Illinois vs. Indiana Betting Analysis & Prediction ATS 2/18/23

by | Last updated Feb 18, 2023 | cbb

Illinois (17-8 SU 16-9 ATS) vs. Indiana (18-8 SU 14-11 ATS)
When: Saturday, February 18th: 12:00 ET
Where: Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall Bloomington, IN
Point Spread: Ill +5.5/Ind -5.5 (Save tons of money by switching to -105 odds instead of the standard/spendy -110 you’re paying! —> BetAnySports!)
Total: 142.5
Money Line: Illinois +197/Indiana -248

The Illinois Illini head to Bloomington, IN, to take on the Indiana Hoosiers and look to avenge an earlier 80-65 home loss. The tip-off is set for 12:00 PM ET at the Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall and can be watched on ESPN. The odds board lists Indiana as a -6.5 favorite with a total line of 142.5.

Line Movement

The Hoosiers opened at -4.5 and have since risen to -6.5 under public and sharp action. The total opened at 1445 and has dropped a full two points to 142.5.

Last Game Info

Going into their last game, Illinois was the betting favorite at -3.5 but fell to Penn State by a score of 93-81. The combined 174 points finished above the 140.5 total line.

Going into their last game, Indiana was the betting favorite at -2.5 but fell to Northwestern by a score of 64-62. The combined 126 points did not surpass the 134 total line.

Current Form

Over their last five games, Illinois has a straight-up record of 3-2 while going 4-1 vs. the spread. Over this stretch, the Fighting Illini offense averages 72.4 points per game while hitting 45.9% of their shots from the field. On the defensive end of the floor, they have allowed opponents to shoot 42.4% from the field while allowing 68.2 points per contest.

In their previous five contests, Indiana is 3-2 straight-up and 3-2 vs. the spread. In these five games, they have a scoring average of 64.8 points per game on a shooting percentage of 45.6%. Defensively, they are allowing teams to hit 40.8% of their shots while giving up 65.0 points per game.

Average Power Rating Of Opponents Played

This season, the combined power rating of Illinois’ opponents comes in at 81.8. On the other side, Indiana’s combined opponent power rating sits at 83.2.

How Does Illinois Fare On The Road?

For the season, the Fighting Illini have played 11 road games and have a record of 5-6. In these contests, Illinois is 6-5 vs. the spread. Offensively, they have averaged 72.5 points per game on a shooting percentage of 45.3%. On defense, the Fighting Illini allow 71.8 points per contest when playing away from home. So far, opposing teams have a field goal percentage of 42.3% in these games.

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How Does Indiana Fare At Home?

In their 15 games at home, Indiana has an 11-4 record vs. the spread while going 13-2 straight-up. On offense, the Hoosiers are shooting 52.1% on their home floor, leading to 81.5 points per game. Defensively, opponents are shooting 40.5% in these contests. The Indiana defense is allowing 64.6 points per game at home.

Offense vs. Defense

For the season, Illinois is averaging 75.8 points per game (66th) while posting an overall field goal percentage of 45.3%. In today’s game, they will be matched up against an Indiana defense that has allowed an average of 66.9 points per contest. This year, opponents have hit 40.8% of their shots vs. Indiana. On the other side, the Indiana Hoosiers are coming into the game averaging 71.5 points per game on a shooting percentage of 45.9%. The Hoosiers will be facing a defensive unit allowing an average of 65.1 points per contest. So far, teams have hit 40.5% of their shots vs. the Fighting Illini.

College Basketball Pick: Baylor at Kansas 2/18/23

Three-Point Shooting

From beyond the arc, Illinois has a shooting percentage of 36.7% while ranking 183rd in attempts per game. The Fighting Illini will be facing an Indiana defense that has a 3-point field goal shooting percentage allowed of 31.9%. Indiana enters the game having hit 33.9% of their looks from deep while averaging 6.12 made 3’s per game. On the other end, Illinois has allowed opponents to hit 31.1% of their shots from beyond the arc.

Injuries Of Note


  • No Reported Injuries


  • Xavier Johnson (Out) Foot
  • Logan Duncomb (Out) Illness

Pick Against The Spread

The Hoosiers have allowed just one team to score over 70 points in their last ten, and that included 65 points scored by the Illini in their last meeting. Statistically, Illinois is ranked extremely high in team defensive efficiency, but at times they have struggled against opponents’ inside game. That’s exactly what Indiana exploited in their earlier match-up, shooting 67.4%. Additionally, Indiana has been a priofitable bet at home and even more so in the Bet Ten where they’re 6-1 SU and ATS.’ Take Indiana -6.5. Bet your college hoops picks for FREE this week by scoring a 125% real cash bonus up to $400 AND get a free half point when you bet your favorite team when you use bonus promo code PREDICTEM at GTBets Sportsbook!