Michigan State vs. Nebraska Predictions and Betting Analysis

by | Last updated Feb 28, 2023 | cbb

Michigan State (17-11 SU 14-14 ATS) vs. Nebraska (15-14 SU 8-21 ATS)
When: Tuesday, February 28th: 9:00 ET
Where: Pinnacle Bank Arena Lincoln, NE
Point Spread: MSU -3.5/UNL +3.5 (Bet it FREE with a sportsbook bonus promo code!)
Total: 137.5
Money Line: Michigan State Spartans -173/Nebraska Cornhuskers +141

On Tuesday, February 28th, the Michigan State Spartans (17-11 SU, 14-14 ATS) will face off against the Nebraska Cornhuskers (15-14 SU, 8-21 ATS) at Pinnacle Bank Arena in Lincoln, NE. The game is set to start at 9:00 ET and will be broadcast on BTN. The point spread is currently set at MSU -3.5/UNL +3.5, with a total of 137.5. The money line odds are Michigan State Spartans -173/Nebraska Cornhuskers +141.

Line Movement

The Spartans opened at -3 and have been bet up to -3.5 with the public jumping onboard. The total hit the board at 137.5 and has been bet up to as high as 138.5 at some books.

Last Game Info

Michigan State most recently fell to Iowa (112-106). Not only did the Spartans lose straight-up, but they picked up an ATS defeat as +5.5 point underdogs. The combined 218 points finished above the 146 total line.

Nebraska picked up a victory over Minnesota by a score of 78-67. Heading into the game, the Cornhuskers were favored to win, with a point spread of -8. The combined 145 points finished above the 134 total line.

Current Form

Michigan State
Over their last five games, Michigan State has a straight-up record of 3-2 while going 3-2 vs. the spread. Over this stretch, the Spartans’ offense averages 76.6 points per game while hitting 48.8% of their shots from the field. On the defensive end of the floor, they have allowed opponents to shoot 43.1% from the field while allowing 72.0 points per contest.

In their previous five contests, Nebraska is 4-1 straight up and 4-1 vs. the spread. In these five games, they have a scoring average of 75.0 points per game on a shooting percentage of 48.7%. Defensively, they allow teams to hit 42.7% of their shots while giving up 72.2 points per game.

Average Power Rating Of Opponents Played

This season, the combined power rating of Michigan State’s opponents comes in at 86. On the other side, Nebraska’s combined opponent power rating sits at 84.7.

How Does Michigan State Fare On The Road?

For the season, the Spartans have played 12 road games and have a record of 4-8. In these contests, Michigan State is 5-7 vs. the spread. Offensively, they have averaged 69.0 points per game on a shooting percentage of 44.8%. On defense, the Spartans allow 72.2 points per contest when playing away from home. So far, opposing teams have a field goal percentage of 43.2% in these games.

How Does Nebraska Fare At Home?

In their 15 games at home, Nebraska has a 6-9 record vs. the spread while going 12-3 straight-up. On offense, the Cornhuskers are shooting 46.7% on their home floor, leading to 71.4 points per game. Defensively, opponents are shooting 39.7% in these contests. The Nebraska defense is allowing 64.2 points per game at home.

Offense vs. Defense

For the season, Michigan State is averaging 72.1 points per game (168th) while posting an overall field goal percentage of 45.7%. In today’s game, they will be matched up against a Nebraska defense that has allowed an average of 69.0 points per contest. This year, opponents have hit 42.7% of their shots vs. Nebraska. On the other side, the Nebraska Cornhuskers are coming into the game averaging 73.3 points per game on a shooting percentage of 44.4%. The Cornhuskers will be facing a defensive unit allowing an average of 67.0 points per contest. So far, teams have hit 41.5% of their shots vs. the Spartans.

Three-Point Shooting

From beyond the arc, Michigan State has a shooting percentage of 37.8% while ranking 533rd in attempts per game. The Spartans will be facing a Nebraska defense that has a 3-point field goal shooting percentage allowed of 33.2%. Nebraska enters the game having hit 32.0% of their looks from deep while averaging 7.0 made 3’s per game. On the other end, Michigan State has allowed opponents to hit 29.9% of their shots from beyond the arc.

Injuries Of Note

Michigan State

  • No Reported Injuries


  • Juwan Gary (Out) Shoulder
  • Emmanuel Bandoumel (Out) Knee
  • Quaran McPherson (Out) Knee
  • Ramel Lloyd Jr. (Out) Redshirt
  • Blaise Keita (Questionable) Ankle

Pick Against The Line

The Cornhuskers’ last five games have gone Over the Total. Yes, two of those required overtime to get by the number, but their offense has been the best it has been all season, scoring 75 points per game over their last five. In comes the Spartans, who can really shut down inefficient offenses, and earlier in the season, Nebraska would have certainly been classified as such (MSU 74- Neb 56 in the earlier meeting). Michigan State has also been picking it up on offense scoring 72 plus in three straight. Take the Over 138.5. Bet your games for cheaper by taking 2 minutes to learn about reduced vig sports betting!