Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears Week 10 Betting Angle
Detroit Lions (2-6 SU, 4-4 ATS) vs. Chicago Bears (3-6 SU, 4-4-1 ATS)
When: Sunday, November 13, 1 p.m.
Where: Soldier Field, Chicago
TV: Fox
Point Spread: DET +3/CHI -3 (Move the line 20 points on either of these teams by inserting them into a massive 20 point NFL teaser found at Wagerweb Sportsbook!)
Total: O/U 48.5
Outlook
The Lions produced virtually nothing on offense last week, yet they still came away with a win over the Packers because Green Bay turned the ball over twice near the goal line and three times overall. Detroit really isn’t known for defensive work, but with the Packers simply imploding, Detroit did just enough to get the job done despite a terrible showing from one side of the ball.
That’s not going to work this time around because Chicago is actually moving the football very well. Since the mini bye week that came after a horrid performance against Washington, the Bears have made a few adjustments, and Justin Fields is playing much better. Chicago has scored 94 points in the past three weeks after scoring just 93 points in the first six weeks of the season, and they’ve done it by letting Justin Fields get out of the pocket whenever he’s got a chance to escape. The Bears’ passing attack is still very suspect, but when Fields runs the ball as well as he does, it adds another element that NFL teams just are not prepared for. The Lions really don’t have a great run defense, and letting Fields break out could be a disaster for a team that doesn’t do much away from Ford Field.
How the Public is Betting the Detroit/Chicago Game
The public is fully on the Bears. The line has jumped from -2.5 to -3, and 73% of tickets came in on Chicago. The total has ticked up from 47 to 48.5.
Injury Concerns
Detroit:
Center Frank Ragnow (foot), linebacker Malcolm Rodriguez (elbow), running back D’Andre Swift (ankle), fullback Jason Cabinda (ankle), tackle Matt Nelson (calf), safety Ifeatu Melifonwu (ankle), cornerback Chase Lucas (ankle), cornerback AJ Parker (hip), wide receiver Josh Reynolds (back) and safety Kerby Joseph (concussion) are questionable. Running back Craig Reynolds (ribs), wide receiver Jameson Williams (knee), cornerback Bobby Price (knee), wide receiver DJ Chark (ankle), wide receiver Quintez Cephus (foot), safety Tracy Walker III (Achilles), guard Tommy Kraemer (back), guard Halapoulivaati Vaitai (back), defensive lineman Levi Onwuzurike (back), and defensive lineman Romeo Okwara (Achilles) are out.
Chicago:
Defensive back Josh Blackwell (knee), defensive lineman Al Quadin Muhammad (knee), defensive back Dane Cruikshank (illness), linebacker Matt Adams (calf), wide receiver Byron Pringle (calf), offensive lineman Ja Tyre Carter (illness), and defensive back Kindle Vildor (ankle) are questionable. Defensive back Tavon Young (leg), wide receiver David Moore (leg), offensive lineman Lucas Patrick (toe), offensive lineman Doug Kramer (foot), and offensive lineman Dakota Dozier (knee) are out.
When Detroit Has the Ball
When Jared Goff is hitting his passes, the Lions can have some success on offense. When he’s not, Detroit’s offense is a dumpster fire. The Lions managed to get away with it against Green Bay, but in the previous two games where Goff went under 250 yards passing, the Lions scored all of six points. Not coincidentally, both of those games were on the road, where Detroit has really struggled this season.
The Lions have gotten decent production at times out of Jamaal Williams, and given Chicago’s less-than-impressive run defense, that needs to happen here. The Lions didn’t run the ball well against the Packers, but that appeared to be more of an off-day on their part. Detroit usually has an effective ground game, and Chicago is not known for stopping teams that try to run against them. The Bears’ secondary is good, but the front seven doesn’t stop the run well, so expect Detroit to limit Goff o safer, effective routes.
When Chicago Has the Ball
Justin Fields’ decision-making is improving. His arm is not. The Bears are realizing they can’t really fight it with Fields at this point in his career, so they’re going heavy on the run and letting that work out however it might. Against Miami, it went very well. The Dolphins boast an effective run defense, but Fields proved the exception as he raced away from Miami’s tacklers while the running backs did nothing.
The Bears’ passing is pedestrian. No wide receiver has more than two touchdowns, and only Darnell Mooney has topped 20 catches on the season. Fields, it should be noted, only played two years in college after spending a year on the bench at Georgia, so he’s a long way from where he might otherwise have developed. He might get better as the Bears work with him more, but for the time being, he is not effective throwing the ball.More Picks: Get Dan’s ‘Cleveland at Miami Week 10 recommended bet for 11/13/22 >>>
Betting Trends
Chicago hasn’t been a friendly place for Detroit. The Bears have won seven of eight in the rivalry overall and have covered the number in four of the Lions’ past six visits to Soldier Field. The under has proven a solid play, cashing in seven of the past ten matchups in Chicago. However, the Lions are sticking around in divisional games this season. Detroit is 6-0 ATS in its past six against the NFC North, and the Bears are 1-6 ATS in their past seven against divisional opponents.
Weather Report
The Windy City won’t be that bad wind-wise, but it’s still going to be cold. The high on Sunday will be just 37 degrees, with winds blowing at eight miles per hour to the north-northwest.
Dan’s Pick to Cover the Spread
It’s hard to see Detroit sticking around, given how poor the Lions have been away from Ford Field. Detroit plays teams well inside in Michigan, but when they have to leave their dome, they’ve been routed each time out.
In three road games, the Lions have been outscored by a combined 81-30 and lost all of them. That’s not promising. Give me the Bears. Bet your Week 10 NFL games for FREE by scoring a 125% real cash bonus up to $400 AND get a FREE half point everytime you bet your favorite college/pro team simply by using bonus code PREDICTEM when you sign up for a betting account at GTBets Sportsbook! It’s the best bonus/promo on the web!
