Washington vs. USC Total Pick 3/10/22

by | Mar 10, 2022 | cbb

Washington Huskies (17-14 SU, 18-13-0 ATS) vs. USC Trojans (25-6 SU, 15-16-0 ATS)

When: Thursday March 10 2022, 11:30 PM PM (ET)

Where: T-Mobile Arena

Point Spread: Washington +5/USC -5 (BetNow)

Total: 141.5

Money Line: Huskies +176/USC -220

Key Injuries

Washington

Samuel Ariyibi: Ankle (OUT)

USC

Isaiah White: Wrist (QUESTIONABLE)

Recent Form

The Washington Huskies come into this matchup with an overall record of 17-14. On the season, the Huskies have performed well in their 21 conference games, posting a record of 12-9. This mark is good for 7th in the Pac 12. Even though Washington has performed well in Pac 12 action, they still have a below .500 record on the road or on neutral sites. So far, the Huskies are 6-8 away from home. Heading into this matchup, the Huskies are looking to stay hot as they try to add on to their current 3 game win streak.

The USC Trojans get set to host the Huskies with an overall record of 25-6. On the season, the Trojans have performed well in their 20 conference games, posting a record of 14-6. This mark is good for 3rd in the Pac 12. In addition to playing well in the Pac 12, USC has performed well at home. Through 16 games, the Trojans are 13-3 at home. Against Washington, the Trojans will look to turn things around, as they are on a 2 game losing streak.

For the season, the Washington Huskies are averaging 70.9 points per game, good for a rank of 154th in the NCAA. When playing on the road, the Huskies’ scoring average drops to 69.7. The team’s defensive performance also takes a hit when playing away from home, giving up an additional 6.0 points per game. On the other side, the USC Trojans are the 95th ranked scoring offense, averaging 73.3 points per game while giving up just 66.

Efficiency Outlook

USC enters this matchup vs Washington, having played 19 games as the more efficient offense and defensive team. In these contests, they have posted a record of 16-3. Through 31 games, the Trojans are averaging 73.0 points per 70.0 possessions (NCAA Average), compared to 73.0 for the Trojans. In these situations, USC has an average scoring margin of 11.0 points. On the other side, the Huskies are 8-11 as the inferior team on both ends of the court. In these 4 instances, they hold an average scoring margin of -8.0.

I Don’t expect this game to be heavily dictated by three-point shooting, as both the Huskies and Trojans are near the bottom of the NCAA in their percentage of points from beyond the arc. Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing USC.
So far, 26.2% of Washington’s points are coming from three-point shots. The same goes for USC, at 27.5%. In terms of efficiency, USC has been the more efficient team, connecting at a rate of 35.4%, compared to Washington at 31.4%.

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Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing USC
  • Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing USC
  • USC is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
  • USC is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington

Joe’s Betting Pick

I don’t think that the Huskies will have the legs to play defense after playing last night, but they have been shooting the ball well, so I think they’ll get their share of points. The OVER looks like the best play here. Question: Did you know that you could be betting for cheaper? Almost all sportsbooks charge the bettor -110 odds on sides and totals. Did you know that you could be laying only -105 at BetanySports? It doesn’t sound like much, but if you take a couple minutes to pencil out how much you’d have saved over the past year the numbers are astronomical! Be smart! Make the switch to reduced juice betting today! You’ll be SO glad you did! (Note: You must choose reduced juice over instead of the signup bonus when you sign up there). Click here to start saving big bucks TODAY!

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