West Virginia vs. Baylor Total Pick & Analysis

by | Feb 13, 2023 | cbb

West Virginia (15-10 SU 12-12 ATS) vs. Baylor (19-6 SU 13-11 ATS)
When: Monday, February 13th: 9:00 ET
Where: Ferrell Center Waco, TX
Point Spread: WVU +6.5/BU -6.5(Stop wasting money on -110 odds (or higher!) Start saving big money TODAY by making the switch to -105 reduced juice at BetAnySports!)
Total: 148.5
Money Line: West Va +225/Baylor -284

The West Virginia Mountaineers will look to get their act together after a blowout loss at Texas on Saturday when they travel to Waco to take on the Baylor Bears. The betting board has Baylor as a -6.5 point favorite with a total line of 148.5.

Line Movement

On most boards, Baylor opened as a -6.5 favorite, and some betting sites have moved the line to -7. The total opened at 148 and has gone up a half point to 148.5 points.

Last Game Info

West Virginia most recently fell to Texas (94-60). Not only did the Mountaineers lose straight-up, but they picked up an ATS defeat as +7.5 point underdogs. The combined 154 points finished above the 149 total line.

Baylor picked up a victory over TCU by a score of 72-68. Heading into the game, the Bears were favored to win, with a point spread of -2. The combined 140 points did not surpass the 148 total line.

Current Form

West Virginia
Over their last five games, West Virginia has a straight-up record of 3-2 while going 1-3-1 vs. the spread. Over this stretch, the Mountaineers’ offense is averaging 76.2 points per game while hitting 43.3% of their shots from the field. On the defensive end of the floor, they have allowed opponents to shoot 46.2% from the field while allowing 75.8 points per contest.

In their previous five contests, Baylor is 4-1 straight-up and 3-2 vs. the spread. In these five games, they have a scoring average of 76.2 points per game on a shooting percentage of 43.5%. Defensively, they are allowing teams to hit 48.8% of their shots while giving up 68.4 points per game.

Average Power Rating Of Opponents Played

This season, the combined power rating of West Virginia’s opponents comes in at 85.9. On the other side, Baylor’s combined opponent power rating sits at 85.4.

How Does West Virginia Fare On The Road?

For the season, the Mountaineers have played nine road games and have a record of 3-6. In these contests, West Virginia is 4-5 vs. the spread. Offensively, they have averaged 73.8 points per game on a shooting percentage of 45.9%. On defense, the Mountaineers allow 74.2 points per contest when playing away from home. So far, opposing teams have a field goal percentage of 46.4% in these games.

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How Does Baylor Fare At Home?

In their 15 games at home, Baylor has a 9-6 record vs. the spread while going 13-2 straight-up. On offense, the Bears are shooting 46.0% on their home floor, leading to 84.0 points per game. Defensively, opponents are shooting 43.0% in these contests. The Baylor defense is allowing 66.1 points per game at home.

Offense vs. Defense

For the season, West Virginia is averaging 68.5 points per game (289th) while posting an overall field goal percentage of 41.3%. In today’s game, they will be matched up against a Baylor defense that has allowed an average of 69.1 points per contest. This year, opponents have hit 44.8% of their shots vs. Baylor. On the other side, the Baylor Bears are coming into the game averaging 76.5 points per game on a shooting percentage of 46.3%. The Bears will be facing a defensive unit allowing an average of 70.2 points per contest. So far, teams have hit 44.4% of their shots vs. the Mountaineers.

More Picks: Tex at TTU betting analysis and spread pick 2/13/23 >>>

Three-Point Shooting

From beyond the arc, West Virginia has a shooting percentage of 32.8% while ranking 519th in attempts per game. The Mountaineers will be facing a Baylor defense that has a 3-point field goal shooting percentage allowed of 31.9%. Baylor enters the game having hit 34.5% of their looks from deep while averaging 7.94 made 3’s per game. On the other end, West Virginia has allowed opponents to hit 32.1% of their shots from beyond the arc.

Injuries Of Note

West Virginia

  • Jose Perez (Out) Eligibility
  • Josiah Davis (Questionable) Wrist


  • Dantwan Grimes (Out) Redshirt

Pick Against The Line

We took both of these teams on Saturday and were, of course, disappointed by the no-show WVU. That was their second loss against Texas this season, so I think it may have been a combination of the match-ups and the Mountaineers being just a little too full of themselves after winning four of the previous five. Anyway. West Virginia has allowed 76.1 points per game in their six Big 12 road games. On offense, they do have a couple of duds on the road scoring 60 against Oklahoma State and Texas, but they put up 76 points in three of the games and 72 in the other and can get in the 70s tonight. Baylor has scored 77.5 PPG in conference games and 83.7 at home in those matches. Take the OVER 148.5. Bet your college hoops picks for FREE this week with a massive 125% real cash bonus up to $400 AND get a free half point everytime you bet your favorite team when you use bonus code PREDICTEM at GTBets Sportsbook! It’s the best deal on the web!