NFL Strength of Schedule

The opener is almost here. Philadelphia and Dallas light the fuse on Thursday night, and every team’s path looks different before a single snap. Strength of schedule (SOS) gives a quick read on who draws a rough slate and who might have room to build early momentum.

These rankings use each team’s 2025 opponents based on 2024 win–loss records. Add up those records, turn them into a win percentage, and you get a fair snapshot of schedule difficulty. On paper, the Giants face the steepest climb, while the 49ers get the softest draw.

How We Calculate SOS

For each team, we total the 2024 results of every 2025 opponent, then sort by opponent win percentage. It’s a baseline. Injuries, quarterback play, and coaching swings will shift the picture as the season rolls along.

Early Season Notes (First Four Games)

Cleveland owns the toughest opening run: Bengals, Ravens, Packers, and Lions — those opponents went 47–21 last year. Other rough starts include the Ravens (46–22), Giants (45–23), Eagles (42–26), Falcons (41–27), and Jets (41–27).

Carolina lands the friendliest first month with Jacksonville, Arizona, Atlanta, and New England — a combined 24–44 in 2024. Close behind are the Cardinals (26–42), Commanders (26–42), Texans (27–41), Patriots (27–41), and 49ers (27–41).

2025 NFL Strength of Schedule Rankings

Playoff Opponents = number of games vs. teams that made the 2024 postseason.

Rank Team Opp. Record Opp. Win Pct. Playoff Opponents
1 New York Giants 166-123-0 0.574 10
2 Detroit Lions 165-124-0 0.571 11
2 Chicago Bears 165-124-0 0.571 10
4 Philadelphia Eagles 162-127-0 0.561 11
5 Minnesota Vikings 161-128-0 0.557 9
5 Dallas Cowboys 161-128-0 0.557 10
5 Green Bay Packers 161-128-0 0.557 9
8 Washington Commanders 159-130-0 0.550 8
9 Baltimore Ravens 154-135-0 0.533 9
10 Pittsburgh Steelers 152-137-0 0.526 7
11 Kansas City Chiefs 151-138-0 0.522 10
11 Los Angeles Chargers 151-138-0 0.522 9
13 Cleveland Browns 150-139-0 0.519 8
14 Cincinnati Bengals 147-142-0 0.509 9
15 Denver Broncos 146-143-0 0.505 8
16 Las Vegas Raiders 145-144-0 0.502 9
17 Los Angeles Rams 142-147-0 0.491 5
18 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 139-150-0 0.481 5
18 Houston Texans 139-150-0 0.481 7
20 Atlanta Falcons 138-151-0 0.478 6
21 Miami Dolphins 137-152-0 0.474 7
21 Seattle Seahawks 137-152-0 0.474 7
23 Buffalo Bills 135-154-0 0.467 6
23 Jacksonville Jaguars 135-154-0 0.467 6
25 Indianapolis Colts 134-155-0 0.464 7
26 New York Jets 133-156-0 0.460 6
27 Carolina Panthers 132-157-0 0.457 5
27 Arizona Cardinals 132-157-0 0.457 5
29 Tennessee Titans 130-159-0 0.450 6
30 New England Patriots 124-165-0 0.429 5
31 New Orleans Saints 121-168-0 0.419 4
32 San Francisco 49ers 120-169-0 0.415 4

Final Take

SOS won’t predict everything, but it’s a strong starting point for season bets and weekly handicapping. Track how early stretches play out, watch quarterback health, and revisit this list as 2025 results roll in.