Kansas vs Texas Pick: Betting Preview and Analysis

by | Last updated Mar 4, 2023 | cbb

Kansas (25-5 SU 14-16 ATS) vs. Texas (22-8 SU 13-17 ATS)
When: Saturday, March 4th: 4:00 ET
Where: Moody Center Austin, TX
Point Spread: KU +3.5/UT -3.5 (STOP wasting your money betting on games at -110 odds! Start saving big bucks that you can invest in more bets by making the switch to -105 odds at BAS Sportsbook!)
Total: 149.0
Money Line: Kan +139/Horns -174

The Kansas Jayhawks (25-5 SU, 14-16 ATS) will tip off against the Texas Longhorns (22-8 SU, 13-17 ATS) at the Moody Center in Austin, TX, on Saturday at 4:00 PM ET. The game will be televised on ESPN. The current point spread is KU +3.5/UT -3.5, with the total set at 149.0. The money line is Kansas Jayhawks +139/Texas Longhorns -174.

Line Movement

Last Game Info

Kansas is coming off a 67-63 win over Texas Tech. However, they did not cover the spread in the game as -8.5 point favorites. The combined 130 points did not surpass the 147.5 total line.

Texas lost to TCU in their last game by a score of 75-73. But because the Longhorns were +3.5 point underdogs, they finished with an ATS win. The combined 148 points did not surpass the 149.5 total line.

Current Form

Over their last five games, Kansas has a straight-up record of 5-0 while going 3-2 vs. the spread. Over this stretch, the Jayhawks’ offense averages 76.0 points per game while hitting 47.7% of their shots from the field. On the defensive end of the floor, they have allowed opponents to shoot 42.1% from the field while allowing 68.4 points per contest.

In their previous five contests, Texas is 2-3 straight-up and 2-3 vs. the spread. In these five games, they have a scoring average of 73.8 points per game on a shooting percentage of 43.6%. Defensively, they allow teams to hit 46.8% of their shots while giving up 73.4 points per game.

Average Power Rating Of Opponents Played

This season, the combined power rating of Kansas’ opponents comes in at 87.6. On the other side, Texas’ combined opponent power rating sits at 86.1.

How Does Kansas Fare On The Road?

For the season, the Jayhawks have played 12 road games and have a record of 8-4. In these contests, Kansas is 8-4 vs. the spread. Offensively, they have averaged 72.8 points per game on a shooting percentage of 46.1%. On defense, the Jayhawks allow 67.7 points per contest when playing away from home. So far, opposing teams have a field goal percentage of 40.8% in these games.

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How Does Texas Fare At Home?

In their 20 games at home, Texas has a 9-11 record vs. the spread while going 18-2 straight-up. On offense, the Longhorns are shooting 49.5% on their home floor, leading to 83.8 points per game. Defensively, opponents are shooting 41.9% in these contests. The Texas defense is allowing 67.5 points per game at home.

Offense vs. Defense

For the season, Kansas is averaging 78.6 points per game (31st) while posting an overall field goal percentage of 48.1%. In today’s game, they will be matched up against a Texas defense that has allowed an average of 69.0 points per contest. This year, opponents have hit 43.0% of their shots vs. Texas. On the other side, the Texas Longhorns are coming into the game averaging 68.3 points per game on a shooting percentage of 44.2%. The Longhorns will be facing a defensive unit allowing an average of 68.0 points per contest. So far, teams have hit 41.3% of their shots vs. the Jayhawks.

Three-Point Shooting

From beyond the arc, Kansas has a shooting percentage of 35.5% while ranking 473rd in attempts per game. The Jayhawks will be facing a Texas defense that has a 3-point field goal shooting percentage allowed of 33.4%. Texas enters the game having hit 32.3% of their looks from deep while averaging 6.41 made 3’s per game. On the other end, Kansas has allowed opponents to hit 31.1% of their shots from beyond the arc.

Injuries Of Note


  • Cam Martin (Out) Shoulder
  • Zach Clemence (Out) Knee
  • Kyle Cuffe Jr. (Out) Redshirt
  • Charlie McCarthy (Out) Knee
  • Wilder Evers (Out) Foot


  • Rowan Brumbaugh (Out) Redshirt

Pick Against The Spread

The Kansas team is deep, but they clinched the Big 12 title on Tuesday and may not have the same motivation intensity as Texas. The Longhorns have dropped its last two – both on the road to Baylor and TCU and return home to where they’re 16-1 straight up this season. They’re getting three and a hook and could obviously win this outright. They’re laying only 3.5, and that’s a number that the Jayhawks have lost by fewer than in only one of their five losses. Take Texas -3.5.

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