NFL Football Picks

The Rams come off a dominant win, while the Jaguars look to bounce back after a rough home loss. Chad Fox explains how travel, pressure rates, and London familiarity could tilt this matchup — and why getting +3 might be the sharp play.

Pittsburgh enters Week 7 as a 5.5-point road favorite, but sharp bettors are siding with the Bengals. With both defenses vulnerable and Cincinnati converting red-zone trips at a top-two rate in the NFL, this divisional Thursday night game could deliver more fireworks than the market expects.

Buffalo Bills vs Atlanta Falcons (PK) at NFL Stadium. Sharp money backing rested Falcons defense against turnover-prone Bills creates value at +4.

RBD’s system signals a play on the Chiefs, but the data screams danger. Can Kansas City deliver as the “wrong favorite,” or will Detroit stay hot? Get RBD’s full take and betting insight.

A 14-point line at Lambeau? Chad Fox explains why this Week 6 Bengals–Packers matchup is more about market logic than hype. See how rest, efficiency, and protection shape the smarter play.

Vegas is playing it safe — I’m not. The Saints’ “bounce-back” win was smoke and mirrors, while the Patriots are evolving fast behind Drake Maye. Give me New England and the under.

Las Vegas enters as a five-point favorite, but Chad Fox says that number’s inflated. He breaks down the turnover edge, coaching angles, and total lean that make Tennessee the smarter side.

Jacksonville’s laying short chalk after upsetting Kansas City, but Bryan Bash says the real value lies with Seattle. Get his Week 6 free pick, total lean, and prop portfolio from a sharp’s point of view.