Baylor vs. Kansas State Betting Odds & Pick 2/21/23

by | Last updated Feb 21, 2023 | cbb

Baylor (20-7 SU 14-12 ATS) vs. Kansas State (20-7 SU 18-9 ATS)
When: Tuesday, February 21st: 7:00 ET
Where: Bramlage Coliseum Manhattan, KS
Point Spread: BU -2/KSU +2 (Special Offer for Predictem readers only: 125% bonus up to $400 with code PREDICTEM at GTBets!)
Total: 145.5
Money Line: Baylor Bears -136/Kansas St. Wildcats +111

The Baylor Bears dropped their latest falling 87-71 to a very good Kansas team. They’ll look to get back on track and avenge an earlier loss tonight when they take on Kansas State. The odds maker lists Baylor as a -2.5 road favorite with a total line of 145.5 points.

Line Movement:

Baylor opened as a -1 favorite and has been quickly bet up to -2.5. The total hit most boards at 145.5 and has moved to 146 points.

Last Game Info

Baylor most recently fell to Kansas (87-71). The Bears lost straight-up, and they picked up an ATS defeat as +5 point underdogs. The combined 158 points finished above the 149 total line.

Kansas State picked up a victory over Iowa State by a score of 61-55. Heading into the game, the Wildcats were favored to win, with a point spread of -4. The combined 116 points did not surpass the 134 total line.

Current Form

Over their last five games, Baylor has a straight-up record of 4-1 while going 4-1 vs. the spread. Over this stretch, the Bears’ offense averages 78.6 points per game while hitting 48.4% of their shots from the field. On the defensive end of the floor, they have allowed opponents to shoot 48.2% from the field while allowing 71.2 points per contest.

Kansas State
In their previous five contests, Kansas State is 2-3 straight-up and 2-3 vs. the spread. In these five games, they have a scoring average of 67.4 points per game on a shooting percentage of 41.1%. Defensively, they allow teams to hit 42.5% of their shots while giving up 67.0 points per game.

Average Power Rating Of Opponents Played

This season, the combined power rating of Baylor’s opponents comes in at 85.8. Conversely, Kansas State’s combined opponent power rating sits at 84.7.

How Does Baylor Fare On The Road?

For the season, the Bears have played 11 road games and have a record of 6-5. In these contests, Baylor is 4-6 vs. the spread. Offensively, they have averaged 70.9 points per game on a shooting percentage of 43.0%. On defense, the Bears allow 74.9 points per contest when playing away from home. So far, opposing teams have a field goal percentage of 47.8% in these games.

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How Does Kansas State Fare At Home?

In their 17 games at home, Kansas State has a 13-4 record vs. the spread while going 16-1 straight-up. On offense, the Wildcats are shooting 44.3% on their home floor, leading to 74.6 points per game. Defensively, opponents are shooting 39.6% in these contests. The Kansas State defense is allowing 61.8 points per game at home.

Offense vs. Defense

For the season, Baylor is averaging 76.5 points per game (57th) while posting an overall field goal percentage of 46.3%. In today’s game, they will be matched up against a Kansas State defense that has allowed an average of 68.1 points per contest. This year, opponents have hit 42.0% of their shots vs. Kansas State. On the other side, the Kansas State Wildcats are coming into the game averaging 69.0 points per game on a shooting percentage of 42.0%. The Wildcats will be facing a defensive unit allowing an average of 69.7 points per contest. So far, teams have hit 45.0% of their shots vs. the Bears.

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Three-Point Shooting

From beyond the arc, Baylor has a shooting percentage of 34.5% while ranking 280th in attempts per game. The Bears will be facing a Kansas State defense that has a 3-point field goal shooting percentage allowed of 28.7%. Kansas State enters the game having hit 34.6% of their looks from deep while averaging 8.42 made 3’s per game. On the other end, Baylor has allowed opponents to hit 31.8% of their shots from beyond the arc.

Injuries Of Note


  • Dantwan Grimes (Out) Redshirt

Kansas State

  • Jerrell Colbert (Out) Redshirt
  • Taj Manning (Out) Redshirt
  • Anthony Thomas (Out) Redshirt

Pick Against The Line

I’m going through a rough patch, so that a fade might be in order. Or not. Anyway. The KSU defense matches up well with Baylor with the number 10th ranked 3PT% defense and offensive shooting efficiency No. 45. At home, they held all but Kansas to fewer than 70 points in regulation, and that was only 72 points. Opponents have averaged just 60.6 PPG at the Bramlage Coliseum. Baylor played well on both sides of the ball during their 10-1 run, but its defense was the key, holding seven of its opponents to 70 or fewer points. Take the Under 146. Note: We oftentimes get asked which online sportsbook is the best. The answer is easy! It’s Bovada Sportsbook! They have a nice clean site, the BEST live betting platform on the web, FAST Bitcoin payouts, TONS of props and they’ve been around forever. They also offer a 50% real cash bonus up to $250! Dump your lesser bookie today and start playing with the best! —-> Bovada!