Kansas at Baylor Odds, Analysis, Prediction

by | Jan 23, 2023 | cbb

Kansas (16-3 SU 7-12 ATS) vs. Baylor (14-5 SU 9-9 ATS)
When: Monday, January 23rd: 9:00 ET
Where: Ferrell Center Waco, TX
TV: ESPN
Point Spread: KAN +2.5/BAYL -2.5 (Deposit $200 and get $100 FREE at the web’s best sportsbook —> Bovada Sportsbook! Home of the BEST live wagering platform on the web!)
Total: 149.0
Money Line: KU +121/Bay -148

The Kansas Jayhawks have dropped two straight, with the last an embarrassing 83-60 beat down at the hands of the Horned Frogs. They’re catching points for only the third time this season tonight when they visit the Baylor Bears -2.5. A key trend in play on Monday is that the home team has taken the last four matches in this series. The tip-off for Monday’s game at the Ferrell Center is scheduled for 9:00 PM and can be viewed on ESPN.

Line Movement

The Baylor Bears opened at -1.5 and climbed to -3.5 before bettors bought back on Kansas to lower the line to -2.5 at most betting sites. The total line hit the board at 149.5 and has settled in on 149 at the time of writing.

Last Game Info

Going into their last game, Kansas was the betting favorite at -7.5 but fell to TCU by a score of 83-60. The combined 143 points did not surpass the 146 total line.

Baylor is coming off a 62-60 win over Oklahoma. Entering the game, the Bears were favored at -2, resulting in an ATS push on each side. The combined 122 points did not surpass the 141.5 total line.

Current Form

Kansas
Over their last five games, Kansas has a straight-up record of 3-2 while going 1-4 vs. the spread. Over this stretch, the Jayhawks’ offense averages 71.8 points per game while hitting 41.5% of their shots from the field. On the defensive end of the floor, they have allowed opponents to shoot 43.4% from the field while allowing 72.6 points per contest.

Baylor
In their previous five contests, Baylor is 4-1 straight-up and 3-1-1 vs. the spread. In these five games, they have a scoring average of 79.0 points per game on a shooting percentage of 43.9%. Defensively, they allow teams to hit 45.2% of their shots while giving up 73.4 points per game.

Average Power Rating Of Opponents Played

This season, the combined power rating of Kansas’ opponents comes in at 80.2. On the other side, Baylor’s combined opponent power rating sits at 79.9.

How Does Kansas Fare On The Road?

For the season, the Jayhawks have played six road games and have a record of 4-2. In these contests, Kansas is 4-2 vs. the spread. Offensively, they have averaged 74.5 points per game on a shooting percentage of 45.1%. On defense, the Jayhawks allow 68.7 points per contest when playing away from home. So far, opposing teams have a field goal percentage of 40.3% in these games.

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How Does Baylor Fare At Home?

In their 11 games at home, Baylor has a 6-5 record vs. the spread while going 9-2 straight-up. On offense, the Bears are shooting 47.1% on their home floor, leading to 86.1 points per game. Defensively, opponents are shooting 41.4% in these contests. The Baylor defense is allowing 65.8 points per game at home.

Offense vs. Defense

For the season, Kansas is averaging 78.6 points per game (31st) while posting an overall field goal percentage of 48.1%. In today’s game, they will be matched up against a Baylor defense that has allowed an average of 69.3 points per contest. This year, opponents have hit 43.7% of their shots vs. Baylor. On the other side, the Baylor Bears are coming into the game averaging 76.5 points per game on a shooting percentage of 46.3%. The Bears will be facing a defensive unit allowing an average of 67.1 points per contest. So far, teams have hit 41.0% of their shots vs. the Jayhawks.

Three-Point Shooting

From beyond the arc, Kansas has a shooting percentage of 35.5% while ranking 473rd in attempts per game. The Jayhawks will be facing a Baylor defense that has a 3-point field goal shooting percentage allowed of 32.9%. Baylor enters the game having hit 34.5% of their looks from deep while averaging 7.94 made 3’s per game. On the other end, Kansas has allowed opponents to hit 32.0% of their shots from beyond the arc.

Injuries Of Note

Kansas

  • Cam Martin (Questionable) Shoulder
  • Kyle Cuffe Jr. (Out) Knee
  • Charlie McCarthy (Out) Undisclosed
  • Wilder Evers (Out) Foot
  • MJ Rice (Questionable) Back

Baylor

  • Jonathan Tchamwa Tchatchoua (Out) Knee
  • Dantwan Grimes (Out) Redshirt

Pick Against The Spread

The Jayhawks have allowed a season-high 83 points in back-to-back losses, including a ridiculous 54.4% from the field to TCU. It should be all about defense for Kansas tonight. If they can clean up their 3-point defense, I think that they can keep Baylor to a number in or below the low 70s. The Baylor defense hasn’t been great, but they may not have to be. The Jayhawks’ shooting has been ice-cold, hitting on just 41.3% of their shots which is over 5% below their seasonal average. Take the UNDER 149. Bet your college basketball predictions for FREE this week by scoring a 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit up to $500 when you use promo code PREDICTEM at Betnow Sportsbook!