Davidson vs Michigan State Best Bet

by | Mar 18, 2022 | cbb

Davidson Wildcats (27-6 SU, 20-12-0 ATS) vs. Michigan State Spartans (22-12 SU, 18-16-0 ATS)
When: Friday March 18 2022, 9:40 PM PM (ET)
Where: Bon Secours Wellness Arena

Point Spread: Davidson +1.5/Michigan State -1.5
Total: 141.5
Money Line: Wildcats +100/Michigan State -120
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Key Injuries

Davidson Davidson has no reported injuries at this time.

Michigan State Tyson Walker: Ankle (QUESTIONABLE)

Recent Form

The Davidson Wildcats come into this matchup with an overall record of 27-6. On the season, the Wildcats have performed well in their 12 non-conference games, posting a record of 10-2. Davidson is also above .500 at neutral sites, going 5-2. Through 19 games, the Wildcats are 14-5 away from home. Over their last 5 games, they have played above .500 basketball, holding a record of 3-2.

The Michigan State Spartans get set to host the Wildcats with an overall record of 22-12. On the season, the Spartans have performed well in their 11 non-conference games, posting a record of 9-2. When playing on neutral courts, the Spartans are 5-2. To finish the season, Michigan State went 3-2 over their last 5 games.

For the season, the Davidson Wildcats are averaging 74.6 points per game, good for a rank of 59th in the NCAA. Defensively, the team is allowing 65.8 points per contest (64th). On the other side, the Michigan State Spartans are the 116th ranked scoring offense, averaging 72.1 points per game, while allowing 68.4

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Efficiency Outlook

Davidson enters this matchup vs Michigan State, having played 30 games as the more efficient offense and defensive team. In these contests, they have posted a record of 25-5. Through 33 games, the Wildcats are averaging 78.0 points per 70.0 possessions (NCAA Average), compared to 72.0 for the Wildcats. In these situations, Davidson has an average scoring margin of 9.0 points. On the other side, the Spartans are 2-4 as the inferior team on both ends of the court. In these 6 instances, they hold an average scoring margin of -5.0.

The Wildcats come into this game with 34.8% of their overall scoring coming from made three-point shots. This figure places them above the NCAA average. Compared to Davidson, three-point shooting is not a key part of Michigan State’s gameplan as just 29.9% of their scoring comes from outside. In terms of efficiency, Davidson has been the more efficient team, connecting at a rate of 38.5%, compared to Michigan State at 37.8%.

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Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Wildcats are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
  • Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games.
  • Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games.
  • Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.

Joe’s Pick Against the Spread

Davidson is a great story and a great team, however, Michigan State played a MUCH tougher schedule and that matters. Davidson doesn’t play the same type of competition, giving them really nice statistics that make them appear better than they really are (when it comes to playing better opponents). They don’t play that well away from home either. I’m laying the -5 with MSU!