Baylor vs. Kansas Total Pick & Analysis

by | Last updated Feb 18, 2023 | cbb

Baylor (20-6 SU 14-11 ATS) vs. Kansas (21-5 SU 12-14 ATS)
When: Saturday, February 18th: 4:00 ET
Where: Allen Fieldhouse Lawrence, KS
Point Spread: BU +5/KU -5
Total: 149.0
Money Line: Baylor Bears +180/Kansas Jayhawks -225 (Save tons of money by switching to -105 odds instead of the standard/spendy -110 you’re paying! —> BetAnySports!)

The Baylor Bears travel to Lawrence, KS, to take on the Kansas Jayhawks in Saturday’s Big 12 action. The college basketball board lists the host Jayhawks as a -5.5 spread favorite with the total line of 148.5

Line Movement

This game hit the board with Kansas as a -5 home favorite and has since risen to -5.5. The total opened at 148 points and bounced around before settling in at 148.5.

Last Game Info

Baylor picked up a victory over West Virginia by a score of 79-67. Heading into the game, the Bears were favored to win, with a point spread of -6.5. The combined 146 points did not surpass the 148 total line.

Kansas picked up a victory over Oklahoma State by a score of 87-76. Heading into the game, the Jayhawks were favored to win, with a point spread of -1.5. The combined 163 points finished above the 140.5 total line.

Current Form

Over their last five games, Baylor has a straight-up record of 4-1 while going 4-1 vs. the spread. Over this stretch, the Bears’ offense averages 78.6 points per game while hitting 46.9% of their shots from the field. On the defensive end of the floor, they have allowed opponents to shoot 47.5% from the field while allowing 69.0 points per contest.

In their previous five contests, Kansas is 4-1 straight up and 4-1 vs. the spread. In these five games, they have a scoring average of 79.2 points per game on a shooting percentage of 47.4%. Defensively, they allow teams to hit 42.6% of their shots while giving up 71.4 points per game.

Average Power Rating Of Opponents Played

This season, the combined power rating of Baylor’s opponents comes in at 85.5. On the other side, Kansas’ combined opponent power rating sits at 87.2.

How Does Baylor Fare On The Road?

For the season, the Bears have played ten road games and have a record of 6-4. In these contests, Baylor is 4-5 vs. the spread. Offensively, they have averaged 70.9 points per game on a shooting percentage of 42.9%. On defense, the Bears allow 73.7 points per contest when playing away from home. So far, opposing teams have a field goal percentage of 47.5% in these games.

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How Does Kansas Fare At Home?

In their 15 games at home, Kansas has a 5-10 record vs. the spread while going 14-1 straight-up. On offense, the Jayhawks are shooting 46.6% on their home floor, leading to 78.7 points per game. Defensively, opponents are shooting 41.2% in these contests. The Kansas defense is allowing 68.0 points per game at home.

Offense vs. Defense

For the season, Baylor is averaging 76.5 points per game (57th) while posting an overall field goal percentage of 46.3%. In today’s game, they will be matched up against a Kansas defense that has allowed an average of 68.2 points per contest. This year, opponents have hit 41.5% of their shots vs. Kansas. On the other side, the Kansas Jayhawks are coming into the game averaging 78.6 points per game on a shooting percentage of 48.1%. The Jayhawks will be facing a defensive unit allowing an average of 69.0 points per contest. So far, teams have hit 44.8% of their shots vs. the Bears.

Three-Point Shooting

From beyond the arc, Baylor has a shooting percentage of 34.5% while ranking 280th in attempts per game. The Bears will be facing a Kansas defense that has a 3-point field goal shooting percentage allowed of 31.5%. Kansas enters the game having hit 35.5% of their looks from deep while averaging 7.15 made 3’s per game. On the other end, Baylor has allowed opponents to hit 31.9% of their shots from beyond the arc.

Injuries Of Note


  • Dantwan Grimes (Out) Redshirt


  • Cam Martin (Out) Shoulder
  • Kevin McCullar Jr. (Probable) Ankle
  • Dajuan Harris Jr. (Probable) Ankle
  • Zach Clemence (Out) Knee
  • Kyle Cuffe Jr. (Out) Knee
  • Charlie McCarthy (Out) Undisclosed
  • Wilder Evers (Out) Foot

Pick Against The Spread

It’s tough playing against Baylor, who has been killing it, going 10-1 SU and 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11, but Kansas is healthy now and more experienced because of the injury woes. Now, that doesn’t mean that I’m going to back them, but that’s why I’m staying away from a spread bet. Baylor is arguably playing its best offense of the season, scoring an average of 80.5 points per game over their last four. The Jayhawks have averaged 79.3 PPG at home this season and 84.3 in their last three as they return to health. Take the Over 148.5. Bet your college hoops picks for FREE this week by scoring a 125% real cash bonus up to $400 AND get a free half point when you bet your favorite team when you use bonus promo code PREDICTEM at GTBets Sportsbook!