Manaea’s sinker is carrying a .395 xwOBA, and a Rays lineup built around contact-first bats like Díaz and Caminero is the worst possible environment for that liability. The Mets are without Williams and Perez in relief, yet the moneyline still sits at a modest -124 — a price that may not fully account for the bullpen gap that surfaces in the middle innings of a dome game. The pick is inside.
Joe Jensen breaks down Saturday’s Oregon State at Houston Week 1 matchup with a spread play on the Beavers getting the points, backed by last year’s overtime meeting.
Joe Jensen breaks down Friday’s Fresno State at USC college football matchup with a spread play on the Bulldogs, backed by USC’s failure to cover in Week 0 and Fresno State’s offensive talent.
Joe Jensen breaks down Friday’s Miami at Stanford ACC opener with a spread play on the Cardinal getting points, backed by home field and Miami’s cross-country travel.
Joe Jensen breaks down Friday’s Toledo at Michigan State season opener with a total play backed by two first-year head coaches and massive roster turnover.
Joe Jensen breaks down Friday’s UTEP at Oklahoma season opener with a total play backed by the Sooners’ 6th-ranked defense and Oklahoma’s history of Unders in blowout spots.
Joe Jensen breaks down Thursday’s Idaho at Utah college football season opener with a total play backed by new coaching staff and Utah’s run-heavy identity.
Joe Jensen breaks down Thursday’s UAB at Illinois season opener with a total play backed by Illinois breaking in a new quarterback and offensive line.
Joe Jensen breaks down Thursday’s Colorado at Georgia Tech college football season opener with a spread play on the Buffaloes as underdogs, backed by Julian Lewis’s homecoming motivation.
Joe Jensen breaks down Thursday’s Bethune-Cookman at UCF college football season opener with a total play backed by UCF’s historical FCS scoring dominance.