Tennessee Titans vs. Indianapolis Colts Pick

Tennessee Titans (5-4 SU, 6-3 ATS) vs. Indianapolis Colts (4-5 SU, 4-4-1 ATS)
When: November 18, 2018, 1:00 PM EST
Where: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, Indiana
TV: CBS
BY: Rick Wise

Point Spread: TEN +3/IND -3
Over/Under: 48

Takeaways From Week 10

The Titans solidified their commanding 28-14 road victory over the Dallas Cowboys in Week 9 with an even more dominant performance over the New England Patriots in a 34-10 stunner on Sunday.

Rams vs Chiefs Pick

It wasn’t just that Tennessee beat New England but how they did it. They took it to the Patriots in every phase of the game. The defense stifled Tom Brady and the Pats high-powered offense to the tune of 284 total yards, 244 passing and just 40 rushing and never allowed Brady to find any kind of rhythm. Offensively, the Titans got off the mark quickly and put up 17 first quarter points to New England’s 3. By the half it was 24-10 and already evident that the Pats were in too deep a hole to get out of.

Marcus Mariota finished 16-of-24 for 228 yards and 2 touchdowns after a huge assist from his receiving corps. Eight different targets, including Mariota himself with 1 reception, caught 17 passes for 249 yards and 2 touchdowns. Rookie first-rounder Corey Davis led all receivers with 7 caches for 125 yards and a touchdown.

Meanwhile, the Colts continued their rebound from losing five of their first six games with an impressive 29-26 victory over the Jacksonville Jaguars Sunday.

Andrew Luck seems to have settled into his A game. For the third straight outing, Luck completed over 70% of his passes and reached a passer rating over 120. He went 21-of-29 for 285 yards and 3 touchdowns while hitting 8 different receivers. He finished with a 93.4 QBR and a 123.5 passer rating.

Eric Ebron is becoming Indy’s most dangerous weapon. He’s a freak of a tight end with a rare blend of size and breakaway speed that the Colts have finally figured out how to use. The former first round draft pick went for three touchdowns against the Jags, two receiving and one rushing. Ebron now leads the league in touchdown receptions by a tight end with 9.

The Historicals

The Titans and the Colts have met each other 47 times dating back to 1970 when they were the Houston Oilers and the Baltimore Colts. The Colts have dominated this divisional series as of late, winning 12 of the last 15 matchups going back to 2011.

Injury Concerns

For Tennessee, listed as questionable for Sunday’s game are LB Derrick Morgan (shoulder), RB David Fluellen (knee), T Jack Conklin (concussion), WR Taywan Taylor (foot).

For Indy, listed as questionable for Sunday are S Mike Mitchell (calf), TE Rya Hewitt (ankle), TE Erik Swoope (knee), T Denzelle Good (illness), DE Kemoko Turay (neck).

Betting Trends

• The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tennessee’s last 5 games
• Tennessee is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 game
• Tennessee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
• Tennessee is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Indianapolis
• Tennessee is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games when playing Indianapolis
• The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee’s last 6 games when playing Indianapolis
• Tennessee is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
• Tennessee is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
• The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Tennessee’s last 13 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
• Indianapolis is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
• Indianapolis is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games
• The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indianapolis’s last 6 games
• Indianapolis is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
• Indianapolis is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home
• The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Indianapolis’s last 17 games at home
• Indianapolis is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Tennessee
• Indianapolis is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing Tennessee
• The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis’s last 6 games when playing Tennessee
• Indianapolis is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Tennessee
• Indianapolis is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Tennessee
• The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Indianapolis’s last 13 games when playing at home against Tennessee

Rick Wise’s Pick: Indianapolis -3

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When the Titans Have the Ball

This Tennessee offense proved last week against the Patriots that it can really put up some points when it’s clicking. But on Sunday, they’ll be up against a pretty stout Colts defense that ranks 12th in the NFL against the pass, 16th against the run and 6th in scoring defense. The Titans have one of the league’s most balanced pass/run ratios, though. They’re throwing the ball 51.38% of the time and running it the other 48.62%, so something’s gotta give.

When the Colts Have the Ball

Andrew Luck has suddenly become the Andrew Luck of old after it looked like he might never come all the way back from an injury to his right shoulder that kept him sidelined for the entire 2017 season. Luck’s accuracy is not only back on track, lately it’s as good as it’s ever been. And that’s a good thing as the Titans were able to make maybe the best quarterback of all-time in Tom Brady look pedestrian last week. One of the more pass-heavy offenses in the league, the Colts will need Luck’s three-game streak of completing over 70% of his passing attempts to continue to have a chance in this one.