Denver Broncos (2-0 SU, 0-2 ATS) vs. Seattle Seahawks (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS)
NFL Week 3
Date and Time: Sunday, September 21, 4:25pm EST
Where: CenturyLink Field - Seattle, Washington
by Bob, Football Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: DEN +5/SEA -5
Over/Under Total: 48.5
Here we go!!! The Super Bowl rematch we have been waiting for! This Sunday, Peyton Manning and the Denver Broncos will travel to Seattle to take on the defending champion Seahawks. Denver comes in at 2-0, while Seattle is coming off their 1st regular season loss in quite some time at 1-1. Of course we all know what took place when these two teams met back in February for the Lombardi… A 43-8 beatdown in favor of Seattle. Although a Denver victory will not erase the loss in the Super Bowl, but it would certainly be a great step in the direction of getting back to the big game for another chance to bring home the title. The Vegas line opens with the Broncos as 5 point underdogs and the total points are set at 48.5. This is a very tricky contest, because both of these teams want to prove that they are in the drivers seat for the 2014 season. I can see this game going a number of ways.
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The Denver Broncos come into this game at 2-0 overall, but 0-2 against the spread. The Broncos look good, but they don’t look great just yet. What was supposed to be a shutdown defense has been nothing but average. The rushing defense has actually held their own, allowing a little under 100 yards a game, but the pass defense is almost the worst in the NFL having allowed an average of right at 300 yards a game. On the offensive side of the ball, Denver has been mediocre as well. The pass attack is there somewhat, ranking 11th in the NFL with Peyton Manning throwing for nearly 250 a game, but the run game has suffered. I never thought the loss of Knowshon Moreno was that big of a deal, but maybe it was. The Broncos leading rusher right now is Monte Ball who only has accumulated 127 yards on 35 carries in two games. A running game like this WILL NOT work against the Seahawks defense. We all know the corners and defensive backs are going to make things difficult for Peyton, and if the Broncos cannot keep the Seahwaks guessing, it could be a long day. In a nut shell, the Broncos better bring out the full offensive attack to have any chance to win this game in Seattle.
The Seattle Seahawks are the defending Super Bowl champs, and for the first time in many years, I feel the defending champ has a chance to repeat. In week one, the Seahawks looked like they may be even better than last season with a big 36-16 defeat of the Green Bay Packers. The hype was back, the Legion of Boom looked unstoppable, and there were even some people saying this could be a 16-0 season for Seattle. I am not that high on the Seahawks, but I do like this team. However, in week two, they traveled into San Diego and lost to the Chargers 30-21. The Chargers played well, and was not scared to take chances against the Seattle DBs and Corners. It resulted in three Antonio Gates touchdowns and 284 yards passing for Philip Rivers. It is amazing what one little loss on the road can do to a teams image. Now all of a sudden, the Seahawks are “overrated” and the Legion of Boom got “exposed.” People, relax. The Seahawks lost to a good Chargers team on the road…it happens. I am calling it now, the Chargers will win the AFC West…watch. Now back to Seattle…they are not happy. Coming off of a loss, and now all the trash talk around the league and among fans on social media. Seattle is going to come out at home FIRED UP! The key to winning and covering this game is to keep Manning and crew off the field. If Seattle can grind this game out and slow it down, I see them being successful, especially at home. This will not be another 43-8 killing, but I can see the Seahawks winning this game by a touchdown…if they execute well.
Bob’s Pick to Cover the Point Spread: Seattle favored by 5… this is tough. I can seriously see this game going in many directions. No matter what the result, I will not be shocked. Usually when I feel that way, I take the underdog who is getting points, it is just usually the safer bet. What makes me think however, that Seattle is the play, is the fact that everyone loves Peyton Manning and for some reason think he is the “end all be all” of quarterbacks. The reason the Broncos are 0-2 against the spread this season is for that very reason. Denver is getting too many points because Manning. It is that simple. That is the reason I made a killing on the Super Bowl. I knew there was NO CHANCE of Manning winning that game….none. I took Seattle moneyline, I took Seattle +4, and I made a 2nd half bet on Seattle +7…SWEEP CITY BABY! I am not trying to dog Manning, but facts are facts, he is not a big game quarterback. He just isn’t. And for that reason, I present to you my pick… Take the Seattle Seahawks -5 and also take under the posted total of 48.5. I like Seattle to win this game at home 24-17 and give Denver their fist loss of the season. PICK: SEATTLE -5 AND UNDER 48.5 TOTAL POINTS!!!