Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs Pre’diction ATS

by | Mar 22, 2022 | cbb

Arkansas Razorbacks (27-8 SU, 20-15-0 ATS) vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs (28-3 SU, 15-14-2 ATS)

When: Thursday March 24 2022, 7:09 PM PM (ET)

Where: Chase Center

Point Spread: Arkansas +9/Gonzaga -9

Total: 154

Money Line: Razorbacks +375/Gonzaga -500

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Key Injuries

Arkansas
Arkansas has no reported injuries at this time.

Gonzaga
Kaden Perry: Back (OUT)
Dominick Harris: Foot (OUT)

Recent Form

The Arkansas Razorbacks come into this matchup with an overall record of 27-8. On the season, the Razorbacks have performed well in their 15 non-conference games, posting a record of 13-2. In addition to their strong non-conference record, Arkansas has played well on neutral courts. Through 8 games, the Razorbacks are 5-3 away from home. Heading into this matchup, the Razorbacks are looking to stay hot as they try to add on to their current 2 game win streak.

The Gonzaga Bulldogs get set to host the Razorbacks with an overall record of 28-3. On the season, the Bulldogs have performed well in their 15 non-conference games, posting a record of 13-2. In addition to their strong non-conference record, Gonzaga has a good record at neutral sites. Through 9 games, the Bulldogs is 7-2. Heading into this matchup, the Bulldogs are looking to pick up their 5th straight win.

For the season, the Arkansas Razorbacks are averaging 76.2 points per game, good for a rank of 37th in the NCAA. Defensively, the team is giving up 68 points per contest (129th). On the other side, the Gonzaga Bulldogs are the top-ranked scoring offense, averaging 87.8 points per game while giving up 66 points per contest (65th).

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Efficiency Outlook

Gonzaga enters this matchup vs Arkansas, having played 31 games as the more efficient offense and defensive team. In these contests, they have posted a record of 28-3. Through 31 games, the Bulldogs are averaging 82.0 points per 70.0 possessions (NCAA Average), compared to 72.0 for the Bulldogs. In these situations, Gonzaga has an average scoring margin of 22.0 points. On the other side, the Razorbacks are 4-1 as the inferior team on both ends of the court. In these 5 instances, they hold an average scoring margin of 3.0.

I don’t expect this game to be heavily dictated by three-point shooting, as both the Razorbacks and Bulldogs are near the bottom of the NCAA in percentage of points from beyond the arc. So far, 24.7% of Arkansas’s points are coming from three-point shots. The same goes for Gonzaga, at 28.3%.

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Razorbacks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
  • Razorbacks are 11-1-1 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game.
  • Bulldogs are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
  • Bulldogs are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Joe’s Pick Against the Spread

The Gonzaga Bulldogs haven’t seen a team like Arkansas this season and it’s going to show. We also can’t discount the fact that the Hogs strength of schedule is a whopping 81 compared to Gonzaga’s 73. This 8.5-point spread is an absolute joke and it wouldn’t surprise me one bit to see Arkansas move on to the Elite Eight! Bet your Razorbacks vs. Bulldogs pick and ALL your March Madness wagers for FREE this week by taking advantage of a 100% REAL CASH bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $1000 at Betnow Sportsbook! It’s the biggest real cash bonus you’ll ever find from a legit online sportsbook!