Miami (FL) vs. Texas Betting Preview and Pick

by | Last updated Mar 26, 2023 | cbb

Miami (FL) (25-7 SU 21-13 ATS) vs. Texas (26-8 SU 19-17 ATS)
When: Sunday, March 26th: 5:05 ET
Where: T-Mobile Center Kansas City, MO
Point Spread: UM +4/UT -4
Total: 149
Money Line: Miami (FL) Hurricanes +156/Texas Longhorns -191

Miami (FL) (25-7 SU 21-13 ATS) and Texas (26-8 SU 19-17 ATS) will face off in a March Madness clash on Sunday, March 26th at the T-Mobile Center in Kansas City, MO. The game will be broadcast on CBS at 5:05 ET. The point spread is UM +4/UT -4, and the total is set at 149. The money line is Miami (FL) Hurricanes +156/Texas Longhorns -191.

Line Movement

This game opened with Texas favored by as much as -4.5 but is now at most sportsbooks at -3.5. The total hit the board at 149.5, where it has held at most shops, but there are 149s out there, so line shopping is a must.

Last Game Info

Miami (FL) will be looking for another win, as they most recently defeated Houston by a score of 89-75. The Hurricanes also picked up an ATS victory as they were +7.5 point underdogs. The combined 164 points finished above the 139.5 total line.

Texas picked up a victory over Xavier by a score of 83-71. Heading into the game, the Longhorns were favored to win, with a point spread of -4.5. The combined 154 points finished above the 149 total line.

Current Form

Miami (FL)
Over their last five games, Miami (FL) has a straight-up record of 4-1 while going 3-2 vs. the spread. Over this stretch, the Hurricanes’ offense averages 78.0 points per game while hitting 48.0% of their shots from the field. On the defensive end of the floor, they have allowed opponents to shoot 48.3% from the field while allowing 77.6 points per contest.

In their previous five contests, Texas is 5-0 straight-up and 4-0-1 vs. the spread. In these five games, they have a scoring average of 70.2 points per game on a shooting percentage of 42.5%. Defensively, they allow teams to hit 37.3% of their shots while giving up 59.4 points per game.

Average Power Rating Of Opponents Played

This season, the combined power rating of Miami (FL)’s opponents comes in at 83.3. Conversely, Texas’ combined opponent power rating sits at 86.9.

How Does Miami (FL) Fare On Neutral Courts?

This season, the Hurricanes are 5-2 in games on neutral courts.

How Does Texas Fare On Neutral Courts?

This season, the Longhorns are 8-1 in games on neutral courts.

Offense vs. Defense

For the season, Miami (FL) is averaging 74.8 points per game (89th) while posting an overall field goal percentage of 47.7%. In today’s game, they will be matched up against a Texas defense that has allowed an average of 67.4 points per contest. This year, opponents have hit 42.1% of their shots vs. Texas. On the other side, the Texas Longhorns are coming into the game averaging 68.3 points per game on a shooting percentage of 44.2%. The Longhorns will be facing a defensive unit allowing an average of 72.1 points per contest. So far, teams have hit 45.1% of their shots vs. the Hurricanes.

Three-Point Shooting

From beyond the arc, Miami (FL) has a shooting percentage of 35.0% while ranking 423rd in attempts per game. The Hurricanes will be facing a Texas defense that has a 3-point field goal shooting percentage allowed of 32.8%. Texas enters the game having hit 32.3% of their looks from deep while averaging 6.41 made 3’s per game. On the other end, Miami (FL) has allowed opponents to hit 33.9% of their shots from beyond the arc.

Injuries Of Note

Miami (FL)

  • No Reported Injuries


  • Dylan Disu (Questionable) Foot
  • Rowan Brumbaugh (Out) Redshirt

Pick Against The Spread

We’re getting deep into the playoffs, and picking a winner is becoming more difficult. Theoretically speaking, it’s a hot team vs. a hot team. The difference here is that the Horns have put away better opponents and have a better offensive efficiency rating/defensive efficiency rating than Miami over the last five games. I wouldn’t bet the farm, but my lean is to Texas minus the points.

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