Indiana at Maryland Expert Analysis & Pick

by | Last updated Feb 1, 2023 | cbb

Indiana (15-6 SU 11-9 ATS) vs. Maryland (14-7 SU 14-7 ATS)
When: Tuesday, January 31st: 9:00 ET
Where: XFINITY Center College Park, MD
Point Spread: Ind +2.5/MD -2.5
Total: 140.0
Money Line: Indiana Hoosiers +121/Maryland Terrapins -148

The Indiana Hoosiers’ will look to extend their winning streak to six games when they visit the Maryland Terrapins at the Xfinity Center tonight. The college betting board has the host Terps as a small -3 home favorite with a total line of 139.5.

Line Movement

The spread line on this game opened with Maryland as a -2.5 point favorite and has gone up a notch to -3. The total for this game hit the board as high as 141.5 points, and early betting has knocked that down to 139.5.

Last Game Info

Indiana picked up a victory over Ohio State by a score of 86-70. Heading into the game, the Hoosiers were favored to win, with a point spread of -5. The combined 156 points finished above the 145.5 total line.

Maryland picked up a victory over Nebraska by a score of 82-63. Heading into the game, the Terrapins were favored to win, with a point spread of -11.5. The combined 145 points finished above the 131.5 total line.

Current Form

Over their last five games, Indiana has a straight-up record of 5-0 while going 4-1 vs. the spread. Over this stretch, the Hoosiers offense averages 74.4 points per game while hitting 49.4% of their shots from the field. On the defensive end of the floor, they have allowed opponents to shoot 38.5% from the field while allowing 61.2 points per contest.

In their previous five contests, Maryland is 3-2 straight-up and 4-1 vs. the spread. In these five games, they have a scoring average of 68.2 points per game on a shooting percentage of 45.4%. Defensively, they allow teams to hit 46.6% of their shots while giving up 63.0 points per game.

Average Power Rating Of Opponents Played

This season, the combined power rating of Indiana’s opponents comes in at 81.7. On the other side, Maryland’s combined opponent power rating is 82.5.

How Does Indiana Fare On The Road?

For the season, the Hoosiers have played eight road games and have a record of 4-4. In these contests, Indiana is 2-5 vs. the spread. Offensively, they have averaged 71.6 points per game on a shooting percentage of 46.2%. On defense, the Hoosiers allow 72.5 points per contest when playing away from home. So far, opposing teams have a field goal percentage of 42.4% in these games.

How Does Maryland Fare At Home?

In their 12 games at home, Maryland has a 9-3 record vs. the spread while going 11-1 straight-up. On offense, the Terrapins are shooting 47.0% on their home floor, leading to 74.8 points per game. Defensively, opponents are shooting 41.7% in these contests. The Maryland defense is allowing 61.8 points per game at home.

Offense vs. Defense

For the season, Indiana is averaging 71.5 points per game (184th) while posting an overall field goal percentage of 45.9%. In today’s game, they will be matched up against a Maryland defense that has allowed an average of 63.7 points per contest. This year, opponents have hit 42.0% of their shots vs. Maryland. On the other side, the Maryland Terrapins are coming into the game averaging 70.9 points per game on a shooting percentage of 43.3%. The Terrapins will be facing a defensive unit allowing an average of 67.4 points per contest. So far, teams have hit 40.8% of their shots vs. the Hoosiers.

Three-Point Shooting

From beyond the arc, Indiana has a shooting percentage of 33.9% while ranking 570th in attempts per game. The Hoosiers will be facing a Maryland defense that has a 3-point field goal shooting percentage allowed of 30.2%. Maryland enters the game having hit 32.6% of their looks from deep while averaging 6.91 made 3’s per game. On the other end, Indiana has allowed opponents to hit 33.0% of their shots from beyond the arc.

Injuries Of Note


  • Xavier Johnson (Out) Foot
  • Jordan Geronimo (Questionable) Leg
  • Logan Duncomb (Questionable) Illness


  • No Reported Injuries

Pick Against The Spread

There’s a lot to like about Maryland, especially at home at the Xfinity Center. However, Indiana, on paper, is just a better team. They move the ball around better, with 16.4 assists per game compared to 11. They are better on the glass at 37.6 rebounds per game versus 35, and they are one of the better shooting teams in the nation at 50.3% in comparison to Maryland’s 44.9. Take the Hoosiers +3.