San Antonio Spurs at Golden State Warriors Predictions 3/20/22

San Antonio Spurs (27-44 SU, 34-36-1 ATS) vs. Golden State Warriors (47-23 SU, 35-31-4 ATS)
When: Sunday March 20 2022, 08:30 PM (ET)
Where: Chase Center, San Francisco, California
TV: BSSW-SA

Point Spread: SAS +6.5/GSW -6.5 (Opened GSW -6 at BetOnline)
Total: 227.5 (Opened at 229)
Money Line: San Antonio 211/Golden State -260
Power Rating:

Probable Starting Lineups

San Antonio Spurs PG Dejounte Murray, SG Devin Vassell, SF Josh Richardson Q, PF Keldon Johnson, C Jakob Poeltl
Golden State Warriors PG Jordan Poole, SG Klay Thompson, SF Andrew Wiggins IN, PF Draymond Green, C Kevon Looney

Key Injuries

San Antonio Spurs Lonnie Walker IV: Back (OUT) Keita Bates-Diop: Back (QUESTIONABLE) Josh Richardson: Calf (QUESTIONABLE) Romeo Langford: Hamstring (OUT) Devontae Cacok: Heel (OUT) Doug McDermott: Nose (OUT)

Golden State Warriors Gary Payton II: Knee (OUT) Andrew Wiggins: Illness (PROBABLE) James Wiseman: Knee (OUT) Stephen Curry: Foot (OUT) Moses Moody: Shoulder (QUESTIONABLE) Nemanja Bjelica: Illness (QUESTIONABLE) Andre Iguodala: Back (OUT)

The Golden State Warriors host the San Antonio Spurs in a Western-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 08:30 PM ET at the Chase Center.

Recent Form

The San Antonio Spurs come into this game with an overall record of 27-44, placing them 11th in the Western Conference. Throughout the season, San Antonio has struggled in their 34 road contests, sitting at 13-21. Over the Spurs’ last five games, they have picked up just 2 wins. In this stretch, San Antonio’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 113.0 points per game. Combined, the Spurs’ last five opponents are giving up 111.0 points per contest. A key reason for San Antonio’s recent struggles is a defensive unit giving up 123.0 points over their previous five contests. This figure is up from their season average of 113.7. In the San Antonio Spurs’ most recent game, the team fell to New Orleans by a score of 124-91.

The Golden State Warriors come into this game with an overall record of 47-23, placing them 3rd in the Western Conference. So far, Golden State is above .500 at home, holding a record of 29-8. The Warriors have played well over their last five games, picking up 4 wins. In this stretch, Golden State’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 112.0 points per game. Combined, the Warriors’ last five opponents are giving up 109.0 points per contest. The Warriors have been picking up victories while holding opponents to an average of 106.0 points per game, similar to their season average of 105.1. In the Golden State Warriors’ most recent game, the team fell to Boston by a score of 110-88.

Individual Player Analysis

As San Antonio travels to take on the Golden State Warriors, the Spurs’ leading scorer is Dejounte Murray. Through 61 games, Murray is averaging 20 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 54.0% of his games. Against the Warriors, Murray will need to be on top of his game as Golden State is allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their average in 45.0% of their games, placing them in the top 10. On the other side, Klay Thompson will take on a bigger offensive role, as Steph Curry is out with a foot injury. On the season, the Spurs have allowed their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 51.92% of their games, giving them a rank of 18th among NBA defenses.

Matchup Analysis

Heading into this matchup, the Golden State Warriors are the more efficient team on both ends of the court. This scenario has taken place in 22 of Golden State’s 70 games, leading to a winning percentage of 82%. So far, the San Antonio Spurs have played 15 games as the inferior offensive and defensive unit. In these instances, they have lost 15 times, by an average margin of -12.0 points.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the San Antonio Spurs and Golden State Warriors have met up for 2 games. In their last meeting, Golden State picked up a 124-120 win.

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How the Public is Betting the Spurs vs Warriors

67% are betting the Warrios against the spread.
52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 229.0

Betting Trends Worth Noting

• Spurs are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Spurs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a double-digit loss at home.
• Warriors are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
• Warriors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

Heading into this game, the San Antonio Spurs and Golden State Warriors each have lengthy injury reports. For the Spurs, the most notable player to miss the game is Lonnie Walker, while the Warriors will be without Steph Curry. Even with Curry’s injury, the Warriors are the 6.5 point favorites at home. Look for Golden State to cover this spread, as the Warriors should still have no problem putting up big numbers. On the year, San Antonio’s opponents have struggled across the board on defense.