Bet the Total: Texas Tech vs. Baylor Pick

by | Last updated Feb 4, 2023 | cbb

Texas Tech (12-10 SU 10-11 ATS) vs. Baylor (16-6 SU 10-11 ATS)
When: Saturday, February 4th: 1:00 ET
Where: Ferrell Center Waco, TX
Point Spread: TT +9.5/ BU -9.5
Total: 143.0
Money Line: Texas Tech Red Raiders +347/Baylor Bears -466

The Texas Tech Red Raiders head to Waco, Texas, to take on the Baylor Bears in an interesting Big 12 game. Baylor backers will have to lay a big number to get the money, with the Bears currently listed as a 9.5-point home favorite with a total line of 142.5. The tip-off is scheduled for 1:00 PM ET at the Ferrell Center and can be watched on CBS.

Line Movement

This game hit the boards with Baylor as low as an -8 point spread favorite and has been bet up to -9.5. The O/U line hit the board 143.5 and has since fallen to 142.5

Last Game Info

Texas Tech picked up a victory over Iowa State by a score of 80-77. Heading into the game, the Red Raiders were favored to win, with a point spread of -2.5. The combined 157 points finished above the 127.5 total line.

Baylor most recently fell to Texas (76-71). Not only did the Bears lose straight-up, but they picked up an ATS defeat as +3.5 point underdogs. The combined 147 points did not surpass the 148.5 total line.

Current Form

Texas Tech
Over their last five games, Texas Tech has a straight-up record of 2-3 while going 2-3 vs. the spread. Over this stretch, the Red Raiders’ offense is averaging 69.8 points per game while hitting 41.7% of their shots from the field. On the defensive end of the floor, they have allowed opponents to shoot 42.6% from the field while allowing 74.0 points per contest.

In their previous five contests, Baylor is 4-1 straight-up and 2-2-1 vs. the spread. In these five games, they have a scoring average of 71.2 points per game on a shooting percentage of 38.5%. Defensively, they allow teams to hit 48.2% of their shots while giving up 68.6 points per game.

Average Power Rating Of Opponents Played

This season, the combined power rating of Texas Tech’s opponents comes in at 82.5. On the other side, Baylor’s combined opponent power rating sits at 84.8.

How Does Texas Tech Fare On The Road?

For the season, the Red Raiders have played seven road games and have a record of 2-5. In these contests, Texas Tech is 3-3 vs. the spread. Offensively, they have averaged 65.4 points per game on a shooting percentage of 41.5%. On defense, the Red Raiders allow 68.1 points per contest when playing away from home. So far, opposing teams have a field goal percentage of 41.0% in these games.

How Does Baylor Fare At Home?

In their 13 games at home, Baylor has a 7-6 record vs. the spread while going 11-2 straight-up. On offense, the Bears are shooting 45.3% on their home floor, leading to 83.8 points per game. Defensively, opponents are shooting 42.5% in these contests. The Baylor defense is allowing 65.9 points per game at home.

Offense vs. Defense

For the season, Texas Tech is averaging 71.7 points per game (182nd) while posting an overall field goal percentage of 47.0%. In today’s game, they will be matched up against a Baylor defense that has allowed an average of 69.4 points per contest. This year, opponents have hit 44.3% of their shots vs. Baylor. On the other side, the Baylor Bears are coming into the game averaging 76.5 points per game on a shooting percentage of 46.3%. The Bears will be facing a defensive unit allowing an average of 67.5 points per contest. So far, teams have hit 41.6% of their shots vs. the Red Raiders.

Get Rich Crew’s Butler at Marquette 2/4/23 betting prediction >>>

Three-Point Shooting

From beyond the arc, Texas Tech has a shooting percentage of 31.4% while ranking 539th in attempts per game. The Red Raiders will be facing a Baylor defense that has a 3-point field goal shooting percentage allowed of 32.6%. Baylor enters the game having hit 34.5% of their looks from deep while averaging 7.94 made 3’s per game. On the other end, Texas Tech has allowed opponents to hit 32.4% of their shots from beyond the arc.

Injuries Of Note

Texas Tech

  • Fardaws Aimaq (Doubtful) Foot
  • Daniel Batcho (Probable) Knee
  • Pop Isaacs (Questionable) Ankle


  • Jonathan Tchamwa Tchatchoua (Out) Knee
  • Langston Love (Questionable) Thigh
  • Dantwan Grimes (Out) Redshirt

Pick Against The Line

My apologies for the lack of analysis. I like the Under 142.5.