scoring affair with Dallas covering the spread and potentially winning outright as they look to establish positive momentum heading into Brian Schottenheimer’s first season as head coach.
Score Prediction: Cowboys 20, Rams 16
Note: Our projections about who’s playing in preseason are based on the latest updates from beat reporters, coaches, and players. Sometimes, that info changes at the last minute or doesn’t pan out on game day. If you can’t personally confirm who’s suiting up, we recommend keeping your action light—think “beer money” bets only.
Be sure to bookmark our main free picks page every week, where professional handicappers Kevin West and Rich Crew will be giving out winning picks!
