Washington Redskins (6-5-1 SU, 8-4 ATS) vs. Philadelphia Eagles 5-7 SU, 5-7 ATS)
NFL Week 14
December 11th 2016 /Time: 1 PM EST
Where: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia PA Jacksonville, FL
by Jason Green, Football Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: PICK
Over/Under Total: 46.5
Well, the Redskins have lost 2 in a row and if they playoffs were to end now they would not be in them. They still have a good shot for the post-season, but they have to finish strong and they may need some help. Earlier this season at home they beat the Eagles 27-20. In betting terms Washington has been THE wager in the last few years between these NFC East rivals, as they have covered in the last 5 games facing Philadelphia.
Well, the honeymoon is long gone for rookie QB Carson Wentz, who got off to a solid start this season while the Eagles were winning, but they have lost 3 in a row and 5 of their last 6 games. Unless they win out, and likely get help, there is no way they will be making the playoffs.
The Eagles offense has struggled as of late not scoring more than 15 points in any game in their 3-game skid. Wentz has twice as many INT and TD in the last 3 games (6-3) and he is also not getting much help from the rushing offense. However, they will be facing a Washington D that has had issues this season and ranks 18th in pass D and 22nd in run D. Wentz is a rookie and he needs help and did not get it in the last game, which was a bad 32-14 loss to the Cincinnati Bengals, with only 52 rushing yards.
Like the Eagles the Redskins did not have a good rushing game in their last one, which was a 31-23 loss to the Arizona Cardinals. Kirk Cousins passed for 3 TD, but he also had a fumble, which was returned for a TD, and a late INT that ended the game for the Skins. The passing game has been solid for Washington all season, but the rushing offense has been up and down.
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The Eagles ranks in the middle of the pack at 13th in pass defense and 16th in run defense. While they only lost by 7 points in the earlier season loss to the Redskins the Eagles gave up 493 yards while only gaining 239.
The Redskins were hurt by the big play in the loss to the Cardinals in their last game and they have to avoid that from happening this Sunday. Ryan Kerrigan and company have to pressure the Philadelphia rookie and not give him time to find deep targets, since the Washington secondary is a banged up unit.
Cousins has a lot of weapons at his disposal and after missing the Arizona game star TE Jordan Reed is questionable for this game, but I think he will go. The Eagles also rank in the middle of the pack in terms of sacks and if they cannot get to Cousins they will be in for a long day. However, the run D may be more important for Philly, as while Cousins has had many big games this season Washington tends to lose when they cannot run the ball. In the earlier match up with the Eagles the Skins rushed for 230 yards.
The Redskins have covered the spread in 7 of their last 9 road games while the Eagles have failed to cover the spread in 4 of their last 5 games overall.
The Redskins will find a way to keep this game close, as they usually do, but this time around they will come out with a W. Cousins will make some big plays down the field and at Philly the Eagles will not get blown out, but they will lose and in the process their playoff hopes will go up in smoke
Jasons Pick to Cover the Point Spread: Redskins - PICK
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