NFL Football Picks

Early-down efficiency, red-zone finishing, and the league’s top run defense meet a shorthanded Jets offense—creating a clear edge on the number and total.

Monday night in Green Bay, and the number’s flirting with the hook. We break down ATS angles, line movement, and injuries (including a key red-zone loss) to find the smarter ticket. Our pick stays behind the pay window—but you’ll see why the spread isn’t the full story.

Patriots at Buccaneers: WF1 trend breakdown, AFC vs NFC ATS splits, NE’s 4–0 road run, Tampa Bay’s injury notes (Evans/Godwin), and SOS checks (Massey/Sagarin). RBD explains why the number still points one way—pick inside.

With Bosa and Warner sidelined and Mykel Williams out, can the Niners generate heat? We parse the spread, moneyline pressure, and total action before revealing our ATS side.

Chargers’ tackle crisis, Pittsburgh’s surging front, and a total hugging 45. We sift the signal from the noise and deliver a tight, data-driven ATS prediction for SNF.

Bryan Bash breaks down the spread, total, and props for Lions–Commanders with a sharp-money lens — including how the QB situation and efficiency gap shape today’s bets. Get his top picks for Week 10 inside.

Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks (PK) at NFL Stadium. Arizona’s perfect 4-0 road ATS record meets inflated Seattle line after primetime blowout.

Current line around Panthers -5, total ~40. We break down the rushing edge, QB news (Tyler Shough), and the smartest pick & prediction angles for this NFC South matchup.