TCU at Iowa State Pick ATS & Analysis

by | Feb 15, 2023 | cbb

TCU (17-8 SU 13-11 ATS) vs. Iowa State (16-8 SU 10-13 ATS)
When: Wednesday, February 15th: 9:00 ET
Where: Hilton Coliseum Ames, IA
Point Spread: TCU +4/ISU -4
Total: 134.5
Money Line: TCU Horned Frogs +153/Iowa State Cyclones -189

The TCU Horned Frogs (17-8 SU, 13-11 ATS) will visit the Iowa State Cyclones (16-8 SU, 10-13 ATS) on Wednesday, February 15th, at the Hilton Coliseum in Ames, IA. The game will be broadcast on ESPNU, and the point spread is TCU +4/ISU -4 with a total of 134.5. In this article, we will provide you with an in-depth betting guide for the Big 12 Conference matchup between TCU and Iowa State, including line movement, last game info, current form, average power rating of opponents played, how TCU fares on the road, how Iowa State fares at home, offense vs. defense, three-point shooting, and injuries of note.

Line Movement

The line for this game opened with Iowa State as a 5-point favorite. However, the line has since moved to TCU +4/ISU -4. The total has also seen some movement, opening at 135 and dropping to 134.5.

Last Game Info

TCU lost to Baylor in their last game by a score of 72-68. Despite the loss, the Horned Frogs covered the +2-point spread. The combined 140 points did not surpass the 148 total line.
On the other hand, Iowa State entered their last game against Oklahoma State as a 6.5-point favorite, but they lost 64-56. The combined 120 points did not surpass the 127.5 total line.

Current Form

Over their last five games, TCU has a straight-up record of 1-4 and a 1-4 record against the spread. During this stretch, the Horned Frogs’ offense is averaging 70.4 points per game while shooting 46.0% from the field. On the defensive end, TCU has allowed opponents to shoot 47.8% from the field while allowing 77.2 points per game.
Iowa State
In their previous five games, Iowa State is 1-4 straight-up and 1-3-1 against the spread. During these five games, they have a scoring average of 66.6 points per game on a shooting percentage of 43.9%. Defensively, they are allowing teams to shoot 43.5% while giving up 70.2 points per game.

Average Power Rating of Opponents Played

This season, the combined power rating of TCU’s opponents comes in at xxx. On the other side, Iowa State’s combined opponent power rating sits at xxx.

How Does TCU Fare On The Road?

For the season, the Horned Frogs have played eight road games and have a record of 3-5. In these games, TCU is 4-4 against the spread. Offensively, they have averaged 74.2 points per game on a shooting percentage of 46.8%. On defense, the Horned Frogs are allowing 76.6 points per game when playing away from home. So far, opposing teams have a field goal percentage of 46.6% in these games.

How Does Iowa State Fare At Home?

In their 14 games at home, Iowa State has a 6-8 record against the spread and a 13-1 straight-up record. On offense, the Cyclones are shooting 47.5% on their home floor, leading to 73.8 points per game. Defensively, opponents are shooting 39.1% in these contests. The Iowa State defense is allowing 55.2 points per game at home.

Offense vs. Defense

TCU is averaging 68.1 points per game this season, ranking them 298th in the country. They have an overall field goal percentage of 44.1%. In today’s game, they will be matched up against an Iowa State defense that has allowed an average of 61.8 points per game. This year, opponents have hit 41.5% of their shots against Iowa State.
On the other side of the court, the Iowa State Cyclones are coming into the game averaging 66.5 points per game on a shooting percentage of 43.9%. The Cyclones will be facing a TCU defense that is allowing an average of 66.8 points per game. So far, teams have hit 42.1% of their shots against the Horned Frogs.

Three-Point Shooting

From beyond the arc, TCU has a shooting percentage of 30.4% while ranking 558th in the country in attempts per game. The Horned Frogs will be facing an Iowa State defense that has allowed a 3-point field goal shooting percentage of 32.1%. Iowa State enters the game having hit 32.1% of their looks from deep while averaging 6.72 made threes per game. On the other end, TCU has allowed opponents to hit 29.1% of their shots from beyond the arc.

Injuries of Note


Eddie Lampkin Jr. is questionable for this game with an ankle injury.
Mike Miles Jr. is out with a knee injury.
Iowa State

Jeremiah Williams is out with an Achilles injury.

Pick Against the Spread

With TCU struggling to find consistency and Iowa State struggling at the betting window, this game could be a toss-up. However, Iowa State’s strong home record and efficient offense give them a slight edge in this matchup.