Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers Odds & Pick

by | Mar 20, 2022 | cbb

Texas Longhorns (22-11 SU, 13-19-1 ATS) vs. Purdue Boilermakers (28-7 SU, 14-20-1 ATS)
When: Sunday March 20 2022, 8:40 PM PM (ET)
Where: Fiserv Forum

Point Spread: Texas +4/Purdue -4 (Bovada)
Total: 132.5
Money Line: Longhorns +141/Purdue -168

Key Injuries

Texas
Tre Mitchell: Personal (OUT)

Purdue
Brian Waddell: Knee (OUT)

Recent Form

The Texas Longhorns come into this matchup with an overall record of 22-11. On the season, the Longhorns have performed well in their 14 non-conference games, posting a record of 12-2. In addition to their strong non-conference record, Texas have played well on neutral courts, going 2-1. In their past 5 contests, the team has gone just 2-3.

The Purdue Boilermakers get set to host the Longhorns with an overall record of 28-7. On the season, the Boilermakers have performed well in their 12 non-conference games, posting a record of 12-0. In addition to their strong non-conference record, Purdue has a good record at neutral sites. Through 8 games, the Boilermakers is 7-1. Over their last 5 games, they have played above .500 basketball, holding a record of 4-1

For the season, the Texas Longhorns are averaging 68.7 points per game, good for a rank of 217th in the NCAA. Defensively, the team allows an average of just 60 points per game (5th). On the other side, the Purdue Boilermakers are the 7th ranked scoring offense, averaging 79.7 points per game, while allowing 68.4 points per game.

Efficiency Outlook

Texas take on the Boilermakers holding the advantage in defensive efficiency, giving up 63.0 points per 70.0 possessions (NCAA Average) compared to Purdue at 70.0. When playing as the superior defensive unit, the Longhorns have a record of 21-6. Even though Purdue trails Texas on the defensive end of the court, they enter this game holding the edge on offense. So far, the Boilermakers are 28-7 with an edge in offensive efficiency. In these games, they hold an average scoring margin of 11.0.

For the year, the Longhorns are well below the NCAA average in percentage of points from made three-point shots, sitting at just 28.4%. On the other side, the Boilermakers have been a very balanced scoring unit, with 32.7% of their scoring coming from downtown.

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Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Longhorns are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games as an underdog.
  • Longhorns are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog.
  • Boilermakers are 7-18-2 ATS in their last 27 games as a favorite.
  • Boilermakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.

Joe’s Against the Spread Pick

The Longhorns are a live dog Sunday as short underdogs. They qualify as a team that is getting hot at the right time and Purdue is well known for blowing it in big games. My money is on the Horns plus the points!